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File photo of the emergency department at the Mater hospital, Dublin RollingNews.ie

Hospitalisations and deaths linked to hot weather are set to increase due to climate change

In the worst case scenario, there could be as many as 1,400 more temperature-related deaths per year by the end of the century.

CLIMATE CHANGE WILL likely increase hospital admissions, as a growing number of people are expected to fall ill due to high temperatures.

In the worst case scenario, there could be as many as 1,400 additional deaths per year in Ireland by the end of the century.

New research by the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) has found a link between climate change, temperature changes and healthcare demand.

Temperature data from Met Éireann was combined with emergency inpatient hospitalisation data. It was found that temperature increases have a significant impact on hospitalisation figures for related health conditions.

Emergency hospital admissions for temperature-affected diseases were 8.5% higher on hot days (22–25oC) compared to moderate temperature days (10–13oC).

The largest increases in hospitalisations on hot days were seen for circulatory, respiratory and infectious diseases, and amongst younger people (14 years and under).

Emma Balmaine, CEO of the Irish Heart Foundation described the findings as “stark”, saying vulnerable people, such as children and those with cardiovascular disease,  will be worst affected.

“To protect public health, it is vital that we invest in our healthcare system to ensure its resiliency and adopt immediate measures to transition to a more environmentally sustainable society,” she said.

On the hottest days where temperatures exceeded 25oC, results showed potential evidence of adaptive behaviour, especially among older people, which suggests that advance notice of warm weather can help people change their behaviour and protect themselves.

Climate change projections

Under the Paris Agreement, Ireland must reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 55% by 2030 and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050.

Dr Kelly de Bruin, Senior Research Officer at the ESRI said: “ Achieving these targets is essential to limit the negative effects of climate change on population health and the healthcare system .”

Mean annual temperatures are projected to increase by between 1 and 1.6oC in the period 2041–2060.

In light of this, in the same period, hospital admissions for health conditions linked with temperature are projected to rise by 12.2% during hotter weather under the most realistic scenario.

However, if the reality is worse than projected, climate change could lead to 1,400 additional deaths per annum in Ireland by the end of the 21st century.

This, the report says, illustrates the urgency required to tackle climate change.

Dr Anne Nolan, Associate Professor at the ESRI said: “These results emphasise the need for policymakers in moderate climate countries including Ireland to implement adaptive measures and increase capacity to accommodate the higher hospital demand from higher temperatures, especially during the summer months.”

The ESRI’s research was funded by the Climate and Health Alliance, an organisation made of health professionals from around the world with the aim of mitigating the effects of climate change in the interest of public health.

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    Mute peter o donoghue
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    Jul 10th 2024, 6:17 AM

    “There is no climate emergency “
    The late great Professor Ray Bates, the most qualified scientist to talk about climate by a country mile which was ever produced by Ireland.
    Was never allowed again on mainstream media though after saying this. I wonder why.
    The science is not settled.
    The money is settled!
    Look up the ICSF ( Irish climate science forum) for the real science.

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    Mute P. V. Aglue
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:10 AM

    @peter o donoghue: David Bellamy, the bbc nature presenter from the 80s/90s was cast aside for similar views.

    239
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    Mute Jacintha Dumbrell
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:48 AM

    @peter o donoghue: Real life is too scary for some people, so they like to bury their heads in conspiracy theories online, it’s like a comfort blanket of denial.

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    Mute Hayagriva
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:53 AM

    @peter o donoghue: Grand so, I guess that one scientist out of god knows how many is right and all the others are wrong. Do you hear yourself? Actually scratch that, I’m sure you’re well used to the sound

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    Mute Jim
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:56 AM

    @Jacintha Dumbrell: it’s amazing… It’s easier to manipulate & fool people than have them admit they were manipulated & fooled.

    “Conspiracy Theories”? Shame most of them are becoming Conspiracy Facts.

    The frailty of people’s ego means they go alone with whatever narrative the NPC is being fed to regurgate…. ‘I stand with… ” etc. Which results in bigotry, as your post proves.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:01 AM

    @peter o donoghue: From the blog of the Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units hosted by the Department of Geography at Maynooth University:

    ‘Ray has had a long and distinguished career. But that career has been in atmospheric dynamics and not climate. Yes, both are to do with the atmosphere, but when your toilet is backing up you call the plumber and not the electrician. In the same way when looking for guidance on climate change it is advisable to listen to the climate scientists of which there are many thousands the vast majority of whom (and I mean vast) concur with the broad findings of the IPCC and various national assessments and national academies that climate change is real, its due to us, and that our choices now are of critical import. Equally, if you want to discuss the intricacies of atmospheric dynamics please don’t come knocking at my door!

    ‘The analysis of Ray Bates is not a peer reviewed paper and finding substantive flaws in it is really not that hard. This has taken me all of an hour of an evening. Compare and contrast to the rigor of the IPCC assessment process with multi-author teams, multiple drafting meetings, substantive rounds of in-depth review, and final sign off on the summary word by word with the governments of the world. Only the most robust findings survive such a process. It is to borrow a colloquialism like contrasting night and day. I know who I’m going to pin my choices as to the future for my kids on. It’s the guys saying this:’

    23
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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:06 AM

    ‘… Every action matters, every bit of warming matters, every year matters, every choice matters.’

    17
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    Mute Jacintha Dumbrell
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:13 AM

    @Jim: Wow, the algorithm got you real bad! Enjoy La La Land.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:22 AM
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    Mute P. V. Aglue
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    Jul 10th 2024, 10:48 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: the best thing for anyone to do for the earth is not have any children. As long as the world population keeps growing, alot of the measures are “hit in hope”

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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:52 PM

    @peter o donoghue: Would you let a Urologist do heart surgery on you?

    Why then take the opinions of a weatherman over a climate specialist.

    Ray Bates was no climate scientist.

    And judging by the quality of Met Eireann’s weather forecast he wasn’t great at weather forecast modelling either.

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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:00 PM

    @P. V. Aglue: You might as well say your local postman was cast aside for similar views.

    Anyone can make any claim they like.

    But, to be taken seriously, they should be able to back it up.

    1
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    Mute John Sleator
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    Jul 10th 2024, 6:20 AM

    Scaremongering at its finest.Do people not know how to take care of themselves these days.

    414
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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:52 AM

    @John Sleator: Are you trying to suggest that people do not suffer from heat stroke?

    That when heat waves arrive people cannot just simply avoid them?

    Nonetheless, this is a (yet another) poor report from the ESRI.

    Not because people will not suffer in extreme heat.
    But because no one yet know the effect of Climate Change on Ireland.
    We may well be subject to higher temperatures here.
    Or we may have cooler temperatures.

    We’ll know soon enough.

    11
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    Mute Joe Mc Dermott
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    Jul 10th 2024, 10:45 AM

    @ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere: it’s fcking freezing out, for God’s sake give it a rest.. they can’t tell the weather for tomorrow let alone next week

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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:13 PM

    @Joe Mc Dermott: Precisely my point.

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    Mute Joe Mc Dermott
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:28 PM

    @ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere: why scaremonger then

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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:44 PM

    @Joe Mc Dermott: The more interesting question is why you see what I post – which is simple fact – as scaremongering.

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    Mute jiminybillybob
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    Aug 22nd 2024, 7:29 AM

    @ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere: heat stroke in Ireland? I live in Ireland this is a bs article. Portugal, Spain, Italy etc. Should have a vastly reduced population so. Africa should be unpopulated by default.

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    Mute Furious George - The Wasp
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    Jul 10th 2024, 6:39 AM

    Maybe for other countries but not here. Such fear mongering. Our climate will be wetter and colder some times , hotter and dry others. Quick raise taxes

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    Mute P. V. Aglue
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:27 AM

    @Furious George – The Wasp: at least we’ll be prepared for it!, with so many years of advanced warning

    29
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    Mute Gerard Carey
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    Jul 10th 2024, 6:27 AM

    The Journal.ie.
    AKA The Daily Doom and Gloom.

    311
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    Mute Gerald Kelleher
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    Jul 10th 2024, 6:46 AM

    @Gerard Carey:

    The Journal of Royal Society Modellers.

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    Mute Dermot Lane
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:05 AM

    @Gerald Kelleher: what are your qualifications to dispute over 99% of climate scientists? Apart from your mantra about Royal Society Modellers, put up some hard, factual proven and tested evidence

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    Mute Hayagriva
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:24 AM

    @Gerald Kelleher: ironic considering you’re thejournals biggest contributor where climate waffle is concerned

    25
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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:15 PM

    @Hayagriva: I think you could have left out the word ‘climate’.

    5
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    Mute Ann neylan
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    Jul 10th 2024, 7:36 AM

    It’s 10 July, so when can we put away our winter clothes? I have the heat on this morning.

    250
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    Mute Dave Barrett
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:14 AM

    @Ann neylan: I have the Stove going last four nights.

    64
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    Mute Declan Young
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    Jul 10th 2024, 7:11 AM

    Is it the 1st of April?

    214
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    Mute Dave Barrett
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:28 AM

    @Declan Young: It could be. Feels like it with the temperature this last few nights.

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    Mute michael foran
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    Jul 10th 2024, 6:46 AM

    More chance of being hit with lightning than getting sun burn

    272
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    Mute Pat Collins
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    Jul 10th 2024, 7:39 AM

    Funny that as we have the heating on in July

    188
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    Mute damien leen
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    Jul 10th 2024, 7:46 AM

    Oooohhhh ..are you scared yet…more scaremongering on its way!
    And if the climate change stories aren’t quiet doin it we’ll throw in a bit of Covid is on the rise again!

    204
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    Mute David Stapleton
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:14 AM

    Sensationalis and fear mongering at it’s worst. 25°C is not life threatening. The only thing that is “Stark” is the amount of BS that is being written about this.

    200
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    Mute Eric Gaffney
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:08 AM

    The headline says deaths “are set to increase” and then the article says “worse case scenario “. Atrocious “journalism”.

    163
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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:42 AM

    @Eric Gaffney: No: it states that 1400 deaths p.a. is the worst case scenario, but under the most realistic scenario hospital admissions for health conditions linked with temperature are projected to rise by 12.2% during hotter weather.

    Every scenario is bad.

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    Mute Eric Gaffney
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:59 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: Still crying about the weather. How’s that working out for you?

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:08 AM

    @Eric Gaffney: Still afraid to face reality?

    10
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    Mute Eric Gaffney
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:09 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: Yeah that’s right Rambo.

    31
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    Mute Darth O'Leary
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    Jul 10th 2024, 10:20 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: It’s not quite “reality” if projections and modelling are used. At best It’s the projected reality according to the models. We’ve had junk models inform policy during COVID. The Ferguson models from The Imperial College springs to mind. After such a modelling fiasco it’s not surprising that there might exist some scepticism among some. Many countries and their leaders invoked Ferguson’s model as their rationale for lockdowns (Remember Leo frightening the bejaysus out of the country with his 80,000 deaths that he gleaned from Ferguson’s model?)
    Please Google : The Failure of Imperial College Modeling Is Far Worse than We Knew. I can’t post links but it’s available from the American Institute for Economic Research website

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 10:37 AM

    @Darth O’Leary: I know from Eric’s previous comments that he’s afraid to face reality in general.

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    Mute Eric Gaffney
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    Jul 10th 2024, 10:45 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: Did you not take anything from that chaps comment? You just ignored everything he said.

    12
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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 10:49 AM

    @Eric Gaffney: Covid policy isn’t relevant to this discussion, and climate change is not a matter of ‘junk models’.

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    Mute Darth O'Leary
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    Jul 10th 2024, 11:13 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: “To sum up, both cases are similar in that they show scientific uncertainty, pressure to take decisions, alleged science denial, and a central role of models and scenarios for legitimizing policies” – COVID and Climate: Similarities and differences by Reiner Grundmann. Available to read at The National Library of Medicine website.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 11:23 AM

    @Darth O’Leary: And the very next sentence is ‘I now turn to the differences.’

    The author concludes: ‘I have argued that despite some similarities between both cases, what stands out for me are the many significant differences.’

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    Mute Eric Gaffney
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    Jul 10th 2024, 11:24 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: It is relevant, anyone opposed to the chosen narrative is put down immediately with no room for opinion and or cancelled by the powers that be. You think you’re clever but all you do is repeat every climate change article. Take note of what Mr O Leary is saying to you. Everyone is tired of the sky is falling narrative.

    11
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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 11:29 AM

    @Eric Gaffney: And all you do is swallow misinformation and disinformation.

    3
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    Mute Darth O'Leary
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    Jul 10th 2024, 11:29 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: The similarities between the two are what you questioned and what I answered. Nobody is suggesting there are no differences but will you still ignore the similarities?

    7
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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 11:39 AM

    @Darth O’Leary: I don’t care much about Covid and the response to it: that’s in the past. I care about the future of the planet. Do you?

    To quote Reiner Grundmann’s last sentence, ‘The hard work of developing international cooperation would seem prudent.’

    1
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    Mute Darth O'Leary
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:00 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: Who doesn’t care about the future of the planet Brendan? You’re using very emotive language. Obviously you’re passionate about the environment. So am I, so don’t talk down to me please. I do feel the need to repeat… The reason covid is relevant is because the modelling informed policy and even though it was proved that the modelling was wrong, anyone who went outside the established group think was vilified and censored. International cooperation would indeed seem prudent. Could they please start with the world’s biggest institutional polluters i.e. the US military? Maybe on the day they do that I’ll start believing that the ones in power actually care about the planet and aren’t just using this whole agenda to further their control over us

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:08 PM

    @Darth O’Leary: Yes, it would be better if the US military would act responsibly, but, as per the quote I give above, every action matters, every bit of warming matters, every year matters, every choice matters.

    The reality of climate change isn’t just a matter of modelling, as you know. Climate science has evolved over a much longer period and is very persuasive on this matter. I don’t see that it’s positive to try to discredit it by comparing it to the Covid response, which was somewhat ad-hoc and panicky. What good purpose can that serve?

    2
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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:14 PM

    @Darth O’Leary: In other words, you see an agenda that needs to be resisted; I see a crisis that needs to be tackled.

    2
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    Mute Darth O'Leary
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:33 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: Let’s tackle the crisis of pollution in all its forms. I’m all for that. But let’s not quell debate please. The models(if one is so inclined to believe in them dogmatically) themselves give some very wide parameters so there should always be room for debate and as hard as it is sometimes, people should be prepared to change their position as new evidence arises. This didn’t happen enough during COVID and our world is worse off as a result : Unintended consequences of non pharmaceutical intervention for health inequalities in Ireland – available to read at Technical University Dublin website
    We should always learn the lessons of the past Brendan. No matter how uncomfortable confronting those lessons can be sometimes

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:40 PM

    @Darth O’Leary: Yes, but it’s not just a matter of models: extreme temperatures, drought and crop failures in Europe in recent years, for example, can’t just be wished away. ‘People should be prepared to change their position as new evidence arises’ applies to those who deny the reality of climate change as well. Do you ever think of pointing this out to them?

    To quote Patricia Scanlon: “There are always people who say humans aren’t causing global warming. Now, if they’re wrong, you are talking about an extinction level threat. If the people on the side of advocating for a cleaner planet are wrong, the worst thing that’ll come is a cleaner planet.”

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:49 PM

    @Darth O’Leary: Is there room for debate on whether Athens should tackle its climate-related problems, or should it just do it?

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/10/athens-mayor-extreme-heat-greece

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    Mute Niall Murphy
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:05 AM

    What a load of fear mongering waffle.

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    Mute Willie Marty
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:08 AM

    Everything is going to be okay.The government are allocating an extra 1.5 billion to our very efficent HSE managment team to sort out the problem.God help us all.

    97
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    Mute Joanne Stokes
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:11 AM

    Quick man the hatches…red alert red alert….queue more tax increases! Jesus fear mongering at it’s best.

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    Mute John Kenny
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    Jul 10th 2024, 7:09 AM

    Except Ireland

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    Mute IMHO
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:30 AM

    Any colder and we’ll be slipping on the ice.

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    Mute paulinlavally@gmail.com
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    Jul 10th 2024, 7:51 AM

    Taxpayer paying more useless research

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    Mute Raymond Dennehy
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:29 AM

    Ireland remains cold wet and miserable. Certainly not getting any upside from this “emergency”

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    Mute Mary.E.
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    Jul 10th 2024, 11:45 AM

    @Raymond Dennehy:
    With the outrageous prices of hotels,there isn’t even the chance of a short break.
    Looking out at the rain it’s probably just as well.

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    Mute Lewis Armstrong
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:40 AM

    Quick, increase taxes on the little people. Tgat should solve it. Pull the other one!

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    Mute Gerald Kelleher
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:57 AM

    @Lewis Armstrong: The taxpayers fund the modellers to generate the hysteria that filters back through the political community and down to the taxpayer as levies, which , in turn, funds more hysteria in a toxic circle.

    If the academic funding went out the so would the Earth-on-fire conviction.

    Those who deal with brainwashing say that the quickest way to get people to snap out of an unhealthy condition is to ask questions they know they should answer but can’t as the mind is locked into a subculture.

    Ireland as a maritime climate as one topic among many within the research area just as many topics cover biology and geology. As long as our island sits in the Atlantic, it will have a maritime climate.

    How will Ireland’s maritime climate change after all the cows and cars are gone?

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    Mute Johannes Baader
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:07 AM

    Irish people have no issues with hot days unless they travel abroad

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    Mute EIBHLIN DUBHAIN
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:42 AM

    Maybe hospitalised for the cold weather that our body can’t endure all year round

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    Mute Jim
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:03 AM

    Hey @TheJournal, by reading the comments on here over the last 6 months it’s clear the your bůllshït is becoming more & more apparent to the general public.

    Your attempt at fearmongering is slowly (but surely) being realised & called out.

    The mainstream media & social media have been the vessel of fear & hatred as well as programming & indoctrination.

    This house of cards will fall, along with the Climate scam, the Alphabet Mafia & all the chaos & other distractions that are orchestrated.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 9:29 AM

    @Jim: It would be an error to confuse the commentariat on this site with the general public, as election results have shown.

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    Mute Darth O'Leary
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    Jul 10th 2024, 10:27 AM

    @Brendan O’Brien: I remember people on here saying that before the referendum. As it turned out the the hoi polloi of the journal comments section was closer to the truth than all the government mouthpieces, quangos and pollsters put together. (monocle emoji)

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 10:35 AM

    @Darth O’Leary: One swallow doesn’t make a summer.

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    Mute Tom Newell
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:22 AM

    Id be more worried about the crap health service we have leading to more deaths when people go for minor surgeries or check ups as seen in some hospitals than climate change at this stage. But its okay cos just like climate change, the health service will get another billion on top of the 24 billion it already had every year to flush down the toilet on anything other than what its meant for…

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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:21 PM

    @Tom Newell: Fair point.

    Wouldn’t it be nice if the ESRI did something useful for a change.

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    Mute Gerald Kelleher
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    Jul 10th 2024, 6:36 AM

    Most of you are victims of experimental theorists, so the real topic regarding planetary climate is an adventure surrounding a technical problem that could not be resolved in the era of Copernicus and Galileo.

    ” The axis of daily rotation is not parallel to the axis of the great circle but is inclined to it by such a part of the circumference, which in our time is almost 23 1/2 degrees. Thus, the Earth’s centre always remains in the plane of the ecliptic, i.e. on the circumference of a great circle, and its poles revolve, drawing small circles on both sides around the centres equidistant from the axis of the great circle. ” Copernicus

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-OgLCH7jYp8

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_Space_Climate_Observatory#/media/File:EpicEarth-Globespin-tilt-23.4.gif

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    Mute Gerald Kelleher
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    Jul 10th 2024, 6:44 AM

    The North Pole rotates from its position halfway across the light hemisphere of the Earth from the June Solstice to the September Equinox, not just the polar latitude but the entire planet’s surface.

    The maximum circumference where the Sun remains constantly in view is on the June Solstice. As the Earth travels to its Equinox position, the Pole travels closer to the planet’s divisor (line dividing light and dark hemisphere), so the circumference begins to contract. It will eventually disappear altogether on the Equinox and be replaced with an expanding circumference where the Sun remains constantly out of sight.

    Galileo disagreed with Copernicus on a second rotation, but it is possible to visually affirm that a planet turns two separate ways to the Sun in the way Copernicus explains.

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    Mute Gerald Kelleher
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    Jul 10th 2024, 7:07 AM

    Copernicus and Galileo couldn’t resolve the issue of the second rotation because of Ptolemy’s framework, which they were obligated to use in their conclusions.

    Nowadays, it is simply a matter of looking at another planet turning in two different ways and then reworking the characteristics of these dynamics back into the Earth, the climate, the seasons and down to the single rotation responsible for the day/night cycle.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=612gSZsplpE

    About 50 seconds in, as the time-lapse speeds up, considerate commenters can clearly see the two surface rotations.

    Climate research covers so many areas of research and the proper connections between dynamics and effects on the surface, oceans, and atmosphere across latitudes.

    It is also a lot of fun and satisfying

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    Mute P. V. Aglue
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    Jul 10th 2024, 8:22 AM

    @Gerald Kelleher: but at the end of the day, the sun heats the ground, the ground heats the air. You’ll never feel hot grass, but you will feel hot clay. The more the desserts grow the greater the potential for warmer heat waves over big land mass areas of the the planet

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    Mute Washpenrebel
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    Jul 10th 2024, 10:02 AM

    The cold kills more people than the heat. There has also been a reduction of 99% in weather related deaths globally in the last 100+ years. This article is nonsense and fear mongering. There’s nothing in it that’s true.

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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Jul 10th 2024, 12:32 PM

    @Washpenrebel: I don’t know where you get this idea. Could you provide sources?

    In any event, if a person is cold they can take action to get warm – wear warmer clothing, eat food, create heating, and so on.

    If a person is in an environment where the wet bulb temperature is above body temperature then the body can no longer regulate its temperature. The higher that environmental temperature, the longer that temperature, the greater risk of serious health problems, and death.
    There is little a person can do to reduce the temperature of their local environment.
    There is a lot a person can do to raise the temperature of their local environment.

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    Mute Mark O'Callaghan
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:30 PM

    I noticed this article is written very carefully to consider only increases in hospitalisations and deaths due to higher summer temperatures.

    It conveniently omits details on the reductions in hospitalisations and deaths due to higher winter temperatures.

    A study published by Environmental Research Letters in 2021 estimates that globally, 0.3 million annual deaths are caused by high temperatures, whereas 4.6 million are caused by low temperatures.

    Studies by Nature Climate Change and the WHO predict that a 1.5 degree Celsius increase in global temperatures would result in about 50,000 additional heat-related deaths annually, and several hundred thousand fewer cold-related deaths.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:40 PM

    @Mark O’Callaghan: But directly heat-related deaths are just part of the picture: one also has to consider the potentially devastating effects of climate-change-related drought, famine, population displacement, wildfires, crop failure …

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    Mute Seamus
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:00 PM

    Fear mongering nonsense. Orders of magnitude more die from cold than heat; the earth apparently warming will lead to less weather related deaths.

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:02 PM

    @Seamus: I don’t think so, as there will be far more extreme weather events.

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    Mute Seamus
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:24 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: there might be, if you believe the well funded climate modellers.
    Tell me Brendan, when have predictive climate models turned out to be accurate?

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:25 PM

    @Seamus: Well, Greek people are now taking their holidays in Norway. Have you been wearing blinkers?

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/10/athens-mayor-extreme-heat-greece

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    Mute Seamus
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:37 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: again Brendan, dodging the question.
    When have predictive climate models proven to be even remotely accurate?

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    Mute Brendan O'Brien
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:42 PM

    @Seamus: Dodging the question? You are dodging the real world.

    But, to answer your question: ‘In summary, climate projections reported by ExxonMobil scientists between 1977 and 2003 were accurate and skillful in predicting subsequent global warming.’

    https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abk0063

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    Mute Mark O'Callaghan
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:52 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: I had read recently (sorry, I cannot remember where) that there is a more-or-less constant downward trend in global deaths due to extreme weather events over the last couple of hundred years as building standards and materials slowly improve over time.

    This is despite an increasing population.

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    Mute Seamus
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    Jul 10th 2024, 1:59 PM

    @Brendan O’Brien: Brendan, “settled science” was predicting an ice age before 2000 in the 70s. In the 90s, it was catastrophic sea level rise before 2000, then 2010, then 2020; still waiting for this to materialise. Now it’s a forecast of widespread fatality due to heat.
    Take a day off Brendan. You’ve been scammed; you are wasting your life.

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    Mute paulinlavally@gmail.com
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    Jul 10th 2024, 7:51 AM

    For

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    Mute Carl Campbell
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    Jul 10th 2024, 3:56 PM

    There’s more chance of dying from hypothermia during the summer months in Ireland than there is of any heat related illness/injury.

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