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ESRI predicts economic growth and fall in unemployment in 2013

The ESRI said the driving force behind the reduction in unemployment is ongoing net emigration.

THE ECONOMIC AND Social Research Institute has predicted a growth in GDP of 1.3 per cent in 2013, which it said looks set to be more subdued economically than previously thought.

In its latest Quarterly Economic Commentary reports, GDP is estimated at 1.3 per cent for 2012 and is forecast at 1.3 per cent and 2.3 per cent in 2013 and 2014 respectively. Domestic demand remains very weak and is due to contract again in 2013 and 2014, though the pace of contraction is easing, it said.

The ESRI said the final outturn for growth over the forecast period is heavily conditional on the performance of the European economy, which at present is very weak.

The public finance position improved in 2012, with the agreed targets being comfortably met. In 2013 the targets are more challenging, mainly on the expenditure side.

Croke Park extension talks are opening up “important possibilities” to help the process of reducing expenditure, the report said. The full effects of any reductions achieved are more likely to be felt in 2014 however.

The rate of unemployment is forecast to decline from 14.9 per cent in 2012 to 14.6 per cent in 2013 and 14.3 per cent in 2014. However, the main driving force behind this reduction is ongoing net emigration, the research institute said.

Read: Central Bank revises downward forecast for economic recovery>

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    Mute IrishGravyTrain
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    Mar 11th 2016, 10:52 AM

    Wouldn’t be worried about AI taking over. They have no reason to. All our fears are human related. It is what we would do with that intelligence. AI is different. The deadly sins of pride, greed, lust, envy, gluttony, wrath, and sloth that is behind humanity at its worst would not apply to AI i don’t think. I can’t see AI having the ambition to be rich. It wont have a fear of foreigners. It won’t believe in some god in heaven. If AI gets to the stage of self awareness then i believe it will be intelligent enough to not make the same mistakes as man.

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    Mute Padraig
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    Mar 11th 2016, 11:33 AM

    Stephen Hawking thinks AI could end mankind.
    http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-30290540

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    Mute Paul FitzGerald
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    Mar 11th 2016, 4:45 PM

    I suggest you have a read of this. It is very (very) long but it is a good insight. http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html

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    Mute Mark Clarke
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    Mar 11th 2016, 10:32 AM

    Zerg Rush. Sorted.

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    Mute Colin Moran
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    Mar 11th 2016, 11:25 AM

    I just watched the two hour video of two nerds playing video games.
    Me hurt brain bad.

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    Mute Richard Byrne
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    Mar 11th 2016, 11:25 AM

    The fear is when the AI gets so far as to convert to Islam

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    Mute Fozz
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    Mar 11th 2016, 11:59 AM

    Yer missing the meaning of the ‘I’ part of AI…

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    Mute Patrick Hurley
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    Mar 11th 2016, 11:04 AM

    Get it to predict our next government. That’d stump it.

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    Mute itsonlyme
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    Mar 11th 2016, 11:25 PM

    How about a nice game of chess!

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    Mute Chris Burke
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    Mar 11th 2016, 5:27 PM

    Cloak banshee, see ya later

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