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Analysis: Six reasons why Ireland was a landslide Yes for repeal

The country has voted to abolish the Eighth Amendment.

Ireland abortion laws Celebrations in Dublin Castle this evening. Niall Carson Niall Carson

IRELAND HAS VOTED overwhelmingly to repeal the Eighth Amendment.

The final results are in and the government’s proposal has been passed by 66.4% to 33.6%

Campaigners have been seeking the removal of the amendment for many years and there have been several fateful events that brought the issue into the national consciousness.

In recent years pressure to repeal has been building, culminating in today’s result.

But why is it that people voted in such numbers repeal?

TheJournal.ie has compiled a few reasons…

Savita, Miss C, Miss P, Miss Y and X

Ireland abortion laws A mural of Savita Halappanavar in Dublin by street artist Aches. Niall Carson / PA Images Niall Carson / PA Images / PA Images

It seems almost wrong to cite individual tragedies as reasons in a debate, but the reality is that these horrific cases angered large numbers of Irish people.

All can agree that the women mentioned above should not have been put through what they were and yesterday was Ireland’s opportunity to say no more.

The same can be said of groups like Termination for Medical Reasons who spoke bravely about their own experiences and the put themselves into the spotlight.

There is little more to say about those awful tragedies in this context except to say that many voted compassionately with those women in mind.

Ireland wanted more liberal abortion

ballot 207_90545930 A Yes vote in the Dublin Count Centre in RDS. Sam Boal / RollingNews.ie Sam Boal / RollingNews.ie / RollingNews.ie

That may seem like stating the obvious after such a huge vote, but it’s worth repeating that this came about because Ireland was simply not happy with the way things were.

Today wasn’t because of some kind of insurgent movement that came out of nowhere.

Opinion polls over recent history have consistently shown that people wanted change.

An Irish Times poll last year found that 57% wanted a vote allowing abortion in cases of rape, fatal foetal abnormality and a threat to the life of the woman.

Before the current government came into office in 2016, more than half of people said expanding access to abortion should be a priority. Three-quarters wanted a referendum.

Go back further to December 2012, a Red C poll for the Sunday Business Post found that 85% wanted the X Case legislated for and 82% of voters wanted abortion legalised in cases of rape.

In all those polls, none were not supportive of the current proposals to legalise abortion without restriction up to a period, but it is clear that change was wanted.

Today’s vote is a reflection of that.

The Citizens’ Assembly worked 

The Citizens' Assembly / YouTube

The Citizens’ Assembly sat for five separate weekends listening to hours of evidence about the Eighth Amendment.

They heard from doctors, lawyers and on one particular emotional day heard the testimony of six women who were affected by it.

While there was criticism of both the idea of the Citizens’ Assembly and its make up, there is no doubting that the members were exemplary in how they carried out their task.

Just over 13 months ago today, the assembly members began voting on what they thought of Ireland’s abortion laws.

In a series of votes they recommended that the Eighth Amendment needed to go but advised that the Constitution should direct politicians to legislate.

The Irish public has agreed with them today.

Almost to the number in fact, the Citizens’ Assembly voted by 64% to 36% for abortion on request. The assembly was set up to be representative of the Irish people and it proved to be.

Furthermore, politically it was also a success and former taoiseach Enda Kenny has been receiving praise today for initiating it.

The Citizens’ Assembly voted that abortion should be available on request up to 12 weeks. This is also the government’s proposal and it will now likely happen.

What’s clear from this is that, what the assembly recommended, politicians eventually followed.

Crucially, it meant that politicians didn’t have to propose the ideas in the first place, because it’s unlikely they would have.

Even from the cynical viewpoint, if the assembly was set up as mudguard for politicians who didn’t want to get their hands dirty, it succeeded in doing that too.

The Yes side boxed clever

One of the early tropes of the referendum campaign was that the Yes side was slow out of the blocks and that the No side was steaming ahead.

The talk was that the No side had all their posters up first and when the Yes side did get their posters up their messaging was weak.

But this was the longest of long referendum campaigns and getting out of the blocks first was not the priority. If ever there was an example of a referendum campaign being a marathon and not a sprint this was it.

It also ignored some other vital considerations. The main one being that the referendum was the Yes side’s to lose rather than to win.

As few weeks before the referendum was confirmed, polls showed that people backed repeal as well as the 12 weeks proposal. These numbers remained steady throughout the campaign.

During the campaign, polls consistently showed a near 2:1 ratio in favour of repeal excluding undecideds.

Assuming those numbers were correct, the Yes campaign’s primary mission was to not alienate voters or do anything that would change their minds.

While a loud, confident campaign may have been ideologically sound, it would have risked doing just that. When things are going well, perhaps best not to chance it.

Instead, what Together for Yes side did was focus on something that was perceived to be one of the main strengths of the Nos.

It was always said that the No side would have an unbeatable ground game that would knock on doors and get people to the polling stations.

Instead, Together for Yes turned that on its head and not only did they conduct a large and sustained canvassing campaign but their numbers seemed to swell in the past week.

There was bravery from some politicians

pill 144_90544655 People Before Profit TD Brid Smith. Sam Boal / RollingNews.ie Sam Boal / RollingNews.ie / RollingNews.ie

It was almost an accepted wisdom among politicians that even discussing the issue of abortion was a bad idea for them electorally. In 2016, TheJournal.ie asked every TD about the Eighth Amendment, fewer than half even responded.

Choosing individual politicians who have staunchly campaigned in favour of abortion rights risks leaving some out.

But in recent years, Clare Daly TD has been vocal in support of legalised abortion while Bríd Smith TD made the unprecedented step of talking about her own abortion in the Dáil.

Taoiseach Leo Varadkar also namechecked Ruth Coppinger in the Dáil this week for her tireless efforts.

The current government also deserves credit for not sitting on the recommendations of the Citizens’ Assembly. The Oireachtas Committee on the Eighth Amendment sat within months of its completion and despite some misgivings about the timeline, delivered its report on time.

By and large, it also conducted its work in collegiate manner and its chairperson Senator Catherine Noone put herself in a vulnerable position to lead it and should be applauded for that.

People found ways to talk about abortion

90423672_90423672 A pop up shop selling repeal jumpers on Dublin's Essex Street. Leah Farrell / RollingNews.ie Leah Farrell / RollingNews.ie / RollingNews.ie

While talk from some during the campaign focused on ‘silent Nos’, the reality is that there was a huge ‘silent Yes’ waiting to cast its vote.

With the Eighth Amendment in place for 35 years and more than 170,000 women and girls travelling abroad for an abortion in that time, this is an issue that touched many people.

Many knew someone who’d travelled and others had a family member who had a diagnoses of fatal foetal abnormality. But while people knew their position, it was not one they felt like talking about.

The Repeal jumper became the iconic image of the campaign not only because of its simplicity of message but also because it changed the point of argument.

People who may have felt uncomfortable advocating for abortion rights felt more comfortable doing so without using the word itself. ‘Repeal’ became the byword for campaigners and it has proved to be the winning one.

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61 Comments
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    Mute Tony O Neill
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:07 AM

    Don’t understand all the hype.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:14 AM

    I think we can take it that the number of people with tickets are going and the rest aren’t.

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    Mute IMHO
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:05 AM

    I’d sooner gouge my own eyes out with a blunt pencil.

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    Mute Liam O'Reilly
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:08 AM

    @IMHO:oooh you are so edgy!

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    Mute Sean Parker
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:29 PM

    @Liam O’Reilly: his pencil isn’t doh it seems.

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    Mute Andy Masterson
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:48 PM

    @IMHO: luckily they aren’t the only options. You can just not go

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    Mute Clyde Bear
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    Jun 28th 2024, 5:46 PM

    @IMHO: A sharp one would cause more damage I’d imagine.

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    Mute gordon o loughlin
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    Jun 28th 2024, 8:10 PM

    @IMHO: lol.

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    Mute gordon o loughlin
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    Jun 28th 2024, 8:11 PM

    @IMHO: I think the ears would be my priority haha

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    Mute Steve O'Hara-Smith
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:38 AM

    I’ll be about as far from her gig as possible in Ireland, at home on the wet coast of Kerry.
    I enjoyed a wonderful open mic night last night in Tralee intimate and friendly, some great talent, some original songs, no crowds, no trouble getting there, parking or getting back and free.
    I’m no fan of big gigs or her style but for those who are I hope they have a great night.

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    Mute Kevin Kerr
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:50 AM

    @Steve O’Hara-Smith: agree, I much prefer a smaller, more intimate gig these days, be it in The Academy in town, Harbour Bar in Bray or Arthur’s in town. Taylor Swift just isn’t my thing, but pop has never being my thing really, with the odd exception. Hope everyone enjoys it this weekend.

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    Mute Robert Halvey
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:55 AM

    @Steve O’Hara-Smith: I spent a few years in the army barracks back in the day ,a great town ,bally b and bagatelle and u2 playing, ireland is good place to live and instead of rancor, we should possibly enjoy

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    Mute eoin fitzpatrick
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    Jun 28th 2024, 1:29 PM

    @Steve O’Hara-Smith: we have countless amounts of open mic and small acts in dublin too, but we also get superstars like taylor. the land of plenty!

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    Mute Steve O'Hara-Smith
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    Jun 28th 2024, 5:13 PM

    @eoin fitzpatrick: Each to their own but should I want to see a superstar in Dublin I expect that the drive from the traffic jam for the N7/M50 junction to wherever I can park and the walk from there to my seat/spot at the gig may well take longer than the drive from North Kerry to that traffic jam.

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    Mute Robert Halvey
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:04 AM

    Welcome to ireland woman ,enjoy yourself and experience the craic

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    Mute Alan
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:16 PM

    @Robert Halvey: correction: monetise the craic. As lydon said ‘ever get the feeling you’ve been had?’ 3 days 03 hired out for merchandise lol

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    Mute Robert Halvey
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:25 PM

    @Alan: iam on the drink ,what’s your excuse

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    Mute A D
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:52 PM

    @Alan: (He said “Ever get the feeling you’ve been cheated?”)

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    Mute Alan
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    Jun 28th 2024, 3:47 PM

    @A D: you’re right. My mistake. A great line.

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    Mute Adam
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:46 AM

    Two articles in the first four stories are about this pop star, imagine calling yourself a journalist and printing this tripe.

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    Mute Kevin Kerr
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:11 PM

    @Adam: ah give over, Mr Grumpy. It’s the weekend! And journalists need to start somewhere – they don’t go straight to the politics desk on the Washington Post

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    Mute Brian Dunne
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:52 AM

    No, not my bag. But i hope all the swifties have a great time and enjoy!

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    Mute stephen cunningham
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:41 AM

    Cant wait! Bringing the four kids! Going to be epic!

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    Mute Ger Power
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:13 PM

    Thankfully I couldn’t name or recognise one of her songs. I am starting a walking tour this weekend of a street in Dublin she once walked on 10 years ago, tickets are a bargain at €100 for a 10 minute guided walk of nothing.

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    Mute David Lambe
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    Jun 28th 2024, 11:06 AM

    No

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    Mute Eddienowy Byrne
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:14 PM

    Pain in me whatsits with the amount of hype about it

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    Mute Padraig O'Brien
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:41 PM

    I don’t rate her “music ” myself but have no objection to her or her fans enjoying themselves however the hype is beyond sickening.

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    Mute Gavin Gray
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:53 PM

    @Padraig O’Brien: her fans are worse than the journal trolls

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    Mute Gavin Gray
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:29 PM

    if she was in the back garden, I would close the curtains

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    Mute Vincent Alexander
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    Jun 28th 2024, 1:10 PM

    @Gavin Gray: I’d look for my glasses.

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    Mute Nodon
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    Jun 28th 2024, 1:40 PM

    @Gavin Gray: I’d leave the curtains open and insert earplugs.

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    Mute Mojo
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:14 PM

    Idol worship

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    Mute Ray Buckley
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    Jun 28th 2024, 3:15 PM

    As a seasoned concert goer she wouldn’t be my cuppa tea but I hope everybody going to TS and any other Gig over the weekend has a great time , I shall be attending Stevie Nicks on Wednesday myself .

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    Mute Mick Hanna
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    Jun 28th 2024, 12:53 PM

    I like her and her music, but I am finished going to concerts. Can’t be bothered.

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    Mute Joseph Fitzgibbon
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    Jun 28th 2024, 10:23 PM

    I must be missing something. Most of her songs I’ve heard, sound very similar, although I have to admit that I haven’t heard too many of them. She is a good singer and clearly a good entertainer but I can’t see me humming along to any of her songs in the years to come. I think the quality of songs these days are so poor compared to the likes of 70s, 80s, 90s, even noughties, but maybe that’s just me getting old.

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    Mute gordon o loughlin
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    Jun 28th 2024, 8:10 PM

    If she was out in the garden I’d close the curtains lol

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    Mute Ciarán Nestor
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    Jun 28th 2024, 5:18 PM

    *Tommy Bowe voice* Ten Albums??!

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    Mute martin finnegan
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    Jun 29th 2024, 9:25 PM

    Stevie Nicks a million times better than her

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    Mute martin finnegan
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    Jun 29th 2024, 9:24 PM

    Music these days is so poor compared to years ago. So manufactured .

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    Mute martin finnegan
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    Jun 29th 2024, 9:21 PM

    Not that great cant understand what big deal is with her. So many better artists out there.

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    Mute Vincent Hickey
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    Jun 29th 2024, 9:33 PM

    ???

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