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Brexplainer: How are the British parties shaping up for the controversial EU elections?

There’s a small chance they won’t actually take part, but this is getting more and more unlikely.

Brexit Theresa May holds a news conference in Brussels. PA Wire / PA Images PA Wire / PA Images / PA Images

IT’S LOOKING MORE and more likely that the UK will vote in European elections along with the rest of the EU. 

While Brexit has been delayed twice and given a flexible deadline, there was no flexibility over whether this would happen. 

If the UK is still a member of the EU when the bloc votes between 23 and 26 May, it needs to hold MEP elections to prevent citizens from being disenfranchised.

In reality this means that EU elections across Britain and Northern Ireland are coming next month unless Prime Minister Theresa May gets a Withdrawal Deal through parliament.  

The slim chance of this happening has meant parties are preparing to fight elections, some more enthusiastically than others. 

So what is the state of play?

Conservatives

The Tories must feel like an election is the last thing the party needs right now.

Leader and Prime Minister Theresa May has previously said that she doesn’t think the elections should be held, but she is pretty powerless to stop it if she can’t get a deal through parliament before 22 May.

The party seems more concerned with fighting amongst itself rather than fighting elections but it would have to run candidates regardless. 

The Tories have asked would-be candidates to express an interest in running before nominations close today but recent polling of Conservative members may temper any interest. 

The website Conservative Home conducted a survey which found that more than three out of five party members were planning on voting for Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party rather than the Tories. 

Perhaps even more striking was a poll in the Mail on Sunday which showed that 40% of Conservative councillors were planning on ditching their own party to vote for Farage’s   

Conservative Home wrote that members were full of “sheer anger with the postponement of Brexit” and are feeling rebellious as a result. 

It shows that just as the Conservative MPs are split over the best course forward on Brexit, grassroots members are as well.  

The party is split between those who want to back May’s way forward and those who favour a harder or no-deal Brexit. Something which may play into Farage’s hands. 

Labour

Labour may benefit from a fractured Conservative vote in the European elections, it’s coming a close second to the Brexit Party polls, but they are also facing internal strife and a battle for votes from various sides. 

The party’s position on Brexit is that the result of the referendum is to be respected but that a no-deal exit must be avoided. 

The party is to set out its stall in a EU elections manifesto next week that will give a better idea of where it stands. 

Ahead of that though, deputy leader Tom Watson ramped up the stakes on Sunday by writing that the manifesto should include a “confirmatory referendum on any deal”

This question is at the heart of Labour’s debate over Brexit, with many members being of this view but others pointing to the fact that 61% of Labour MPs are from Leave-voting constituencies.

This fact, and a history of Euroscepticism, has weighed heavily on Jeremy Corbyn’s focus on winning a general election and not another referendum.  

It’s for this reason that Corbyn’s focus may be as much on local elections on 2 May as the European ones. 

Brexit Party

While the messages of the two main parties could be criticised as being somewhat muddled, Farage’s new vehicle benefits from greater clarity and a name that is instantly recognisable. 

The party is seeking to make the ballot a one issue vote and to provide a home for Brexit voters of all hues. 

Farage’s agitation to remove the UK from the EU was conducted while an MEP himself and he’s looking to use this route again. 

The former UKIP leader launched the party earlier this month with Annunziata Rees-Mogg, sister of leading Tory eurosceptic Jacob, as one of its candidates.

Yesterday, the Brexit Party announced five more candidates, including Claire Fox, a left-wing TV pundit and Farage said his party will be going after Labour votes “in a very big way”.

Change UK

Guardian News / YouTube

The party formerly known as the Independent Group, but which still has the Independent Group in its logo, launched its campaign yesterday.

The party is running 70 candidates and revealed that Rachel Johnson, sister of Boris, and former BBC journalist Gavin Esler are among them. 

The party was formed by breakaway MPs from Labour and the Conservatives and interim party leader Heidi Allen said yesterday: “We are not the rebel alliance, we are the Remain alliance.”

The party says it received 3,700 applications to run as candidates and Allen said these were whittled down by people in “Tigger towers”, ‘Tigger’ being a nickname party members have given themselves.  

More Remainers

The Liberal Democrats won just one seat in the last European elections, down from 11 in 2009. The party will be hoping its staunch support of a second referendum will help them return to the figure of a decade ago.

The Green Party, the SNP and Plaid Cymru are also all in favour of a second referendum and collectively their votes add up to a significant bloc.

The Liberal Democrats said they wanted to use the PR-STV system to engage in a Remain-voting pact with Change UK but that this offer was rejected.

Much to the annoyance of Remain advocates.

- With reporting by © – AFP 2019

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    Mute John Kelly
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    Aug 31st 2016, 4:44 PM

    So Dublin city which has at least twice the population of Cork has more births . Jesbus what a scoop !!!!!!!!!!!

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    Mute Tweety McTweeter
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    Aug 31st 2016, 7:46 PM

    Only just, by about 20%. Probably due to CUMH serving a much bigger area than Cork alone

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    Mute Alan Lawlor
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    Aug 31st 2016, 8:54 PM

    I am sure the CSO use the parents address rather than the hospital address when counting births by county.

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    Mute David Kelly
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    Aug 31st 2016, 10:39 PM

    They’re using the individual county/city council local authority areas, not regions.

    Pops:
    Dublin City : 527,612
    (Dublin all local authorities: 1,273,069)
    Cork County: 399,802
    (Cork City and County : 519,032)

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    Mute Ivor O Sullivan
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    Aug 31st 2016, 4:52 PM

    this rubbish is not news

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    Mute Jack Bowden
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    Aug 31st 2016, 6:32 PM

    All we want to know are the birth rates and are they rising and falling and the reasons why. The article was full of padding and doesn’t quite tell the reader what they want.
    Also, Dublin city probably doesn’t include, Fingal and Dun Laoghaire and those other county areas, but who knows.

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    Mute Jack Bowden
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    Aug 31st 2016, 6:36 PM

    I take that back, there is a graph with the rates.

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    Mute Frank's Cat
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    Aug 31st 2016, 6:22 PM

    Most idiotic headline ever.

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    Mute Alois Irlmaier
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    Aug 31st 2016, 11:22 PM

    At least you can comment on it unlike the Hickey ones?

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    Mute Steve T
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    Aug 31st 2016, 4:27 PM

    Must be really a quiet news day?

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    Mute Joey_Westland
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    Aug 31st 2016, 5:52 PM

    It’s not actually.
    But as usual the Journal locks down comments on the important stories.
    Even when they’re happening outside this jurisdiction.
    Pathetic editorial stance.

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    Mute Ken Pepper
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    Aug 31st 2016, 4:29 PM

    Realistic looking Irish family in the photo … Not

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    Mute Poole Hyde
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    Aug 31st 2016, 5:18 PM

    You man must be brushing his teeth with Weathershield to get them that white.

    38
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    Mute Beachmaster
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    Aug 31st 2016, 4:30 PM

    Tbf, have you seen the women in Cork?

    33
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    Mute Kirk Van Houten
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    Aug 31st 2016, 4:34 PM

    I know it’s hard to get a girl into bed when she’s not strung out on heroin!

    71
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    Mute Wurps
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    Aug 31st 2016, 4:41 PM

    Sums fail Beachmaster.

    If Dublin has more than double the population of Cork, and Cork is only 25% behind in births…. It seems the amount of procreation going on per head is a lot higher in Cork.

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    Mute mcgoo
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    Aug 31st 2016, 4:50 PM

    They are all stunners in Havanas at 3am after a few Captains and Coke and a Heino chaser

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    Mute Alois Irlmaier
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    Aug 31st 2016, 11:20 PM

    Old peoples homes are not brothels Beachmaster ;)

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    Mute Donal O'Brien
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    Aug 31st 2016, 7:59 PM

    Battle of the babies. How do you chaps come up with this shit.

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    Mute Galway Spurs
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    Aug 31st 2016, 5:42 PM

    Just double the amount of skangers going around the place so!

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    Mute Gunnarsahn
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    Aug 31st 2016, 5:13 PM

    HON DUBLIN BABIES

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    Mute Stephen Coveney
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    Aug 31st 2016, 7:10 PM

    Can people stop saying hon?

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    Mute Alois Irlmaier
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    Aug 31st 2016, 11:19 PM

    Cork has a higher HIV problem than Dublin as well?

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