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HAVING ENJOYED A lead of 16 points over Labour on 9 May, the Conservative Party’s lead ahead of Thursday’s general election is just one point according to the latest opinion poll from Survation for ITV.
Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn’s popularity ratings have also increased considerably in the past month, while Theresa May’s have dropped. Both ceased campaigning for a second time, following the London attack on Saturday night.
Across a number of polls, Labour has been gaining on the Conservatives for weeks. Polling before the 2015 general election had predicted a similarly close result but the Conservatives romped to a crushing victory.
But another poll, from ICM yesterday, had the Conservatives lead at 11 points.
This poll was conducted on Friday and Saturday, before the latest terror attack in London.
Last week the Conservatives had a lead of 5.8%. That has been cut to just 1.1% in the last poll.
The Conservatives enjoy support of 41.5% while 40.40% of those polled said they’d vote Labour.
Labour enjoys a large of majority of support among young people, with a lead of 51% to the Conservative’s 39%. Historically, however, turnout among young people has been lower than that of the older generations.
This difference in the age of those who turn out to vote was a major factor in the polls getting it so wrong in the 2015 election, according to John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University.
He told AFP: “One of the things that happened in 2015 is that the polls underestimated the age difference in turnout.”
Pollsters have therefore adjusted their methodologies by widening their pools of respondents, asking them more questions and weighing the result with high-quality academic research done since the last election, explained Curtice.
Part of the reason it is so difficult to predict is Britain’s electoral system.
“There is no automatic relationship between votes cast at the national level and seats won,” because of the first-past-the-post constituency system, Curtice said.
The system makes it especially difficult for smaller parties with support evenly spread nationally to increase their share of seats in parliament.
But smaller parties whose support is concentrated in key constituencies – such as the Scottish Nationalist Party – can do very well, he said.
With reporting from AFP - © AFP 2017
Personally I have a Z3 and find the screen well big enough, any bigger would for me just be a pain to carry around, but it’s personal choice really,
MH, your last point was very helpful….
Will thanks for the compliment, happy it was useful to you as I can see you needed it based on your comment
I have a note 4 and it is a great phone. Size isn’t a problem… in fact I look at the iPhone 5 or regular 6 and they look way too small now.
My point is you get accustomed very very quickly to the larger screen size.
I have never used pure android but find the Samsung stuff really good so far.
I’ve a one plus one it’s the best phone out there
Completely agree. At half the price of the above phone, don’t understand how ppl can justify it. Really hope the OnePlus drives down the cost of the rest of the phone.
The current 6 is poor. Loose screen and shadow on the screen.
Too big a screen.. Unnecessary imo
I use an LG G2 32GB, paid €260 online. Superb phone, decent screen, great camera, awesome battery life…voted best smartphone of 2013. Can’t recommend highly enough :)
http://mobile.pcadvisor.co.uk/reviews/mobile-phone/3471896/lg-g2-review/
It’s 2015.
It is not the size what matters, it is what you do with it.
Rubbish phones the nexus,only hipsters or developers have any use for them
Clearly you never used one. I had the S4 Google Play Edition and it was amazingly smooth, fast and simple. The big bonus for me was that it was free of Samsung ‘s bloated software. While it was simple (but still customisable but not to the extent of samsung), the software was so good that I didn’t feel the need to change every nook and cranny.
I happened to break that one so I bought an S4 again(2 months ago!!) and rooted it with the software. It’s even better when rooted. And it’s just as fast as the new phones now. Not bad for a 2yr old phone.
My original nexus 5′s battery died while still within warranty and Google were very quick to send a replacement to me so kudos to them and that’s another good reason to purchase a handset from the play store. It’s still a very zippy phone after the lollipop update and I have to admit I’m delighted with it. Being free of carrier and manufacturer bloatware is a bonus, although Google have gone to town with their own car seat of apps, which, incidentally, you are unable to uninstall. The 6 is a bit too phablet for me personally. My best mate has the oneplus one and although it is very cool, it’s just too bloody big!!!
one plus one is indeed a smashing phone especially after the Lollipop update.
I could get the G3 (2015) and spend an extra 400 euro for essentially the same phone (give or take a few tweaks) but that woyld be pretty brain dead.
None of the networks are carrying it.
I’d switch to bill pay in a heartbeat if they have this phone :(
have your say