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Financial analyst House affordability should be the government's focus, not just house prices

Mark Coan of moneysherpa says many of the current housing supports are falling short.

ACCORDING TO THE latest DAFT property index, the average asking price for a home in Ireland is now just over €320,000. That makes the average repayment on a 90% mortgage around €1,300 a month much cheaper than the average rent of €1,721 and theoretically within the reach of the typical renter.

The catch? To buy that home, you will also need to find a deposit of €32,000, pretty much impossible to do when you are paying so much on rent.

For those unable to rely on the ‘bank of mum and dad’ the way around this is to use the Help to Buy scheme to fund the required 10% down payment.

However, the scheme only applies to new build properties which are €87,000 more expensive than average at €407,000 according to the same report. Making the mortgage required too large for many would-be First Time Buyers.

First Home Scheme

This is where the other big housing support, the First Home Scheme should come into play, launched in July 2022 it provides First Time Buyers additional finance for new builds through a shared equity plan.

When used with Help to Buy it gives First Time Buyers a further 20% of the purchase price upfront, in return for the scheme getting the same share of your home when you sell at an ultra low fixed interest rate of under 2% per year on average.

On a new build of €407,000 a buyer could therefore get most of their deposit of 10% funded through Help to Buy (€30,000) and then 20% (€81,400) from the First Home Scheme, leaving €10,700 from savings and €284,900 to be funded through a mortgage.

Including the average interest on the equity, the total repayments in this example would be €1,350 a month, only around €40 a month more than if the First Time Buyer had bought a non new build property for €320,000. If you want to work out your own budget you can use a mortgage calculator to work out your buying options or a mortgage repayment calculator to work out what your repayments would be.

Crucially though, with the new build, instead of forking out €32,000 you only need to find €10,700 for the deposit in this example thanks to the Help to Buy scheme. The First Home Scheme is based on a successful UK scheme introduced in 2013 and used with the Help to Buy Scheme has huge potential to free trapped renters by helping households who can’t access additional funds from family. Based on the UK numbers, the scheme could help over 30,000 Irish households to get on the property ladder. To date though only 1,255 homes have been purchased with the scheme, with 7,530 applying.

Low numbers

Some of the low take up so far is due to the lack of understanding of the scheme, but the biggest issue by far is the property price ceilings currently imposed by the scheme.

In Dublin for example the scheme can only be used to purchase properties for less than €495,000, but the vast majority of Dublin’s new builds are already considerably more expensive than that according to the same Daft.ie report.

The worry in Government circles is that without caps limiting the availability of the scheme new build house prices will rise even further.

They will, but that shouldn’t matter, as those houses are still more affordable due to the subsidies being available. It’s whether houses are affordable after the subsidies that matters, not whether house prices seem high or low.

Contrary to what many think, developers aren’t making super profits on new housing developments right now, as costs have shot up in the last few years. That’s why housing construction and supply are so limited. Higher new build prices will therefore stimulate supply by making developing more profitable and help fix the root cause of our housing crisis, supply.

Politicians and policymakers are paranoid about high house prices and the negative headlines that come with them, but that’s the tail wagging the dog. What they should worry about instead is expanding housing affordability.

The Help to Buy and First Home Scheme have huge potential to help us fix both housing supply long term and help trapped renters in the short term if we have the courage to lift the current caps.

Mark Coan is Founder of Online Financial Guide moneysherpa.ie.

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    Mute Gowanoutathat
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 1:31 PM

    Isn’t it amazing that the families of the victims of the disaster are expected to pay legal fees when a drug dealer s unmbag can get free legal aid.

    Just pay the bill Enda

    328
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    Mute Lm group
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 9:00 PM

    He will only pay it if they sign away everything, so another well connected gangster will get away with murder and the victims family’s can FCUK off pure and simple

    15
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    Mute Stephen Duggan
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 1:30 PM

    If there is an agreement in place it should be honored immediately. This is such an emotionally charged case and these people have been thru enough,please do the decent thing. I remember the event well even tho I was only 10 yrs old. Myself my sister and two neighbours set up a garage sale on the side of the road,we gave the proceeds to the local priest to give to the victims fund. The images on TV are still as vivid today to me as they were 33 yrs ago. An absolute tragic event that should never be forgotten .

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    Mute Shakka1244
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 3:37 PM

    I’m sure you just asked the government to do the right thing. Not going to happen unless the legal team are friends of FG.

    24
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    Mute finbarr ocormac
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 1:26 PM

    I bet you every Gov politican would have promised to help them when they were in opposition but like every dog in the corner they will run away when challenged on their promise’s…also Happy Gilmore is out in Brussels trying to fix the problems in the Ukraine so don’t bother contacting him about it anyway

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    Mute CMac59
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 1:28 PM

    One should be careful about accepting promises from any government unless one is Ibec, RTE, a bank or a bondholder, multi-national or part of the farming lobby or some other part of the establishment; or a friend of a leading politician. That is show it is in Ireland.

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    Mute Filthpig
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 1:32 PM

    When you see the word ‘promise’ in the same sentence as the word ‘politician’, the first word to enter your mind should be ‘lie’.

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    Mute James Delaney
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    Mar 4th 2014, 2:47 AM

    1st word is – It better be written down.

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    Mute anne-marie kelly
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 2:54 PM

    These are families that have never healed or gotten closure for their grief and loss. Could’nt Butterly toss in a few Euro’s towards this as well, seeing as how he did so well financially & legally out of the deaths of 48 young people on his sub-standard premises!!!

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    Mute Carcu Sidub
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 2:13 PM

    “They are agreeable to having their costs measured on the basis of all work done in connection with the above hearings”

    Question. How much will the Governments charge for measuring that all work done was in connection with the hearings? I bet it’s more than €192k.

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    Mute Richard Rodgers
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 4:46 PM

    The Stardust Disaster was one of the most appalling tragedies to ever happen in this State and appropriately a Judicial Enquiry was held to uncover the cause even though we were all well informed at the time as to the likely cause. Jam factories are hardly ever likely to be suitable buildings for night clubs and especially when Emergency exit doors are chained and locked while large numbers are on the premises.
    The Government should urgently look at this request but the problem is that the survivors are still demanding another Judicial Enquiry into the tragedy and someone has to eventually suggest we stop as its not going to be resolved after so many years no matter how awful the loss and cause.

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    Mute Sheik Yahbouti
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 2:27 PM

    Well, that explains a lot.

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    Mute anne-marie kelly
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 8:02 PM

    Finally, i’ve copped on. This whole Journal.ie site, it’s a load of horse shite. Set up for eejits, to make bigger eejita of themselves, but pretending to be about truth. I’m outa here, gone, bye bye.

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    Mute Michael Reilly
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    Mar 3rd 2014, 8:38 PM

    Is this money owed to the grieving families or to a bunch of greedy lawyers?

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    Mute Patricia Kennedy
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    Jul 16th 2014, 3:19 PM

    Geraldine Foy has given us the power to fight on and only for her we wouldn’t have gotten this far

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