CYPRUS HAS AVOIDED bankruptcy, and potential turmoil across the eurozone was averted, by the country securing a last-minute €10 billion bailout with promises to sharply cut back its oversized banking sector and make large bank account holders take losses to help pay much of the bill.
Negotiations into early this morning ended with approval of the deal by the 17-nation eurozone’s finance ministers. The European Central Bank had threatened to cut off crucial emergency assistance to the country’s banks by tomorrow if no agreement was reached.
Without a bailout deal by tonight, the tiny Mediterranean nation would have faced the prospect of bankruptcy, which could have forced it to become the first country to abandon the euro currency. That would have sent the region’s markets spinning.
“It’s not that we won a battle, but we really have avoided a disastrous exit from the eurozone,” said Cyprus Finance Minister Michalis Sarris.
The eurozone finance ministers accepted the plan after hours of negotiations in Brussels between Cypriot officials and the so-called troika of creditors – the International Monetary Fund, the European Commission and the ECB.
“We believe that this will form a lasting, durable and fully financed solution,” said IMF chief Christine Lagarde.
To secure the rescue loan package, the Cypriot government had to find ways to raise €5.8 billion on its own. The bulk of that money is now being raised by forcing losses on large bank deposit holders, with the remainder coming from tax increases and privatizations.
Cyprus must drastically shrink its banking sector, cut its budget, implement structural reforms and privatize state assets, said Jeroen Dijsselbloem, who chairs the meetings of the eurozone’s finance ministers. The country’s second-largest bank, Laiki, will be restructured, with all bond holders and people with more than €100,000 in their bank accounts there facing significant losses.
Recession
The measures are likely to deepen the recession in Cyprus.
The cash-strapped island nation has been shut out of international markets for almost two years. It first applied for a bailout to recapitalize its ailing lenders and keep the government afloat last June, but the political negotiations stalled. After a botched agreement last week, the ECB threatened to cut off emergency assistance to the country’s banks.
“We’ve put an end to the uncertainty that has affected Cyprus and the euro area over the past week,” Dijsselbloem said.
That uncertainty around the tiny nation of about 800,000 had shaken the entire eurozone of 300 million people, even though Cyprus only makes up less than 0.2 per cent of the eurozone’s economy.
Several national parliaments in eurozone countries such as Germany must also approve the bailout deal, which might take another few weeks. EU officials said they expect the whole program to be approved by mid-April.
The country’s second-largest bank, Laiki, will be dissolved immediately into a bad bank containing its uninsured deposits and toxic assets, with the guaranteed deposits being transferred to the nation’s biggest lender, Bank of Cyprus.
Dijsselbloem said it was not yet clear how severe the losses would be to Laiki’s large bank deposit holders, but he noted that it is expected to yield €4.2 billion overall — or much of the money that Cyprus needed to raise to secure the bailout. Analysts have estimated investors might lose up to 40 per cent of their money.
Large deposits with Bank of Cyprus above the insured level will be frozen until it becomes clear whether or to what extent they will also be forced to take losses, the Eurogroup of finance ministers said in a statement.
Dijsselbloem defended the creditors’ approach of making deposit holders take heavy losses, saying the measures “will be concentrated where the problems are, in the large banks.”
The international creditors, led by the IMF, were seeking a fundamental restructuring of the country’s outsized financial system, which is worth up to eight times the Cypriot gross domestic product of about €18 billion. They said the country’s business model of attracting foreign investors, among them many Russians, with low taxes and lax financial regulation had backfired and needed to be upended.
The drastic shrinking of the financial sector, the wiping out of wealth through the losses on deposits, the loss of confidence with the recent turmoil and the upcoming austerity measures all mean that Cyprus is facing tough times.
“The near future will be very difficult for the country and its people,” acknowledged the EU Commission’s top economic official, Olli Rehn. “But (the measures) will be necessary for the Cypriot people to rebuild their economy on a new basis.”
Cypriot banks have been closed this past week while officials worked on a rescue plan, and they are not due to reopen until tomorrow. Cash has been available through ATMs, but long lines formed and many machines have quickly run out of cash.
ATMs
Amid fears of a banking collapse, Cyprus’ central bank yesterday imposed a daily withdrawal limit of 100 euros from ATMs of the country’s two largest banks to prevent a bank run by depositors worried about their savings.
The Cypriot government also approved a set of laws over the past week to introduce capital controls, in order to avoid a huge depositor flight once banks reopen.
Creditors had insisted that Cyprus couldn’t receive more loans because that would make its debt burden unsustainably high. The IMF’s Lagarde said Cyprus would now reach a debt level of about 100 per cent of GDP by 2020.
A plan agreed to in marathon negotiations earlier this month called for a one-time levy on all bank depositors in Cypriot banks. But the proposal ignited fierce anger because it also targeted small savers. It failed to win a single vote in the Cypriot Parliament.
Cyprus’ bid to secure more financial aid from its long-time ally, Russia, then failed, forcing it to turn again to its European partners. Russia was expected, however, to extend a €2.5 billion emergency loan granted last year, also lowering the interest rate due and extending the repayment schedule.
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