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People walking in heavy snow in the Phoenix Park during the 2010 Big Freeze Leon Farrell/Photocall Ireland

Dreams of a white Christmas dashed, with scattered showers and sunny spells in store

Met Éireann forecasts a mix of scatter showers and sunny spells for Christmas Day.

A WHITE CHRISTMAS isn’t on the cards this year, with Met Éireann instead forecasting a day of scattered showers with sunny spells.

A white Christmas occurs when there is lying snow at 9am on 25 December at one of the main primary stations.

It has always been a rare occurrence in Ireland and is becoming rarer still due to climate change – the average December day now has a mean temperature of around seven degrees.

The last time a white Christmas happened was during the Big Freeze of 2010, and it’s happened nine times in all since 1964.

During the Big Freeze of 2010, the highest total of lying snow in Ireland on Christmas Day was recorded – 27 centimetres at Casement Aerodrome.

A Met Éireann spokesperson told The Journal that “while there remains some uncertainty in the forecast”, it looks likely that Christmas Day “will bring a mix of scattered showers and sunny spells”.

There is also a chance of longer spells of rain in some northern and western parts.

And while there will be a brief cooler spell on Christmas Day, it won’t bring any snow.

The Met Éireann spokesperson said: “The models are currently trending towards a brief cooler spell on Christmas Day after a relatively mild few days this week.

“However, temperatures will not be cold enough to bring any wintry precipitation.”

While Ireland does get occasional cold snaps, environmental journalist John Gibbons told The Journal that the “general climatic shift in Ireland is that we’re moving towards drier, warmer summers, and wetter, milder winters”.

He noted that the “amount of rainfall in Ireland in the last couple of decades has increased by 7%”.

“It’s a huge change and one of the reasons we’re seeing more and more flooding events,” said Gibbons.

“With every additional degree of global warming, we get an extra 7% precipitation in the atmosphere.

“Assuming global warming continues on its current path, it’s going to get an awful lot wetter in Ireland.

“I think it’s far more likely that we’ll have sodden Christmases rather than white Christmases.”

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    Mute Boris Blank
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    Dec 19th 2023, 1:11 PM

    Pity, I was really looking forward to building a snowperson

    104
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    Mute Dave Barrett
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    Dec 19th 2023, 2:05 PM

    @Boris Blank: maybe it doesn’t to be identified as a “snow person”

    51
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    Mute Ceann Cac
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    Dec 19th 2023, 3:40 PM

    @Boris Blank: Same, although it disgusts me that all snow persons are white. The lack of diversity even in 2023 is awful

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    Mute Boris Blank
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    Dec 19th 2023, 4:01 PM

    @Ceann Cac: excellent point!

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    Mute Boris Blank
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    Dec 19th 2023, 4:01 PM

    @Dave Barrett: true, Dave

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    Mute casio shock
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    Dec 19th 2023, 4:44 PM

    @Boris Blank: its only a snowwoman if there’s snowballs

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    Mute Boris Blank
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    Dec 19th 2023, 8:49 PM

    @casio shock: lol

    4
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    Mute Pete Murray
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    Dec 20th 2023, 12:05 AM

    @Ceann Cac: it’s ok to be white and proud :)

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    Mute P. V. Aglue
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    Dec 20th 2023, 12:58 AM

    @Ceann Cac: privileged White snow person

    5
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    Mute honey badger
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    Dec 19th 2023, 12:28 PM

    We’re lucky so. The UK met are warning of serious snowfall across the water over Christmas.

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    Mute downburst1
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    Dec 19th 2023, 4:47 PM

    @honey badger: The UK Met are not warning of serious snowfall in the UK at all over Christmas. I suspect you are a tabloid reader?

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    Mute brendan C5
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    Dec 19th 2023, 12:51 PM

    So if it doesn’t snow on a certain date at a certain time it’s because of climate change, I know met eireann didn’t say that nonsense. Idi ot journalists.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Dec 19th 2023, 1:31 PM

    @brendan C5: Do you understand the concept of trends?

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    Mute Oh Mammy
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    Dec 19th 2023, 2:39 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: I do indeed. Like violence, specifically in Dublin, is trending higher.

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    Mute Ann Nugent
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    Dec 19th 2023, 1:16 PM

    Last week it said white Christmas this week it says no white Christmas. ???

    37
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    Mute KTH
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    Dec 19th 2023, 1:26 PM

    @Ann Nugent:
    I know they change their mind like the weather.

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    Mute Sean O'Dhubhghaill
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    Dec 19th 2023, 2:24 PM

    @Ann Nugent: Eh…… no they didn’t.

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    Mute Sean O'Dhubhghaill
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    Dec 19th 2023, 2:30 PM

    Blame it on Dickens! Between 1815 abd 1825 there were about 6 ‘Whute Christmases’ in London. Dickens reflected his childhood experiences in his novels, and literally ‘invented’ the so-called ‘traditional’ Christmas beloved by many. Turkey, Pudding, Snow, Carols, all featured strongly and still do. Though white Christmases are an actual rarity the scenes on Chrustmas cards would have you believe otherwise! All thanks to Dickens.

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    Mute Denis Rathsallagh Brady
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    Dec 19th 2023, 3:10 PM

    @Sean O’Dhubhghaill: Theres me thinking it was Coca-Cola, but thats the Santa Claus connection thingymajig whatchamacallit

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    Mute Argus Romsworth
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    Dec 19th 2023, 1:07 PM

    That’s a shame. Hopefully we get a bit in the new year.

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    Mute Shane O Mac
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    Dec 19th 2023, 6:24 PM

    Heavy snow = no visiting inlaws

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    Mute Kieran Stafford
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    Dec 19th 2023, 11:31 PM

    @Shane O Mac: sounds good

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    Mute Gerard Hayden
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    Dec 19th 2023, 3:16 PM

    Way back in ’74 Greg Lake was using the lack of snow at Christmas for one of the reasons he no longer believed…

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    Mute Sean O'Dhubhghaill
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    Dec 19th 2023, 4:18 PM

    @Gerard Hayden: Possibly one of my favourite ‘Christmas’ songs, even if it is about rejecting Christmas.

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    Mute Pato
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    Dec 19th 2023, 1:34 PM

    There no longer is a white so it will be a no, a yellow or a red Christmas.

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    Mute Joe Meade
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    Dec 19th 2023, 4:21 PM

    @Pato:
    Cheer up Cracker….you and the scooter looters can always cheer yourselves up with some supremely white ‘Aryan’ chavwear, some fire accelerant cara matches and the piece de résistance, some>50% ‘pure’ rat poison infused gak/crack for that proper 12 /10 skanger’s shite Crim-bo!! Keep her/him/it lit….while yee can yet! ;@}

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    Mute Shane O Mac
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    Dec 19th 2023, 6:22 PM

    Must be that ol climate change again

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    Mute jiminybillybob
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    Dec 19th 2023, 9:06 PM

    Shocker there.

    1
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