Support from readers like you keeps The Journal open.
You are visiting us because we have something you value. Independent, unbiased news that tells the truth. Advertising revenue goes some way to support our mission, but this year it has not been enough.
If you've seen value in our reporting, please contribute what you can, so we can continue to produce accurate and meaningful journalism. For everyone who needs it.
Conclave will once again go head-to-head with The Brutalist at the Academy Awards on 2 March.
While the biggest night in the British film calendar can often be seen as a good indicator of what might take home the prestigious golden Oscar statuette, it doesn’t always go that way.
Last year, apart from the visual effects category, every Bafta winner went on to win the Oscar. The previous year, only the winners in the cinematography and editing categories went on to beat the competition in Hollywood.
The voting panels for both the Baftas and the Oscars are made up of a lot of the same people. Anyone can apply to be a member of Bafta if they work in the film industry, and around 6,500 members get to cast a vote for the film awards.
The Oscars are voted for by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (Ampas). Anyone who ever wins an Oscar is invited to join, with around 9,500 members eligible to vote in the award categories.
With voting for the Oscars closing tomorrow, it remains to be seen how much of an impact last night’s wins will have on the eligible members, who will also have been paying attention to the winners of the Golden Globes last month.
Divine intervention?
Commentators reckon Conclave needed to win the best film Bafta to have a shot at the Best Picture Oscar against strong contenders such as Anora, A Complete Unknown and The Brutalist.
Ralph Fiennes in Conclave. Alamy Stock Photo
Alamy Stock Photo
Last night’s victory puts it firmly in the running. One downside, however, is that Edward Berger was passed over in the Best Director category, an award that often goes hand-in-hand with the main winner.
That doesn’t make a win impossible. A victory in the editing and adapted screenplay categories could still see it in strong contention for the main award, and if the Baftas is anything to go by, it has those in the bag. Lisburn man Nick Emerson won the editing award for his work on the film, with Peter Straughan getting the gong for his screenplay.
Among Conclave’s competitors, The Brutalist – an epic drama about a Hungarian-Jewish architect who escapes post-war Europe to rebuild his life in America – is still very much in the running.
But despite early questioning about whether it was a serious contender, Anora has arguably emerged as Conclave’s biggest rival. The film won the Bafta for casting, and also took the main prizes at the Directors Guild Awards, the Writers Guild of America Awards and the Critics Choice Awards.
Advertisement
Best actress race wide open
The biggest surprise of the Baftas was undoubtedly Mikey Madison’s win for leading actress for her titular role in Anora, playing a sex worker who is swept off her feet by the son of a Russian oligarch.
There had been speculation that if frontrunner Demi Moore didn’t win for her career-reviving performance in The Substance, it would be because the British awards decided to reward Marianne Jean-Baptiste for her role in Mike Leigh’s Hard Truths.
Demi Moore in The Substance. Alamy Stock Photo
Alamy Stock Photo
But it was the 25-year-old relatively unknown Madison who pulled off the victory in the end, putting a big question mark over what could happen in Los Angeles next month.
After winning the Golden Globe and the Critics’ Choice award, Moore remains the favourite. But the upcoming Screen Actors Guild Awards could throw a further spanner in the works if they see a win for Wicked’s Cynthia Erivo or Fernanda Torres for I’m Still Here.
Other acting categories
If the race for best actress is wide open, then those in the three other acting categories appear to be all wrapped up.
Adrien Brody (The Brutalist), Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) and Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) have dominated the awards circuit, with wins at the Golden Globes, the Critics’ Choice Awards and now the Baftas for leading actor, supporting actor and supporting actress, respectively.
A win for any of them at next week’s Screen Actors Guild Awards would surely seal the deal for their Oscar. As entertainment magazine Variety points out, no actor has ever lost the coveted Academy Award after sweeping all four of the other televised awards.
Timothée Chalamet in A Complete Unknown. Alamy Stock Photo
Alamy Stock Photo
Of course, this means that if any of them lose in their categories at the SAGs, it would be a pretty big surprise. Could Timothée Chalamet sneak a win for his highly praised portrayal of Bob Dylan in A Complete Unknown and shake things up? Or might his co-star Monica Barbaro, who played Joan Baez in the film, be the one to cause an upset?
Best director: Anora vs The Brutalist?
The unpredictability of this year’s awards season comes into play once again when we look at the contenders in the director category.
Brady Corbet was named best director at the Baftas for The Brutalist last night, after taking the Golden Globe for his work last month. While this might make him seem like the frontrunner, it’s not quite that set in stone.
It is Sean Baker who is likely to be Corbet’s biggest competition. The Anora director won the top prize at the Directors Guild of America Awards, and in the last decade alone, the winner of this award has all but once taken home the best director Oscar.
Adrien Brody in The Brutalist. Alamy Stock Photo
Alamy Stock Photo
There’s still a chance for a curveball, though. Wicked director Jon M Chu was the surprise winner at the Critics’ Choice Awards, despite not even scoring an Oscar nomination, so all hope may not be lost for James Mangold (A Complete Unknown), Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez) and Coralie Fargeat (The Substance).
And the rest
Jesse Eisenberg’s film A Real Pain beat Critics’ Choice Awards winner The Substance to the best original screenplay Bafta last night, putting it in a strong position for the Oscar, albeit with fierce competition from Anora and The Brutalist.
Related Reads
Here’s the full list of winners from this year’s Baftas, where Conclave scooped the top prize
Mikey Madison takes leading actress Bafta in pre-Oscars surprise
'It's more than a film': Kneecap director Rich Peppiatt wins ‘outstanding debut’ Bafta
The cinematography award went to The Brutalist, the favourite to win the Academy Award in this category. It took home the Bafta over Conclave, Dune: Part Two, Emilia Pérez and Nosferatu, which came out on top at the Critics’ Choice Awards.
For makeup and hairstyling, The Substance – which won the Bafta and Critics’ Choice award in this category – is the one to beat.
Ariana Grande in Wicked. Alamy Stock Photo
Alamy Stock Photo
Meanwhile, Wicked’s Paul Tazewell looks all but certain to take the Oscar for best costume design, after scooping the Bafta and the Critics’ Choice Award.
Wicked, the musical which tells the origin story of The Wizard of Oz’s Wicked Witch of the West, is also up for best sound, alongside A Complete Unknown, Emilia Pérez, The Wild Robot and Dune: Part Two. The latter won the Bafta last night.
The sci-fi adventure film also beat Wicked to win the Bafta for special visual effects. The films will face off for the visual effects Oscar next month, with Alien: Romulus, Better Man and Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes also in contention.
A still from Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl. Alamy Stock Photo
Alamy Stock Photo
Elsewhere, Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl nabbed the Bafta for best animated film. The movie, which saw the beloved British animated cope with the return of evil penguin Feathers McGraw, also won the best children’s and family film.
Nick Park, the animator behind Wallace and Gromit, has won two animated short film Oscars for The Wrong Trousers and A Close Shave. He also won for best animated feature film in 2006 for Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit.
Vengeance Most Fowl is a strong contender in the same category this year, but Dreamwork’s The Wild Robot seems to be the one to beat this year, with Golden Globe winner Flow also one to watch.
Not much luck of the Irish
Last year saw our very own Cillian Murphy clean up at awards season, winning the Oscar, Bafta, SAG and Golden Globe awards for his starring role in Oppenheimer.
Irish production company Element Pictures also saw success at the Academy Awards with Poor Things picking up four gold statuettes, including best actress for Emma Stone.
But there is little Irish interest in the Oscars this year. Despite being shortlisted for two nominations, Kneecap failed to score any at this year’s ceremony, while Saoirse Ronan also missed out for a nomination for her roles in The Outrun and Blitz.
Nick Emerson poses with the editing award for 'Conclave' at the Baftas. Alamy Stock Photo
Alamy Stock Photo
All hopes rest with Northern Ireland’s Nick Emerson to scoop the best editing prize on the night, with current predictions putting him as the frontrunner in the category.
Readers like you are keeping these stories free for everyone...
A mix of advertising and supporting contributions helps keep paywalls away from valuable information like this article.
Over 5,000 readers like you have already stepped up and support us with a monthly payment or a once-off donation.
To embed this post, copy the code below on your site
Close
7 Comments
This is YOUR comments community. Stay civil, stay constructive, stay on topic.
Please familiarise yourself with our comments policy
here
before taking part.
Mother and son face losing home after change to tenants scheme
44 mins ago
5.4k
HISMM
Money Diaries: A laboratory specialist on €70K living in Dublin
1 hr ago
6.3k
social welfare changes
If you lose your job and have worked for 5 years you'll get up to €450 a week under new rules
23 hrs ago
52.2k
82
Your Cookies. Your Choice.
Cookies help provide our news service while also enabling the advertising needed to fund this work.
We categorise cookies as Necessary, Performance (used to analyse the site performance) and Targeting (used to target advertising which helps us keep this service free).
We and our 161 partners store and access personal data, like browsing data or unique identifiers, on your device. Selecting Accept All enables tracking technologies to support the purposes shown under we and our partners process data to provide. If trackers are disabled, some content and ads you see may not be as relevant to you. You can resurface this menu to change your choices or withdraw consent at any time by clicking the Cookie Preferences link on the bottom of the webpage .Your choices will have effect within our Website. For more details, refer to our Privacy Policy.
We and our vendors process data for the following purposes:
Use precise geolocation data. Actively scan device characteristics for identification. Store and/or access information on a device. Personalised advertising and content, advertising and content measurement, audience research and services development.
Cookies Preference Centre
We process your data to deliver content or advertisements and measure the delivery of such content or advertisements to extract insights about our website. We share this information with our partners on the basis of consent. You may exercise your right to consent, based on a specific purpose below or at a partner level in the link under each purpose. Some vendors may process your data based on their legitimate interests, which does not require your consent. You cannot object to tracking technologies placed to ensure security, prevent fraud, fix errors, or deliver and present advertising and content, and precise geolocation data and active scanning of device characteristics for identification may be used to support this purpose. This exception does not apply to targeted advertising. These choices will be signaled to our vendors participating in the Transparency and Consent Framework.
Manage Consent Preferences
Necessary Cookies
Always Active
These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched off in our systems. They are usually only set in response to actions made by you which amount to a request for services, such as setting your privacy preferences, logging in or filling in forms. You can set your browser to block or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work.
Targeting Cookies
These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners. They may be used by those companies to build a profile of your interests and show you relevant adverts on other sites. They do not store directly personal information, but are based on uniquely identifying your browser and internet device. If you do not allow these cookies, you will experience less targeted advertising.
Functional Cookies
These cookies enable the website to provide enhanced functionality and personalisation. They may be set by us or by third party providers whose services we have added to our pages. If you do not allow these cookies then these services may not function properly.
Performance Cookies
These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and improve the performance of our site. They help us to know which pages are the most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. All information these cookies collect is aggregated and therefore anonymous. If you do not allow these cookies we will not be able to monitor our performance.
Store and/or access information on a device 110 partners can use this purpose
Cookies, device or similar online identifiers (e.g. login-based identifiers, randomly assigned identifiers, network based identifiers) together with other information (e.g. browser type and information, language, screen size, supported technologies etc.) can be stored or read on your device to recognise it each time it connects to an app or to a website, for one or several of the purposes presented here.
Personalised advertising and content, advertising and content measurement, audience research and services development 143 partners can use this purpose
Use limited data to select advertising 113 partners can use this purpose
Advertising presented to you on this service can be based on limited data, such as the website or app you are using, your non-precise location, your device type or which content you are (or have been) interacting with (for example, to limit the number of times an ad is presented to you).
Create profiles for personalised advertising 83 partners can use this purpose
Information about your activity on this service (such as forms you submit, content you look at) can be stored and combined with other information about you (for example, information from your previous activity on this service and other websites or apps) or similar users. This is then used to build or improve a profile about you (that might include possible interests and personal aspects). Your profile can be used (also later) to present advertising that appears more relevant based on your possible interests by this and other entities.
Use profiles to select personalised advertising 83 partners can use this purpose
Advertising presented to you on this service can be based on your advertising profiles, which can reflect your activity on this service or other websites or apps (like the forms you submit, content you look at), possible interests and personal aspects.
Create profiles to personalise content 39 partners can use this purpose
Information about your activity on this service (for instance, forms you submit, non-advertising content you look at) can be stored and combined with other information about you (such as your previous activity on this service or other websites or apps) or similar users. This is then used to build or improve a profile about you (which might for example include possible interests and personal aspects). Your profile can be used (also later) to present content that appears more relevant based on your possible interests, such as by adapting the order in which content is shown to you, so that it is even easier for you to find content that matches your interests.
Use profiles to select personalised content 35 partners can use this purpose
Content presented to you on this service can be based on your content personalisation profiles, which can reflect your activity on this or other services (for instance, the forms you submit, content you look at), possible interests and personal aspects. This can for example be used to adapt the order in which content is shown to you, so that it is even easier for you to find (non-advertising) content that matches your interests.
Measure advertising performance 134 partners can use this purpose
Information regarding which advertising is presented to you and how you interact with it can be used to determine how well an advert has worked for you or other users and whether the goals of the advertising were reached. For instance, whether you saw an ad, whether you clicked on it, whether it led you to buy a product or visit a website, etc. This is very helpful to understand the relevance of advertising campaigns.
Measure content performance 61 partners can use this purpose
Information regarding which content is presented to you and how you interact with it can be used to determine whether the (non-advertising) content e.g. reached its intended audience and matched your interests. For instance, whether you read an article, watch a video, listen to a podcast or look at a product description, how long you spent on this service and the web pages you visit etc. This is very helpful to understand the relevance of (non-advertising) content that is shown to you.
Understand audiences through statistics or combinations of data from different sources 74 partners can use this purpose
Reports can be generated based on the combination of data sets (like user profiles, statistics, market research, analytics data) regarding your interactions and those of other users with advertising or (non-advertising) content to identify common characteristics (for instance, to determine which target audiences are more receptive to an ad campaign or to certain contents).
Develop and improve services 83 partners can use this purpose
Information about your activity on this service, such as your interaction with ads or content, can be very helpful to improve products and services and to build new products and services based on user interactions, the type of audience, etc. This specific purpose does not include the development or improvement of user profiles and identifiers.
Use limited data to select content 37 partners can use this purpose
Content presented to you on this service can be based on limited data, such as the website or app you are using, your non-precise location, your device type, or which content you are (or have been) interacting with (for example, to limit the number of times a video or an article is presented to you).
Use precise geolocation data 46 partners can use this special feature
With your acceptance, your precise location (within a radius of less than 500 metres) may be used in support of the purposes explained in this notice.
Actively scan device characteristics for identification 27 partners can use this special feature
With your acceptance, certain characteristics specific to your device might be requested and used to distinguish it from other devices (such as the installed fonts or plugins, the resolution of your screen) in support of the purposes explained in this notice.
Ensure security, prevent and detect fraud, and fix errors 92 partners can use this special purpose
Always Active
Your data can be used to monitor for and prevent unusual and possibly fraudulent activity (for example, regarding advertising, ad clicks by bots), and ensure systems and processes work properly and securely. It can also be used to correct any problems you, the publisher or the advertiser may encounter in the delivery of content and ads and in your interaction with them.
Deliver and present advertising and content 99 partners can use this special purpose
Always Active
Certain information (like an IP address or device capabilities) is used to ensure the technical compatibility of the content or advertising, and to facilitate the transmission of the content or ad to your device.
Match and combine data from other data sources 72 partners can use this feature
Always Active
Information about your activity on this service may be matched and combined with other information relating to you and originating from various sources (for instance your activity on a separate online service, your use of a loyalty card in-store, or your answers to a survey), in support of the purposes explained in this notice.
Link different devices 53 partners can use this feature
Always Active
In support of the purposes explained in this notice, your device might be considered as likely linked to other devices that belong to you or your household (for instance because you are logged in to the same service on both your phone and your computer, or because you may use the same Internet connection on both devices).
Identify devices based on information transmitted automatically 88 partners can use this feature
Always Active
Your device might be distinguished from other devices based on information it automatically sends when accessing the Internet (for instance, the IP address of your Internet connection or the type of browser you are using) in support of the purposes exposed in this notice.
Save and communicate privacy choices 69 partners can use this special purpose
Always Active
The choices you make regarding the purposes and entities listed in this notice are saved and made available to those entities in the form of digital signals (such as a string of characters). This is necessary in order to enable both this service and those entities to respect such choices.
have your say