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Alex Brandon AP/Press Association Images

Young upstart on course to dish out embarrassing defeat for Donald Trump

A by-election win for Democrat Jon Ossoff in Atlanta, Georgia, would be a major blow for Trump.

VOTERS WENT TO the polls today in a special election in the US state of Georgia in which a young political novice is carrying the hopes of Democrats seeking to jumpstart a resistance movement against President Donald Trump.

Jon Ossoff, 30, hopes to capitalise on Trump’s lacklustre popularity and make the race for a congressional seat long-held by Republicans a litmus test of the president’s first 100 days.

“We are certainly going for an outright win here today. But a special election is special. It is difficult to predict,” he said today on CNN.

“It will come down to turnout. Because it’s all about turnout – the most important thing people can do is get to the polls.”

Ossoff, who is leading the field of 18 candidates, stressed that the race is about local economic issues “before it is about the national political circus.”

“Everyone is looking for national implications, but all politics is local,” he said.

But a first round win for Ossoff would be the first blow in what is shaping up to be a bitter, 18-month battle for control of the US Congress in the 2018 elections that come halfway through Trump’s presidential term.

Should he secure an upset, it would mark a stunning embarrassment for the president and signal that next year’s mid-term elections are essentially up for grabs.

But the documentary filmmaker and former congressional aide must upset history first.

Georgia’s 6th District is in the relatively affluent and conservative suburbs of Atlanta. It has remained a Republican fortress since 1978 when it was won by Newt Gingrich, the future speaker of the House of Representatives who led a Republican revolution in the 1990s.

Ossoff is running in a special election there to replace Tom Price, who gave up his seat to become Trump’s health secretary.

“This election is about deciding the things that unite us are stronger than the things that divide us,” Ossoff tweeted yesterday.

Trump weighed in today, urging Republicans to get to the polls, and tweeting: “Democrat Jon Ossoff would be a disaster in Congress.”

ossoff Donald J Trump Donald J Trump

Run-off possible

Under normal circumstances, a Republican win would be in little doubt. But Trump’s approval rating lags at around 40% in a Gallup tracking poll – a record low for an incoming president.

A new Gallup poll shows just 45% of Americans think Trump will keep his campaign promises, down from 62% who believed he would in early February.

First-time candidate Ossoff leads the race, polling at 42.5% — far ahead of the top four Republican candidates, none of whom is drawing more than 17%.

If nobody finishes above 50%, the race goes to a 20 June run-off that is expected to pit Ossoff against one of the Republican hopefuls.

A run-off would likely be close, and should Republicans regroup and coalesce strongly around their candidate they could keep the seat.

So Democrats see today as their best chance for victory. Ossoff has marshalled an army of volunteers, and reportedly amassed millions of dollars in out-of-state contributions by Democratic groups.

Part of what is fueling Democratic excitement about the race is that while Trump won Georgia by six percentage points, the district that Ossoff seeks to win supported Trump by barely one point over Democrat Hillary Clinton.

It has a large proportion of well-educated voters who are reliably Republican but frustrated by Trump.

The race has quickly gained national attention, becoming the 11th most expensive election in House history, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.

The Atlanta Journal Constitution has reported that Republicans and Democrats have spent a combined $14 million on ad blitzes to sway the special election.

Last week, a Democrat challenging for an open congressional seat in a deep-red district in Kansas fell short of an upset.

The Democrat lost that race by seven percentage points, but the party sought to spin the result as a positive, pointing out that Trump won the district in November by 27 points.

© – AFP, 2017

Read: Donald Trump hosts Easter Egg Roll (and Sean Spicer met his rabbit replacement)

Read: North Korea is ‘ready to react to any mode of war desired by US’

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    Mute winding_down
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    Jul 11th 2014, 9:48 PM

    Really looks very pleased – he must be relieved to still have a job!

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    Mute winding_down
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    Jul 11th 2014, 9:49 PM

    Reilly*

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    Mute Niall H
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    Jul 12th 2014, 2:25 AM

    Is it true Enda is tippin that burton one from down the road?

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    Mute kopper96
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    Jul 11th 2014, 10:01 PM

    What!!! No Garth Brooks?

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    Mute Maura Boyle
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    Jul 11th 2014, 9:43 PM

    It has the look of splendid icing on a sunken cake!

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    Mute Stephen Mccartney
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    Jul 11th 2014, 10:07 PM

    God help us all…

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    Mute KentuckyWindage
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    Jul 11th 2014, 9:45 PM

    Joan Burton was looking as ravishing as ever.

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    Mute Paul Roche
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    Jul 11th 2014, 9:51 PM

    What?
    No Alan Shatter?

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    Mute Jack Reilly
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    Jul 11th 2014, 10:31 PM

    Cabinet reshuffle…… These feckers couldn’t even do the Apartment Shuffle!

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    Mute Chris Kirk
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    Jul 11th 2014, 11:24 PM

    “Well done Joan, so you finally put the Rabbit in the pot !!”

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    Mute Noelle Connolly
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    Jul 11th 2014, 11:24 PM

    Poor Leo is way down the back, all on his lonesome!

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    Mute Pj Quinn
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    Jul 12th 2014, 2:07 AM

    Would you not think living beside Smithfield Market that some one would have shot down and got the president an orange box to stand on for photos

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    Mute Virtual Architect
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    Jul 12th 2014, 2:16 PM

    People in the not so distant future will look back in bemusement at how we thought having mainstream parties run essentially by banks was a”good idea”..

    How quaint.

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    Mute eastsmer
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    Jul 12th 2014, 12:47 PM

    “Could you all just move to the left slightly?..”
    Any move towards the left by the ‘labour left’ party would be welcome

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