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The phantom €2 billion: How everyone except Sinn Féin got the maths wrong

The fiscal space continues to be the main talking point of the general election campaign.

Updated 4.10pm 

THE SO-CALLED fiscal space has dominated the opening days of the general election campaign.

screenshot.1454680895.55268 www.thejournal.ie www.thejournal.ie

The term is not nearly as complex as it sounds. Put simply, it’s the amount of money that will be be available to the next government over and above what it is already spending on public services like health, welfare, education and so on.

The money does not yet exist and is dependent on strong economic growth of around 3% over the next five years. But it has now emerged that Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Labour had all been miscalculating the fiscal space in recent weeks with the embarrassing result – for them – that only Sinn Féin has its numbers right.

For Fine Gael and Labour this is particularly serious given they claim to have the only credible economic plans for the country over the next five years. But, in fact, the figures they have bandied about in recent weeks have been wrong by a massive €2 billion.

How did this happen? 

23/1/2016.78th Fine Gael Ard Fheis sam boal sam boal

Less than two weeks ago Finance Minister Michael Noonan told the Fine Gael Ard Fheis that the money available would be €12 billion:

Our Expenditure Rule ensures that our commitments are sustainable by capping the growth of budgetary commitments at below the long-term growth of the economy.
This rule will limit new budgetary commitments to €12 billion over the five years from 2017 to 2021.  This is half of the budgetary expansion in the last five budgets in the years which preceded the crash introduced by the Fianna Fail led Government.

As for the Labour party, Public Expenditure and Reform Minister Brendan Howlin said pretty much the same thing at the party’s conference last weekend:

The figures, confirmed by the Department of Finance, given to all the parties in replies by the Department of Finance, is €12 billion and that, I believe, is the figure we should work on.

2/2/2016. Cabinet Meetings Sam Boal Sam Boal

How did they reach that number? 

The two parties based their figures on what they said the Department of Finance was telling them. The department released an information note last week which explained how it calculated the fiscal space.

It said the gross fiscal space was €10.9 billion if economic growth over the next five years is on average 3%. It then included €1.4 billion as a result of the expected relaxation of EU fiscal rules on deficits because Ireland’s economy is performing so strongly.

Included in the note, the Department said that if the next government did not apply indexation then €2 billion would become available.

What’s indexation?

This involves adjusting tax rates and bands to keep up with inflation, which is the rising cost of goods and services. Indexation would also involve increasing social welfare payments to keep up with inflation. Effectively it means that as the cost of living rises, the government adjusts taxes and welfare payments accordingly.

But this is a decision for a government to make, not the civil service. This is why the Department of Finance assumed that the indexation would not apply.

So what did the parties get wrong? 

Labour interpreted the Department of Finance figures to mean that the structural balance in 2021 would be €8.6 billion. It then claimed that €2 billion from non-indexation of taxes as well as the €1.4 billion from the relaxation of fiscal rules would create a total space of €12 billion. Fine Gael appeared to do the same.

3/2/2016 General Election Campaigns Starts Sam Boal Sam Boal

To further confuse matters, Fianna Fáil leader Micheál Martin claimed on RTÉ News on Wednesday that the fiscal space would be €8.6 billion before claiming the non-indexation of taxes would generate a further €2bn.

However, Labour is now privately admitting that the tax indexation figure of €2 billion was double-counted and should have been included in the €8.6 billion figure.

Who got it right?

It was left to Sinn Féin to clarify matters when it put the following statement in an email to the chief economist in the Department of Finance John McCarthy:

The potential additional revenue that would be generated from a political decision not to proceed with indexation is approximately €2 billion. This additional revenue from not indexing is included in the net fiscal space figure of €8.6 billion. Conversely, the net fiscal space of €8.6 billion cannot be increased from non indexation.

McCarthy responded that this was indeed correct. Therefore the available fiscal space, when non-indexation is included, is €8.6 billion.

2/2/2016 General Election Campaigns Starts Leah Farrell Leah Farrell

This is how much Sinn Féin says is available to spend over the next five years. Fianna Fáil now agrees with that number. A spokesperson confirmed this morning that the party is working off €8.6 billion being available.

What are Fine Gael and Labour working off? 

Fine Gael says the fiscal space is €10.1 billion, because it’s including the €1.5 billion it says has been freed-up by the loosening EU fiscal rules, which allow Ireland to run a small deficit in 2018. The party launched its so-called long term economic plan yesterday.

Labour is now also saying the figure is €10.1 billion but adds that it will create additional resources by raising extra revenue. It’s publishing its fiscal plan next week. Speaking today, Howlin suggested that the government, if re-elected, could exceed the €10.1 billion figure:

I believe we will exceed them as we have done in everything we’ve done for the last five years and the fiscal space will be greater than that. But we will act on the basis of prudence.

Why does this matter? 

Fine Gael and Labour have consistently criticised the so-called “fantasy economics” of Sinn Féin and have mocked Gerry Adams for his admission that he is not good at maths.

But in this case it appears that Sinn Féin is the only major party to get the figures right. Howlin wasn’t prepared to acknowledge that today, saying only:

I’ve no quibble with Sinn Féin. I do have a quibble with Sinn Féin economics normally.

But when economic competence is all-important when it comes to the next government, it appears the current one screwed up the numbers – and that’s not good for its re-election hopes.

Gerry Adams: Enda thinks the people are stupid

Read: Does Fine Gael’s shiny new economic plan actually stack up?

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178 Comments
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    Mute Karl Waters
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:19 PM

    Who’s practicing “fantasy economics” now, Fine Gael?

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    Mute buzzbaron
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:07 PM
    386
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    Mute Wally Mooney
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:10 PM

    The entire political, corporate, media and academic establishment peddle fantasy economics when they pretend that fiat currency money is somehow a scarce commodity and not created at will on the computer keyboards of the world’s central and commercial banks. There can always be as much (or as little) money as there needs to be to fully utilize the resources of society. Any shortage of money is a political choice which serves the interest of private capital.

    With the Eurozone, they’ve turned their fantasy into reality with the member states reduced to the status of children pleading with the big daddy ECB for their pocket money. It would be funny if the consequences for the working class were not so serious.

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    Mute jane
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:13 PM

    This is hilarious.

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    Mute Gerry Campbell
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:17 PM

    Pop in the 26 million” sterling” they collected from the aul fundraiser a while back and were laughing.

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    Mute Louis Jacob
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:20 PM

    90% of new wealth goes to the top 1/10 of 1% Tickle down economics is the real fantasy. Even when it works which it never does, the wealth only ‘trickles’ down. The idea that any type of recovery can happen under these circumstances is the real fantasy. I would encourage everyone to bring this story to at least one persons attention even if it means boring the sh!t out of them. The Fine Gael/ Labour way of doing things is unsustainable even with the application of acute austerity. Imagine what a disaster it would be without it.
    We seriously need to get these people out.

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    Mute ReChew A.
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:28 PM

    Wally ,when it comes to hard cash nobody or party can touch SF ,they have lots of experience of burning it ,shoving it under floor boards and behind luxury baths .You have.to hand it to them ♨️

    71
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    Mute Louis Jacob
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:32 PM

    @ Re Chew… Yeah Burning things, shoving things under floorboards, luxury baths… What a fantastic straw man load of irrelevant antecdotal crapology.

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    Mute Rusty Balls
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:43 PM

    This has actually impressed me and made me seriously reconsider SF, as for the other three muppet parties. Forget it. If they can use a calculator they’re certainly not getting my vote, ok they weren’t getting it anyway.

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    Mute Rusty Balls
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:43 PM

    *can’t

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    Mute Louis Jacob
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:47 PM

    I was just thinking the same. It’s going to be very difficult for a person of my era to vote SF but I have been grappling with it and I think the time may have come. I think the polls don’t reflect this but a lot of people now feel that way.

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    Mute Stephen Power
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:58 PM

    Clown living in the past

    48
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    Mute ScewMadd
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    Feb 5th 2016, 7:51 PM

    Wally while I agree fiat currency is essentially fantasy money, that doesn’t mean I think we should keep printing more and more of it. In fact I think the opposite. Currency should really be fixed to something to prevent hyperinflation and excessive quantitative easing is a risky policy to pursue.

    To quote Ron Paul: “This is gold, Mr. Bond. All my life I’ve been in love with its color… its brilliance, its divine heaviness.”

    29
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    Mute Emmet Kilbride
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    Feb 5th 2016, 10:32 PM

    LMAO louis..all you have to do is tell a person that FG and LAB/RNU are liars…everyone knows thats the truth!!!!

    34
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    Mute Rashers Tierney
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    Feb 6th 2016, 2:12 AM

    @ScewMadd. Michael Noonan says exactly the same thing.

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    Mute Al Ca
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:06 PM

    Very embarrassing for the blueshirts.

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    Mute Bobby Phelan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:11 PM

    the establishment are born lyers

    365
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    Mute For Connolly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:12 PM

    Especially going nto the weekend news cycle Al. A major own goal.

    Can’t wait to see the sindos headline. “Gerry Adams ate my hamster” FTW

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    Mute Tom Kelly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:17 PM

    And the author is Hugh.

    Anyone like to send him an apology?

    118
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    Mute littleone
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:28 PM

    Seems it’s fg and labour ,ff that’s not very good at maths. Shown to the country just before we all vote.

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    Mute Garwig
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:28 PM

    The real Question is, will the civil servants who came up with the figure get the Sack.? Or was this a deliberate massaging of the figures and their jobs are safe as unbuilt FG social houses.

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    Mute Paul McGuigan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:32 PM

    I have to say I’m absolutely shocked that such a story is indeed being printed. Aren’t there supposed to be all only bad stories re ‘Shinnernomics’ being run now an election is in the offing? Are you coming around to ‘Proper politics for the People’ Hugh?

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    Mute Bill Madden
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:33 PM

    Is describing FG supporters “blueshirts” like describing SF the “Provos” mind you the blue shirts were nearly 75 years ago and the Provost well! are still in existsnce though thankfully now putting up posters! Instead of shooting people!

    60
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    Mute Super Ted
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:34 PM

    This “fiscal space” malfunction is a massive kick in the peanuts for Fine Gael. Sinn Fein have been handed a huge opportunity to gain votes they wouldn’t have counted on a few days ago and I expect them to make the most of it over the coming weeks.

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    Mute EndaTheLunatic
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:35 PM

    “The term is not nearly as complex as it sounds”

    Unless you’re Enda Kenny of course :)

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    Mute Garwig
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:38 PM

    Hugh must know that SF are doing much better in the Red C polls than reported. Lining up a job.

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    Mute Paul McGuigan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:39 PM

    Be thankful for small mercies so!! Sinn Fein defended their ppl FG sold theirs down the river.

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    Mute Dot Com
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:45 PM

    Fiscal Space is that place in your wallet where the money use to be before FG took it.

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    Mute D H
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:22 PM

    The blueshirts are still in existence too Bill, theres as much eidence of it as thereis of the provos

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    Mute Dave cullen
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:34 PM

    Any word on the inept accountant knowing about the abuse allegations 20 years ago?they seem to be circling the wagons again.Between this and the way he treated the hep c patients he needs to go immediately. #slimeball

    83
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    Mute Joe Travers
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    Feb 5th 2016, 5:35 PM

    Why. For doing his job.?

    4
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    Mute ReChew A.
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    Feb 5th 2016, 6:00 PM

    Lads the success of this government is there to be seen and felt everywhere you look 40000 new cars in One month ,retail up massively ,unemployment down by half ,nurses and engineers and others happy to return and confidence about the future .The Shinners little experience as part of a UK government with no opposition speaks for itself .The Irish people are not that gullible to think that SF can be trusted with high office here .

    23
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    Mute For Connolly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 6:09 PM

    Another YFG troll account appointing themselves official spokesperson for ‘the Irish people’

    2 out of 3 Irish people didn’t vote FG in the last election, and that was during your ‘anyone but FF’ honeymoon period.

    97
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    Mute Garwig
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    Feb 5th 2016, 7:42 PM

    Where’s my monkey FC. He seems to be lying low now his beloved FG are proven to be incompetent.

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    Mute Margaret Mcgarry
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    Feb 6th 2016, 8:38 AM

    Liars cmon

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    Mute Andy Boud
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    Feb 6th 2016, 11:05 AM

    Idiot

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    Mute Andy Boud
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    Feb 6th 2016, 11:22 AM

    Was referring to ReChew’s stupid comment

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    Mute justanothertaxpayer
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    Feb 6th 2016, 11:55 AM

    9 out of 10 didn’t vote SF

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    Mute Pol Ó Muireadhaigh
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    Feb 6th 2016, 7:00 PM

    This Comment wins the Internet today. I’m gonna steal it

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    Mute justanothertaxpayer
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    Feb 6th 2016, 8:01 PM

    delighted you’re here Pol – tell me this (as no SF rep has called to the door yet)…

    If Gerry was elected to the big T. would he negotiate with terrorists?

    What if the SF position on me shooting someone if I don’t like their political views – such as my next door neighbour who appears to be a bit of a nazi?

    And lastly – can you tell me … does SF believe in a united Ireland? If not, which of the 26 would you boot out? (My preference would be Cork … they consider themselves separate anyway)

    1
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    Mute Steve Tracey
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:18 PM

    Oh dear, what a foul up

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    Mute Louis Jacob
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:18 PM

    Nice and understated. Comment of the day.

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    Mute Bren MC
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:22 PM

    Best slogan yet for a poster. Very memorable. The figures have never added up, especially for IW , Poolbeg incinerator, The hospital that will never be built, the voting machines in storage and the list goes on.

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    Mute Dave cullen
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:29 PM

    Fine Gael are a mixed bunch,dunces and liars seem to make up their core ranks with corruption as an optional extra.

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    Mute D'Murph
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    Feb 5th 2016, 9:10 PM

    At least they can add

    21
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    Mute Emmet Kilbride
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    Feb 5th 2016, 10:30 PM

    Clearly not

    153
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    Mute Pol O Misteal
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    Feb 6th 2016, 12:55 AM

    Yawn! Grow up Darby. This article is about economics. I’m sure you can use your comment in the other countless articles that Hugh O’Connell will print about the troubles. No doubt he will alert you to them on the right wing lunatic network.

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    Mute Robert Trump
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    Feb 6th 2016, 1:22 PM

    @ Paul Darby

    i agree

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    Mute willr
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:13 PM

    Noonan has a Degree in Economics, Enda is a former school teacher and Joan an Accountant. And they all missed this massive Financial and Mathematical mistake. Doherty no College Degree, particularly no Economic or Accounting Degree and he spots it. Only makes this mistake all the more massively monumental. And if anything highlights the current leaders of Ireland as being incompetent, inept, useless and embarrassingly stupid

    354
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    Mute Tom Kelly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:47 PM

    Willr, Doherty personally didn’t spot it. His advisers did.

    34
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    Mute littleone
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:13 PM

    So tom Kelly sf advisors were able to do the maths and show the truth. Fg , labour and ff advisors can’t do the maths and were obviously spouting lies. Moral of the story sf were right , the rest were wrong.

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    Mute Louis Jacob
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:39 PM

    The only maths Fine Gael advises do properly is negotiating their own illegal salaries. Somehow they never miss a trick in that regard.

    140
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    Mute Matt Black
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:43 PM

    Ha ha Tom back into your box

    93
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    Mute Diarmuid Doran
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:27 PM

    Tom Kelly 0 Littleone 1

    65
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    Mute Dave cullen
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:39 PM

    Dobsons sitting in the studio awaiting the questions from Fine Gael he’s to ask Fine Gael,puppet!

    73
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    Mute Tom Kelly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 6:22 PM

    Littleone, you are a typical SFer, always looking for a fight. I only pointed out that It’s the advisers that spot these things not college dropouts

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    Mute Dalian Martin
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    Feb 5th 2016, 8:03 PM

    For those ignorantly obsessed about degrees being the be all and end all,
    UK Finaance Minister(the one championing the Conservative party’s 19th century Austerity dogma)
    GEORGE OSBORNE’s Degree is in History.

    Mind you 40 Economists have lambasted The British Conservative party’s Economic policies
    (who Fine Gael are busy trying plagerise after several top level consultations with them)
    and backed Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour Party policies:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/aug/23/jeremy-corbyns-opposition-to-austerity-is-actually-mainstream-economics

    “The accusation is widely made that Jeremy Corbyn and his supporters have moved to the extreme left on economic policy. But this is not supported by the candidate’s statements or policies.
    Jeremy Corbyn wins economists’ backing for anti-austerity policies
    Read more

    His opposition to austerity is actually mainstream economics, even backed by the conservative IMF. He aims to boost growth and prosperity. He voted against the shameful £12bn in cuts in the welfare bill.

    Despite the barrage of media coverage to the contrary, it is the current government’s policy and its objectives which are extreme. The attempt to produce a balanced public sector budget primarily through cuts to spending failed in the previous parliament. Increasing child poverty and cutting support for the most vulnerable is unjustifiable. Cutting government investment in the name of prudence is wrong because it prevents growth, innovation and productivity increases, which are all much needed by our economy, and so over time increases the debt due to lower tax receipts.

    We the undersigned are not all supporters of Jeremy Corbyn. But we hope to clarify just where the “extremism” lies in the current economic debate. “

    37
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    Mute P Quinn
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:05 PM

    FG’s figures were originally 4 billion out! They would have us back in the boom and bust times.

    Anyone but FG – they can’t be trusted and don’t have the public interest at heart.

    340
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    Mute Bobby Phelan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:08 PM

    vote the establishment out vote right to change

    233
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    Mute richard kenny
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    Feb 5th 2016, 9:45 PM

    Ah sure we’re all thick C@@ts according to our taoiseach… Let’s see how braindead we all are on the 27th enda when the ballot boxes open!!

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    Mute Peter McGlynn
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    Feb 6th 2016, 2:12 AM

    Getting more desperate every comment.

    23
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    Mute tommy macdonagh
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    Feb 6th 2016, 4:02 AM

    even the media are taking the piss out of SFs maths ability now :D

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    Mute Bobby Phelan
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    Feb 6th 2016, 1:54 PM

    Fg only got into government on a protest vote same as liebour

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    Mute MaryLou(ny)McDonald
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    Feb 7th 2016, 2:15 AM

    ?

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    Mute Bryan Whaley
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:18 PM

    One of my main issues with Sinn Fein was their economics. It appears that I was wrong and will have to re-evaluate my preferences.

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    Mute Stephen Walsh
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:11 PM

    So Sinn Féin have just showed up Fianna Fail, Fine Gael & Labour for being absolutely clueless and it’s only the start of the campaign. The Government said SF figures don’t add up when in fact they can’t even get the basic figures correct.

    288
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    Mute For Connolly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:15 PM

    We can still look forward to 3 weeks worth of government TDs thowing the ‘fantasy economics’ slur at SF unchallenged.

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    Mute Mr Phil Officer
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:17 PM

    No one in the media noticed it either. It’s interesting that the three parties FF/FG/Lab all to the cent made the same financial errors.

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    Mute Paul McGuigan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:36 PM

    We won’t mention that the SF shadow budget was independently accosted by DOF and found to be balanced and do-able for want of a better word. FF shadow budget was out by €600,000,000 ( thought the zeros would show the absolute joke of it) but no msm made a comment on this!! And they want us to vote these clowns back in?? Jesus wept

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    Mute Horses for courses
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:14 PM

    Easy done in fairness.It’s the type of money you find down the back of your sofa.Hold on,I read it as €2. How do ya miss out on a couple of BILLION.Would be funny if it wasn’t so serious…

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    Mute John Doohan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:17 PM

    Fg had to follow what was laid out by the previous government so it was an easy ride the last 5 years…but look what happens when they have to produce their own finances..incompetent is an understatment..these people can not be trusted to do anything right..god help the people of ireland if Fg get in again..remember this “the people have the power”

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    Mute Ken O'Rourke
    Favourite Ken O'Rourke
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:00 PM

    They obviously just forgot to factor in how much they were planning to give to Denis O’Brien in those brown envelopes. €2,000,000,000 sounds about right.

    160
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    Mute littleone
    Favourite littleone
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:23 PM

    So fg, labour and ff have been playing fantasy economics , not been able to do maths and its sf that has the numbers right. Really is a case of pants on fire

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    Mute VoiceOfVanguard
    Favourite VoiceOfVanguard
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:06 PM

    I think they’ll find it’s a lot closer to the Fiscal authority figure of 3.2 billion euro.
    The expenditure benchmark kicks in this year from ‘our friends’ in Brussels.
    Bailout countries like Ireland are harder hit than most.

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    Mute Mike Hall
    Favourite Mike Hall
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    Feb 5th 2016, 6:26 PM

    Economist Constantin Gurdgiev reckons approx €4.3 billion, but that this is totally unreliable past 2017 anyway.. others like Stephen Kinsella agree. But, seriously, can anyone recall when any of the establishment’s economic forecasts were even close months in advance, let alone 5yrs?

    As ever, the Irish public are being played..

    Bottom line? Don’t vote for FG, FF or Labour. None of these parties, by their *record* (never mind what BS they give you) deserve your trust.

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    Mute EDDIE BARRETT
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    Feb 6th 2016, 9:33 AM

    Tommy MacDonagh / Dane Tyghe

    Another great day, isn’t it ?

    Mighty, to see The Blueshirt and Liebour ‘Parties’ , getting continuously caught out and exposed, for their porkies !

    Extraordinary, that even after they were found out , that your Ayatollah Noonan , continues to dig deeper and make a bigger fool of himself ?

    A big change is a comin’ and the corruption and deception of these Cowboy ‘Politicians’ , is being fully exposed by their own trip ups !!!

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    Mute Seamus Og
    Favourite Seamus Og
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:39 PM

    Now who do we want representing us in negotiations with the ECB or with the other banks. Not surprised we got such a bad deal.

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    Mute Jason Culligan
    Favourite Jason Culligan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:47 PM

    What’s this about a deal? It’s well known at this stage that FG didn’t even bother to negotiate on our behalf.

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    Mute Seamus Og
    Favourite Seamus Og
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:01 PM

    More FG lies, saying theyl cut USC. Fair play to SF for catching them out. No fiscal space for cutting USC afterall but theyl continue to spin that lie. Isnt that what you do during an election.

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    Mute Willy
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:14 PM

    We FG /LAB lying?
    Well would ya belive that ☺

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    Mute Christy Nolan
    Favourite Christy Nolan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:09 PM

    HOW MUCH?
    It was€3.6 billion from behind the radiator 10 months after FG took office .
    Back of a fag packet economics. Rainy day slush fund?

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    Mute Darren Hyland
    Favourite Darren Hyland
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:08 PM

    The Journal writing a pro Sinn Fein article???? Oh how the times they are a changing………………. thy must have realized Sinn Fein will probably be running the country soon and they need to tow the line!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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    Mute Tara Ní Dochartaigh
    Favourite Tara Ní Dochartaigh
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:47 PM

    Spot on. All the polls I’ve seen have SF ahead. The media are such turncoats.

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    Mute philip stewart
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    Feb 5th 2016, 8:28 PM

    Tara i’ve been looking all over the place to find this out, seems too good to be true, would you be able to give me an example to look at much appreciated :)

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    Mute Pat Comer
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:07 PM

    And all the shinners thought you were an FG man Hugh, now they know.

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    Mute Greg Kelly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:23 PM

    Hugh showing his true SF colours with a one sided headline like that! SF HQ must have sent the memo!

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    Mute Matt Black
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:47 PM

    Well to keep any credibility he had to publish this monumental error , if he didn’t he would be accused of hiding the facts to favour FG , a no win situation for Hugh , I am still waiting for the story on Noonan knowing about child abuse for 20 + years and not reporting it , That really says it all for me about the character of this vile human being

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    Mute Peter Higgins
    Favourite Peter Higgins
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:50 PM

    The faces on Kenny, Noonan, and Burton when the “GOTCHA” moment hit home was priceless.

    If they weren’t exactly DISgruntled – they were very far from gruntled..

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    Mute willr
    Favourite willr
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:40 PM

    Hugh, the article reads like even yourself a (former) blueshirt has decide to walk away from FG on this spectacularly disastrous cockup by them!!!!

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    Mute Gerry Dunne
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:24 PM

    Just more lies, lets all use our votes wisely and rid Ireland of these parasites.

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    Mute Conor Foley
    Favourite Conor Foley
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:06 PM

    Lolz

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    Mute Paul Mc
    Favourite Paul Mc
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:09 PM

    It’s all smoke and mirrors with these jokers from Fine Gael and Liebour.

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    Mute Simeon
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:22 PM

    So did FG/Lab lie or did they just not understand the sums? In other words, are they Fiscal Spacers or Fiscal Spoofers?

    Fair play to Sinn Fein. Very impressive.

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    Mute willr
    Favourite willr
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:04 PM

    FG certainly having a bad election so far. Day 1, down 2% in the polls, day 2 it’s revealed they can’t do maths, …. They are already a joke. Looks like the FG seat losses will need revising upwards from 15-20 to 22 -26

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    Mute @mdmak33
    Favourite @mdmak33
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:59 PM

    Fg,labour did not get it wrong, they were have been just caught lying,nothing new so.

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    Mute Peter Moran
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:57 PM

    Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry Gerry

    92
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    Mute Matthew O' Reilly
    Favourite Matthew O' Reilly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:16 PM

    The Noonan disease.
    Michael Noonan Is a breed of Limerick criminal that are dying from a series of diseases called political dystrophy quite quickly. This particular disease ravages areas of the mind that are deprived of truth serums on a regular basis for years at a time. The disease is noticeable in people who have begun to actually believe they’re own con. The Dundons Limerick criminals of another sort, and they’re ilk are almost gone. Noonan and his ilk are not fare behind. We must be vigilant. We can never give up on the Nations need to destroy the Noonan disease, already it has become viral and is in danger of taking over all the National grids where honesty is an integral part of the successful operation of said grids: School system, Communal system, Social system, Economic System, Banking System, Etc
    ” Yes, everyone has noticed the gang of phonies from the three main parties trotting out garbage about the seriously flawed printed report into the banking inquiry. Perfect example of the Noonan disease.
    All but one of these turds and lackeys had one or two redeemable but not remarkable qualities.
    Some of these FG FF apologists were just backroom boys when this deadly bailout deal went down.
    The leadership of Fianna Fail and FG agreed to sign away 60 billions in money belonging to the Irish peoples, to the Krauts. Remember Germany is the richest Nation in Europe.
    It has since been brought to our attention that this amount represented roughly half the total average European debt accumulated in a financial period.
    Chicken feed for 270 odd million European people, but for Ireland’s tiny population to deal with this debt it was back breaking, heart breaking and soul destroying.
    Though he was the recipient of Bertie’s poison chalice. ” Cheek by jowl Brian the cow and gate Cowen ” was key to this sell out of the Irish people.
    Garret Fitzgerald always found Cowen a promising student of Keynesian economics. ” Supply and demand economics”
    Biffo was not prepared for what was expected of him by the banksters in ”Germany, London, Washington DC and the City of Rome.” or able to deal with the staggering impact
    on the Irish people, especially the young, of the payback terms.
    Remember the Irish people are still being squeezed for this money by ”Germany, London, Washington DC and the City of Rome.” The bond holders have basically been dealt with.
    The criminal cabals in the last four mentioned locations are demanding and are being given a stake in the infrastructure of the Island of Ireland.
    This is what Brain Cowen and the late Brian Lenahan are guilty of.
    By creating NAMA and investing it with the power to dispose of property and power belonging to the people of Ireland, they have sold the people of Ireland into slavery.”

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    Mute Motherofdivinejebus
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    Feb 6th 2016, 2:42 AM

    Wow! Brilliant, Can i Post that elsewhere?

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    Mute Scarr
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:17 PM

    They’re all spoofers. They haven’t a clue what’s going on. To borrow a phrase: they’re like a mule with a spinning wheel (can anyone guess the show?)

    76
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    Mute For Connolly
    Favourite For Connolly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:22 PM

    “monorail…..monorail……monorail……..monorail….”

    79
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    Mute Jason Culligan
    Favourite Jason Culligan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:49 PM

    For Connolly, I think you mean:

    “metro north…metro north…metro north…metro north”

    Lets not forget that gem. Coming out with a new plan that’ll have a fraction of the long-term capacity for only €200m less than the original plan.

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    Mute LesBehan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:57 PM

    “Is there a chance the track could bend? Not on your life, my Hindu friend.”

    53
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    Mute Christy Nolan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:58 PM

    Scarr,
    “The Magic Roundabout”
    “Only Fools and Horses”

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    Mute John Campbell
    Favourite John Campbell
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:44 PM

    All these politicians are beginning to look like a clutch of chickens fighting over an egg that has not yet even been laid!!!!
    Fiscal space, tax indexation, budgetary commitments, yes, these are all phrases that Mrs. and Mr. Joe Ordinary use every day round the breakfast/dinner table.
    Like in all previous elections all these grand promises and predictions will melt like snow in a furnace as soon as they are elected.

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    Mute Jason Culligan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:52 PM

    That’s a valid point.

    Much of this talk about ‘fiscal space’ is really discussing by how much each political party thinks they can buy the next election. I don’t really see much talk about how we can sustainably reduce national debt while addressing the larger social problems which have developed over the course of the bailout period.

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    Mute Seamus Og
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:46 PM

    Fantasy economics brought to you courtesy of FG and the ridiculous right.

    64
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    Mute .
    Favourite .
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:04 PM

    Credit to SF
    Hope the other parties take a leaf from their book and all promise no increase in public spending for the next 5 years. We dont have the fiscal space for it.

    63
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    Mute For Connolly
    Favourite For Connolly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:12 PM

    I corrected you on this already……

    http://www.thejournal.ie/profile/380833/good-sf-against-increased-public-spending-from-articlesinn-4738814/

    “Sinn Féin’s finance spokesperson Pearse Doherty said that the three other parties manifestos – which have not yet been published – should be withdrawn and “shredded”. He said the majority of the fiscal space would be used to invest in public services.”

    49
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    Mute Paddy Ryan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:15 PM

    This looks like a bit more than a lie.It looks like gross incompetence compounded by a lie.A huge question mark now hangs over the rest of their figures.It seems that they were promising “twice the sex with half the foreplay”, and guess who they were eyeing up to be screwed.

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    Mute Mark Pom
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:29 PM

    Numbers out of arses again….. nothing changes

    56
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    Mute leartius
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:11 PM

    Good article by Hugh and a huge own goal for FF,FG and labour.

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    Mute McCrory จิมมี่
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:57 PM

    Enda says we have a choice …. That choice is now different ….. Miscalculations from Parties (ie cooking the books to get a vote then telling the people when they’re voted in we didn’t know the books were as bad so we can’t keep our promises)….. Or Fantasy Economics which turn out to be more of a true story than The Lord of The Rings Trilogy ….Those 3 leaders must be loving Geraldo Adams right now lol

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    Mute Peter Mc Hugh
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:56 PM

    Someone in the Department of Finance hates FG/FF and Labour!

    51
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    Mute Paddy Ryan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:21 PM

    Someone didn’t get bought a Christmas pint in the Dail Bar…..

    51
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    Mute Tom Goss
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:27 PM

    This may remind people that FG was essentially elected by default, and that there was a good reason we didn’t elect them in back in the Bertie days.
    (And, no, I’m not a FF supporter either…)

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    Mute jolly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:46 PM

    I think Hugh deserves an apology. Sorry Hugh.

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    Mute Paddy Ryan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:11 PM

    I’d say Hugh needs a hug after this…

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    Mute Paul Fanshawe
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    Feb 5th 2016, 6:58 PM

    Well, holy sh^t, it’s a party political broadcast on behalf of Sinn Fein. Fair play to them anyway; I always knew that Doherty boyo had brains.

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    Mute Keith Gregg
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:23 PM

    Hugh applauding Sf :O

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    Mute Stephen Doherty
    Favourite Stephen Doherty
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    Feb 6th 2016, 12:07 AM

    People in Ireland need to realise that we have been led by people only interested in feathering their nests for years, we are in the biggest mess since the formation of the state, its time for serious change, so forget past history, thats gone , look to our future and vote in some real change for once..what harm can it do?

    Doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different outcome is madness..

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    Mute Watchful Axe
    Favourite Watchful Axe
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:17 PM

    I don’t know, lets just give another 20 billion to the banks and see how much more we are in the hole.

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    Mute Rashers Tierney
    Favourite Rashers Tierney
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:24 PM

    To simplify matters why not just call it “The National Slush Fund”?

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    Mute Séamus Ó Súileabháin
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:42 PM

    Good man Hugh!

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    Mute Stephen Kelly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 5:41 PM

    Can we now see a serious debate with party leaders, not a staged RTE production but a face to face serious challenge. We deserve to see the electioneering mantras and one liners teased out.
    No pre question itinerary,no ear pieces, just a good old fashioned straight talking journalist with the guts to challenge the B/S. A Jeremy Paxman type of person, someone who would treat them all with equal contempt.

    34
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    Mute Not_Rod_Ten©
    Favourite Not_Rod_Ten©
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:07 PM

    Hugh you showing your true colours today, are you looking for a job in Parnell sq

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    Mute Christy Nolan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:15 PM

    Nob rod ten,
    All the media have reported this farce, including Redacted’s Beano.

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    Mute conri
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:16 PM

    Not rod, you and yours are been caught out in your deceit, lies and treachery, your type will always have your followers, unfortunately our 32 county Ireland always had her share of traitors.

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    Mute Not_Rod_Ten©
    Favourite Not_Rod_Ten©
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:48 PM

    Have a look back I said all these numbers were wrong, I don’t have a lot, I think I will vote for the greens though.

    11
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    Mute Michael Sands
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:04 PM

    The phantom €2 billion: How everyone except Sinn Féin got the maths wrong…

    What do you mean? RTE showed yesterday how the figures would lead to zero???

    27
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    Mute martin.
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:43 PM

    What a shower of Plonkers.

    26
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    Mute Peter De Courcy
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:55 PM

    Looks like FF have nicked their slogan from the Maltese Labour Party. MLP used the “Malta for All” in their last general election. Sincerest form of flattery I guess. ☺☺

    26
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    Mute Leo Lowe
    Favourite Leo Lowe
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:22 PM

    How many bank robberies, on average, would it take to accumulate such an amount?

    23
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    Mute Mr Phil Officer
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:26 PM

    The Anglo one would cover it.

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    Mute For Connolly
    Favourite For Connolly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:28 PM

    PMSL!

    #ownd

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    Mute Christy Nolan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:58 PM

    Brilliant answer Mr Phil
    A dozen or so green bin taxes would also help

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    Mute OggieThe4th
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:59 PM

    Leo/Lyons was owned by Phil and it made me laugh out loud :)

    You’re getting too easy to troll,Sappy :)

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    Mute Shane Kinsella
    Favourite Shane Kinsella
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:45 PM

    Lol, Leo got burned badly on that one.

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    Mute Matt Black
    Favourite Matt Black
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    Feb 5th 2016, 3:50 PM

    HA HA Leo laid LOWE , lol priceless

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    Mute Garwig
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    Feb 5th 2016, 7:44 PM

    OWNED

    23
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    Mute Michael Sands
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:12 PM

    “The term is not nearly as complex as it sounds. Put simply, it’s the amount of money that will be be available to the next government over and above what it is already spending on public services like health, welfare, education and so on.”

    But the ECB told us after the last budget that cuts will have to be made to counteract the last election budget?
    http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/troika-to-question-spending-in-budget-2016-1.2420685
    http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/fiscal-council-warning-government-risks-making-same-mistakes-that-led-to-financial-crisis-31277269.html

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    Mute Alan Cooke
    Favourite Alan Cooke
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:29 PM

    Listening to news at one today. Pearse Doherty and Michael McGrath spent half an hour telling everyone what they were going to do, build houses, pump money into the health service, cut USC, increase pensions, reverse lots of cuts etc. etc. I was under the impression that the country is still broke, still in a recession, still borrowing money for day to day expenses, still owe 181 billion, so I was wondering where is this money they were busy promising to spend coming from? Both of them were talking SH**e. The only space either of them have is between their ears.

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    Mute Jason Culligan
    Favourite Jason Culligan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:46 PM

    Alan, you’ll find that SF are looking to spend the least amount of money compared to the other major parties. Hell Fine Gael and Labour think that they’ll be able to spend nearly double the amount of money that SF are predicting.

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    Mute Christy Nolan
    Favourite Christy Nolan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:55 PM

    Alan, the truth came out about the FG Fiscal Space so surely that is a good thing. Why are you upset?
    BTW, FG have also promised to build houses and spend, spend, spend.
    Perhaps the only space you have is the crack between your lower cheeks.
    Now chill out and applaud the fact that the fag packet Fiscal Force cock-up has been found wanting. I might even elevate SF to a higher preference for their hard work.

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    Mute Alan Cooke
    Favourite Alan Cooke
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    Feb 5th 2016, 5:25 PM

    @Christy & Jason
    Automatically both of you jumped to the conclusion I am a Fine Gael or Labour Supporter. I am Not.
    If you read my comment again You will find I mentioned 2 politicians from 2 different parties. Without a second thought both of you jumped to defend Sinn Feinn., Did either of you hear the Horse SH**e Doherty and McGrath were churning out?
    I think not.

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    Mute Enda Elvery
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    Feb 6th 2016, 12:27 AM

    No wonder they’re terrified of the shinners,

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    Mute Minon
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    Feb 5th 2016, 6:19 PM

    Hey Hugh why dont you come straight out and tell everyone you have a hard on for FG…..

    Journalism is supposed to be unbiased but I suppose your looking for scraps from the table and a place in the party ?

    FG/FF/Labour are all brutal at economics and caused this recession and SF were never involved, are you and your Nazi comrades afraid off being called out by real and fair economic policies or would you rather the usual olde Criminal economics to suit the 1% and REDACTED….

    18
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    Mute Kerry Blake
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    Feb 5th 2016, 11:31 PM

    Noonan and Howlin two idiots that sadly we might re-elected……..

    17
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    Mute Andy Boud
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    Feb 6th 2016, 10:48 AM

    This is huge news. RTE dulled it down so much, said nothing much happened yesterday , I can’t believe it. They lied again for votes. I’m switching to Sinn Fein.

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    Mute Chris Boyd
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    Feb 6th 2016, 5:04 AM

    Nevermind it is premised on future projections of growth that, with the China stock market crash and unstable world markets, is fantasy economics. The only way to ensure a “fiscal space” is to tax corporations and billionares and use it for public investment. Something all the major parties got wrong. AAA-PBP have it right.

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    Mute Peadar Ó Buaigh
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    Feb 6th 2016, 11:05 AM

    You dare to call me an economic fantasist as you look down your fiscal space.

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    Mute Paul
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:37 PM

    Looks like another SF promice broek, just caught up RTE nees and they said they would take FF into Governent as junior party after saying they would not a fre weeks ago.

    Vote for SF is now as good as a vote for FF.

    SF last a few das afo the space was over 9 billion as well….

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    Mute Mr Phil Officer
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:41 PM

    Jesus Paul, even big fingers is no excuse for that post.

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    Mute For Connolly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:42 PM

    SF have stated they will only go into government with a party which has signed up fully to the right2change policy principles, whether its FF or anyone else.

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    Mute Jason Culligan
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:44 PM

    You missed the obligatory ‘ya no lyk’ at the end of your comment.

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    Mute Peter Higgins
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    Feb 5th 2016, 2:53 PM

    Christ Paul. You should take the boxing gloves off when you’re typing

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    Mute Powerabbey
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    Feb 5th 2016, 5:46 PM

    Jammin – again great to see that IRA/SF are followers of Right2Change and their cheerleader Eirigi’s Brendan Ogle.

    The same man who looked to maintain exorbitant salaries in CIE and ESB at the expense of the Irish public.

    Good to note that most of other parties involved will not recommend transfers to the toxic IRA/SF cult.

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    Mute For Connolly
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    Feb 5th 2016, 6:21 PM

    “The same man who looked to maintain exorbitant salaries in CIE and ESB at the expense of the Irish public.”

    So, what you’re saying is that right2changes main man is a better negotiator than the entire FG/Labour government.

    Good. He’ll be useful post election.

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    Mute William T Smith
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    Feb 5th 2016, 6:49 PM

    Paul is the policeman from ‘allo ‘allo.

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    Mute Cllr Malachy Quinn
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    Feb 6th 2016, 10:19 AM

    Eirigi’s Brendan Ogle?
    Did I miss something?

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    Mute Eugene Comaskey
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    Feb 5th 2016, 4:43 PM

    Don’t believe the Shinners, how would they be able to count that much. Maybe they are factoring in the money from the Northern Bank.

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    Mute Chris Boyd
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    Feb 6th 2016, 5:09 AM
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    Mute Mindfulirish
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    Feb 5th 2016, 5:29 PM

    SF/IRA have had a lot of practice counting bank notes.

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    Mute Rashers Tierney
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    Feb 5th 2016, 7:22 PM

    Oh, the biting wit, the lightening riposte!!! What it is to be alive in these great days :-D

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    Mute Charlie Fogarty
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    Feb 5th 2016, 8:26 PM

    What do Gerry Ad….They are both terrorists!….Ah balls I told it wrong.

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    Mute Seán Marlow
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    Feb 7th 2016, 6:31 PM

    FG = Fiscal Gobdaws:

    http://www.independent.ie/opinion/columnists/gene-kerrigan/eight-billion-plus-two-minus-credibility-34430171.html

    “Pearse Doherty, Sinn Fein’s top economics chap, got out his calculator. He had the same access to the Department of Finance explanatory note on which all the “fiscal space” chatter was based. And he began insisting that the figures didn’t add up.
    What had happened was simple. Fine Gael took the Department of Finance figure of €8.6bn and added its bits and pieces to sex it up – and didn’t notice that €2bn of the figures they were adding were already included in the €8.6bn.
    Of course, everyone knows that anyone outside the FG/FF/Labour/Renua cartel is a wrecker who can’t add up. The right-wing of Irish politics, which brought us the credit bubble, the economic crash, the bank guarantee and five years of reckless austerity, are the sensible people.
    And Doherty was just a noisy Shinner, therefore best ignored. Sinn Fein wrote to the department, asked for confirmation of its figures and got that confirmation.
    On Thursday last, RTE’s Prime Time did the same. Katie Hannon and David McCullough almost ruefully disclosed the truth that evening. The parties quickly erased €2bn from their figures. And the Michael Noonan fans began practising their nonchalant whistling.”

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    Mute Pat Gorman
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    Feb 5th 2016, 7:17 PM

    Fascist Sinn Fein pretends to to lecture us about getting numbers wrong.
    “They haven’t gone away you know”.
    We don’t know the exact number of the hidden guns I suppose.
    We know that the hidden guns are still there.
    The mantra of a gunman.

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    Mute Paul Fanshawe
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    Feb 5th 2016, 7:41 PM

    @ Pat Gorman. Pat, who’s this “WE” you talk about? Are you a Blueshirt (the original Fascist party of Ireland led By General Eoin O’Duffy)?

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    Mute Charlie Fogarty
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    Feb 5th 2016, 8:28 PM

    * the original and best Fascist party of Ireland..

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    Mute Simon Haden
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    Feb 6th 2016, 1:12 AM

    Hilarious. Bankrobbers and terrorists accuse the Government of cooking the books. I can’t wait for the film.

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    Mute Dominic Hearns
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    Feb 6th 2016, 12:36 AM

    Ah, the Shinners are well used to handling large amounts of cash.

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    Mute OggieThe4th
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    Feb 6th 2016, 6:19 AM

    Yes Dominic-you are right!

    Gerry & the Shinners go out to America and they all shout out at the same time : “Show me the money!”

    Jealous much?!

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