EUROPE IS WARMING twice as fast as the global average and heatwaves will become longer and more powerful in future, two leading climate monitors have said.
In a year of contrasting extremes, Europe witnessed scorching heatwaves but also catastrophic flooding, withering droughts, violent storms and its largest wildfire.
These disasters inflicted billions of euros in damages and impacted more than two million people, the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service and the UN’s World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said in a new joint report.
The consequences for health were particularly acute, with heat singled out by these agencies as the biggest climate-related threat as global warming drives ever-hotter European summers.
The report has warned that Europe is warning twice as fast as the global average.
This – coupled with ageing populations and more people moving to cities – will have “serious consequences for public health”, it added.
“Current heatwave interventions will soon be insufficient to deal with the expected heat-related health burden.”
“We’re seeing an increasing trend in the number of days with heat stress across Europe and 2023 was no exception, with Europe seeing a record number of days with extreme heat stress,” said Rebecca Emerton, a climate scientist at Copernicus.
For this study, Copernicus and WMO used the Universal Thermal Climate Index, which measures the effect of the environment on the human body.
It takes into account not just high temperatures but also humidity, wind speed, sunshine, and heat emitted by the surroundings.
The index has 10 different categories of heat and cold stress, with units of degrees Celsius representing a ‘feels-like’ temperature.
Extreme heat stress “is equivalent to a feels-like temperature of more than 46 degrees Celsius, at which point it’s imperative to take actions to avoid health risks such as heat stroke”, said Emerton.
Prolonged exposure to heat stress is particularly dangerous for vulnerable people such as the elderly or those with pre-existing health conditions.
The effect of heat is stronger in cities, the report said.
Twenty-three of the 30 worst heatwaves on record in Europe have occurred this century and heat-related deaths have soared around 30% in the past 20 years, the report said.
2023 was not the hottest summer in Europe – in fact, it was the fifth – but that doesn’t mean it wasn’t blazing.
Much of Europe sweltered from heatwaves during an “extended summer” between June and September, Emerton said.
September was the warmest on record for Europe as a whole, she added.
On 23 July, an unprecedented 13% of Europe was experiencing high levels of heat stress, with southern Europe the worst affected.
The data on deaths in Europe from extreme heat in 2023 is not available yet.
But tens of thousands of people are estimated to have died due to heatwaves during equally sweltering European summers in 2003, 2010 and 2022, the report said.
“We see that there is excess mortality when we see such extreme heatwaves like was the case in 2023,” said Alvaro Silva, a climatologist from WMO.
“This increase in mortality… is affecting (the) big majority of European regions. This is a big concern.”
Scientists agree that greenhouse gas emissions are warming the planet, causing more intense and frequent extreme weather events.
2023 was the hottest year globally on record and oceans, which absorb 90% of excess heat produced by carbon dioxide emissions, also warmed to new highs.
Average sea surface temperatures in Europe were the warmest on record, the report said, with a severe marine heatwave in part of the Atlantic Ocean described as “beyond extreme”.
Glaciers in all parts of Europe saw a loss of ice, while Greece suffered the largest wildfire in the history of the EU.
2023 was also one of Europe’s wettest years, with major flooding affecting 1.6 million people, and storms another 550,000.
Emerton said that economic cost of these extreme events was €13.4 billion – about 80% attributed to flooding.
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