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Mark Stedman/Photocall Ireland

The IMF says we can pay back our loans early - but what does that mean?

Early repayment could save hundreds of millions every year – but could also be a political minefield.

THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY Fund has said that Ireland can repay the loans by the agency advanced under the troika bailout without any financial penalty.

In a letter to the Fianna Fail finance spokesman Michael McGrath, IMF mission chief for Ireland Craig Beaumont said:

The IMF accepts early repayments of credit with no fee or charge, nor any conditionality on the part of the IMF.

Several countries have repaid their IMF debt burden ahead of schedule in recent years, including Latvia, Hungary and Iceland.
http://cdn.thejournal.ie/media/2014/08/imf-letter-to-michael-mcgrath-td.pdf

The IMF employs a sliding interest rate scale based on how much it advances to countries – Ireland’s mammoth €22.5 billion package lent out under the bailout currently attracts an average interest rate of around 4.99%, McGrath pointed out.

Relatively benign credit conditions, mostly driven by a strong stance from the European Central Bank on the future of the Euro, have lowered the rate Ireland pays for debt on international money markets to around 2.3%.

IrelandBondSpread The falling interest rate on Irish government debt TradingEconomics TradingEconomics

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McGrath said: “Given the benign borrowing conditions at present, the €20 billion cash stockpile held by the NTMA and the fact that we are paying almost 5% on the IMF loans, it makes perfect sense for the government to pursue the possibility of repaying the loans early.”

Stumbling block

Ciaran Callaghan, a senior analyst with Merrion Stockbrokers, said that such a move would certainly make economic sense, but could prove to be politically difficult to implement given Ireland’s existing agreements with other debtors.

“The complication is due to the other loans advanced to us. The way the facilities are structured, if you want to pay back the IMF as proposed, the other guys may object over a perceived preferential status.”

Press Briefings 7th Troika Reviews Ministers Howlin and Noonan discuss a troika review during the bailout programme. Sasko Lazarov / Photocall Ireland Sasko Lazarov / Photocall Ireland / Photocall Ireland

Under the terms of the bailout and bilateral packages advanced to Ireland, all loans must be treated equally, Callaghan said.

“That’s the potential stumbling block, and it will take political will to get these guys on board.”

It’s going to take a bit of manoeuvring – but that’s not to say it can’t be done.

He added that political goodwill toward Ireland is quite strong at the moment, raising the prospect of a deal with the State’s other debtors.

Bill reduction

Citing figures provided by Finance Minister Michael Noonan, McGrath said that paying back €15 billion early to the IMF could save up to €375 million per year, reducing budgetary pressures on the exchequer.

“There is a golden opportunity to reduce Ireland’s annual interest bill. I will be putting pressure on Minister Noonan to deliver on this on the resumption of the Dáil in September.”

Read: ‘We’re a normal country now’: Brendan Howlin said goodbye to the IMF’s man in Dublin today>

Read: The IMF is back in town, and it’s not mad on the Government’s mortgage strategy>

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64 Comments
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    Mute eastsmer
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    Jul 7th 2018, 6:14 PM

    Fabulous, Delighted that some of our fading culture, traditions, music & language are being saved

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    Mute WoodlandBard
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    Jul 7th 2018, 6:40 PM

    There is an archive of 17,400 Alan Lomax recordings online. Here is the first page of the Irish ones
    http://research.culturalequity.org/get-audio-ix.do?ix=recording&id=IE&idType=countryCode&sortBy=abc

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    Mute WoodlandBard
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    Jul 7th 2018, 6:35 PM

    Alan Lomax, and amazing man. This looks like being an amazing film.

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    Mute Dermot Lane
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    Jul 7th 2018, 8:05 PM

    @WoodlandBard: yep can’t wait to see it

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    Mute Garreth Byrne
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    Jul 7th 2018, 8:25 PM

    Obair mhaith. TG4 has made some innovative documentaries on a range of topics in recent years. Incidentally, did Lomax ever meet up with Ciaran MacMathuna, who did so much steady work over five decades talking to traditional Irish musicians and recording their skilled renditions?

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    Mute andrew
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    Jul 7th 2018, 8:20 PM

    No mention of Seamus Ennis. Could the Journal ever get some decent journalists?

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    Mute Dermot Lane
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    Jul 7th 2018, 10:27 PM

    @andrew: what’s the Seamus Ennis connection with Lomax?

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    Mute Sean
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    Jul 7th 2018, 11:03 PM

    @Dermot Lane: He was Lomax’ guide in Ireland.

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    Mute Sean
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    Jul 7th 2018, 11:04 PM

    @Dermot Lane: His guide in Ireland, recommended to him by the BBC, was the Dublin piper and singer Seamus Ennis, then an employee of Radio Eireann and formerly a collector for the Irish Folklore Commission. Both institutions also supported Lomax during his time here by giving him sound-recording facilities and access to their archives.

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    Mute Dermot Lane
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    Jul 8th 2018, 8:28 AM

    @Sean: thanks Sean it was a genuine question

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