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France votes in showdown for Macron and Le Pen

Analysts have warned that blank votes or abstentions could be crucial in this election.

LAST UPDATE | 24 Apr 2022

FRENCH VOTERS ARE heading to the polls for the presidential run-off between centrist incumbent Emmanuel Macron and his challenger Marine Le Pen, whose far-right party appears set to have its strongest election showing ever.

Macron went into the election with a stable lead in opinion polls, an advantage he consolidated in the frenetic final days of campaigning, including a no-holds-barred performance in the pre-election debate.

But analysts have cautioned that Macron, who rose to power in 2017 aged 39 as the country’s youngest-ever modern leader, can take nothing for granted given forecasts of low turnout that could sway the result in either direction.

The second round run-off is a repeat of the clash between Le Pen and Macron in 2017 when the centrist won 66 percent of the vote. But the margins are seen as being far narrower this time, with polls projecting a victory for Macron by around 10 percentage points.

At 5pm local time, voter participation stood at 63.2 percent, more than two percentage points lower than at the same time five years ago, when Macron handily beat Le Pen in their first face-off.

On the basis of that figure, polling firms estimated that the abstention rate was on course for 28 percent which, if confirmed, would be the highest in any French presidential run-off since 1969.

Le Pen beamed as she greeted supporters before casting her ballot in the northern town of Henin-Beaumont, a stronghold of her National Rally party.

Macron, meanwhile, worked a crowd of several hundreds before voting with his wife Brigitte in the Channel resort town of Le Touquet, where they own a holiday home.

Voting stations will close at 8pm (7pm Irish time), when polling firms will begin publishing preliminary results based on partial counts that usually predict the final result with a high degree of accuracy.

Turnout key

Macron in particular is hoping that left-wing voters who backed other candidates in the first round will support the former investment banker and his pro-business, reformist agenda to stop Le Pen and her populist programme.

But far-left leader Jean-Luc Melenchon, who scored a close third-place finish in the first round, has pointedly refused to urge his millions of followers to back Macron while insisting they should not vote for Le Pen.

Macron himself repeatedly said that the complacency of stay-at-home voters precipitated the shocks of the 2016 elections that led to Brexit in Britain and Donald Trump’s election in the United States.

One factor for the likely high abstention rate is that elections are being held during the Easter school break in much of France.

According to Martial Foucault, director of the CEVIPOF political studies centre, a high abstention rate will narrow the gap between Macron and Le Pen, describing this as a “real risk” for the president.

High stakes

The stakes are huge for both France and Europe, with Macron pledging reform and tighter EU integration while Le Pen, who would be France’s first female president, insists the bloc should be modified in what opponents describe as “Frexit” by another name.

Macron has also opposed Le Pen’s plan to make it illegal to wear the Muslim headscarf in public, though her team has walked back on the proposal ahead of the vote, saying it was no longer a “priority”.

They have also clashed on Russia, with Macron seeking to portray Le Pen as incapable of dealing with the invasion of Ukraine due to a loan her party took from a Russian-Czech bank.

Macron would be the first French president to win re-election in two decades since Jacques Chirac in 2002.

If he does, he is expected to address supporters on the Champ de Mars in central Paris at the foot of the Eiffel Tower.

© AFP 2022

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    Mute Paul Quirke
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:33 AM

    Jobs for the boys version millionnaire dictatorship

    212
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    Mute Rowe
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    Jun 21st 2017, 8:18 AM

    @Paul Quirke:

    Just another day in the Kingdom of Terrorism.

    157
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    Mute Siouxsie Dumbtime
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    Jun 21st 2017, 8:36 AM

    @Paul Quirke: I wonder did Donald Trump call him to congratulate hos closest ally.

    50
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    Mute Dave Hogan
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:39 AM

    As the country and the Saudi citizens are not under any threat from neighbouring country’s the amount of weapons purchased from America (and England) to protect these people is astonishing.

    126
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    Mute Ken Hayden
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:48 AM

    @Dave Hogan: perhaps you should look into the difference between the Saudi army and the civil guard .

    16
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    Mute free Palestine
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    Jun 21st 2017, 11:46 AM

    @Ken Hayden: The new chief of staff of Isis should be his title

    15
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    Mute John Fergus
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:54 AM

    The White House has heralded this appointment as “a great victory for democracy”. The EU, UK, and other allied states have echoed this position.
    If you disagree with them you must be a terrorist whose country needs some freedom. Move along please nothing to see here.

    79
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    Mute Ace
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:49 AM

    Half the population are under 25. That is mind blowing.

    73
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    Mute Zx5vZulB
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:58 AM

    @Ace: our population was similarly skewed in terms of age distribution about 30 years ago. Not that astonishing tbh.

    23
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    Mute Ace
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    Jun 21st 2017, 8:15 AM

    @Zx5vZulB: I disagree. I think it is very astonishing.

    Look at the changes that have come about in Ireland over the past 30 years as a result. Seperation of church and state, gay marriage etc. No way this would have happened with the old generation. Sure condoms were illegal until the 90′s. This is in no small part due to the surge in the young population.

    I think you will see some big changes in Saudi over the next generation too. Having lived in the Middle East, and met may Saudis, I can tell you that every one I met was pro womens rights and generally quite westernised. Once the old guard starts to die off things will change.

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    Mute Moorooka Mick
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    Jun 21st 2017, 9:51 AM

    @Ace:

    Do you think that a Saudi franchised network of condom vending machines might work anytime soon?

    10
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    Mute Ace
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    Jun 21st 2017, 10:05 AM

    @Moorooka Mick: Maybe an idea for Dragons Den alright. Lets see if we can get Sheikin Stephens on board.

    9
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    Mute Wodanaz von Mises
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:55 AM

    Like Israel yet another historical British gift that keeps on giving and giving and giving.
    Should have decimated that hell hole after 9/11 instead of sending us to Afghanistan and Iraq.

    72
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    Mute Ken Hayden
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    Jun 21st 2017, 8:15 AM

    On 10 January 2016, The Independent reported that “the BND, the German intelligence agency … portrayed Saudi defence minister and Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman … as a political gambler who is destabilising the Arab world through proxy wars in Yemen and Syria.”[27][29][30][33]

    38
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    Mute Paul Lane
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    Jun 21st 2017, 9:01 AM

    Its good to be the King…Leo the liarheart would love that…

    23
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    Mute DeFonz
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:59 AM

    I don’t get the sub headline “all change”

    Surely a case of “plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose”

    19
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    Mute Dorothy Giselsson
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    Jun 21st 2017, 8:53 AM

    That’s the sort of power Trump would like to have.

    19
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    Mute Moorooka Mick
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    Jun 21st 2017, 9:47 AM

    The USA is being two faced in supporting the House of Saud and then fighting wars to
    debunk such tyrannical regimes and install the good old USA style of Capitalist Democracy. No wonder the USA is seen as a hypocrite in the Middle East.

    27
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    Mute prop joe
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:38 AM

    A disgusting country. Hopefully the monarchy will implode.

    119
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    Mute Minom Pnom
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:42 AM

    @prop joe: hopefully oil will implode then America won’t give a feck anymore and this place will revert to a hot Sandy s-hit-hole that nobody cares about. Awful place with prehistoric legal system

    122
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    Mute Thaddus T Sawballs
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    Jun 21st 2017, 8:03 AM

    Bit like installing something to the AG office

    Lifted by the hasp of the arse

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    Mute gerry fallon
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    Jun 21st 2017, 11:43 AM

    Does this mean he’s on the dole?
    I hope he got his redundancy.

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    Mute Fabio Dillon
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    Jun 21st 2017, 7:59 AM

    Silly place

    17
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