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Fall in German exports causes concern over European crisis

Imports were 3 per cent lower in June, following a 6.2 per cent increase the previous month.

GERMAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION and exports dropped in June, official data showed today, underlining concerns that Europe’s debt crisis is increasingly weighing on the region’s biggest economy.

Industrial production was down 0.9 per cent in June compared with the previous month, the Economy Ministry said. That figure, which was roughly in line with economists’ expectations, followed a 1.7 per cent increase in May – revised upward from the initial reading of 1.6 per cent. Production of investment goods such as factory machinery was down 1.6 per cent in June.

Earlier this week, official figures showed that industrial orders dropped by an unexpectedly large 1.7 per cent in June, led by a slide in orders from other countries that use the euro.

The German economy, Europe’s biggest, so far has been relatively unaffected by the debt crisis afflicting its eurozone partners.

But second quarter output figures due next week are expected to show growth slowing from the healthy first quarter figure of 0.5 per cent, and business confidence is fading.

Production was “relatively robust” in the second quarter but future is “restrained” given recent order figures, the Economy Ministry said in its statement Wednesday.

Also Wednesday, the Federal Statistical Office said exports -a key motor of the German economy – were down 1.5 per cent in June compared with the previous month at €92.3 billion in figures adjusted for seasonal and calendar effects. That followed a 4.2 per cent increase in May.

Imports were 3 per cent lower, following a 6.2 percent increase the previous month.

In year-on-year terms, the statistical office said that exports in June were up 7.4 per cent, fueled by a 19.8 per cent increase in demand from countries outside the European Union. In contrast, exports to other countries that use the euro were down 3 per cent.

For the year’s first half, total exports were up 4.8 per cent compared with 2011. Demand from outside the EU rose 11.1 per cent, while exports to eurozone partners declined by 1.1 per cent. Germany’s trade surplus stood at €17.9 billion in June, up from €15.6 billion in May.

Growth forecasts

Andreas Rees, an economist at UniCredit in Munich, forecast quarter on quarter growth of 0.2 per cent, which would contrast with recessions in several other economies in the 17 country bloc that uses the euro.

“The million-euro question is whether and how long German companies and consumers can keep the pace in the face of eurozone turbulence,” Rees said. Specifically, he said, much depends on whether further eurozone weakness will be compensated for by higher US and Chinese demand, and whether strong internal demand can shield Germany’s economy.

“We still think that both questions can be answered with a ‘yes’ but uncertainties and downside risks to our call have significantly increased of late,” Rees wrote in a research note.

Germany is one of the few eurozone countries that still enjoys the top AAA rating from all three major credit rating agencies. On Wednesday, Fitch Ratings reaffirmed that rating and its stable outlook.

“The affirmation reflects Germany’s longstanding credit strengths and robust economic performance over the past two years,” the agency said in a statement.

Standard & Poor’s also affirmed its top credit rating and outlook on Germany last week, but rival Moody’s last month lowered its outlook on the country to “negative”, citing its concern over Germany’s exposure to risks posed by Europe’s ongoing crisis.

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13 Comments
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    Mute Leslie Alan Rock
    Favourite Leslie Alan Rock
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    Dec 26th 2013, 6:06 PM

    Thoughts with her family
    How horrible

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    Mute New Property
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    Dec 26th 2013, 9:50 PM

    Like wise.

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    Mute Jesco White
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    Dec 26th 2013, 6:26 PM

    Awful news, slow down people arrive alive.

    98
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    Mute New Property
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    Dec 26th 2013, 8:06 PM

    That’s the problem all the media and garda are saying slow down don’t drink drive.

    Just cause you don’t speed and drink drive. Dose not mean you dont have to pay attention, just cause you walking / cycling dosen mean you have a right.

    Just comeing home there on a national road doing the 100km speed limited a guy didn’t stop at stop sign. Had to avoid them nearly ended in the ditch could of died, this guy just drove on with out a care in the world.

    Yet if I did die the head lines be young man loses control while speeding.

    Main prob on our roads is everyone is complacent every body thinks its some else fault.

    We need to show adverts showing the dangerous of not looking.

    LOOK TWICE AND SAVE A LIFE!!

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    Mute Ollie O'Cleirigh
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    Dec 26th 2013, 6:33 PM

    I was only on that road Xmas eve night and had to take it easy. Treacherous bumpy road with black ice. My condolences to the family and friends of this lady. Very unfortunate. Ar dheis de go raibh a anam.

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    Mute Mummytofaries
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    Dec 26th 2013, 10:22 PM

    So sad, this poor woman lost her son in an accident on this road less that 12 month ago cannot imagine what that poor family must be going threw.

    46
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    Mute Anthony Mulcahy
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    Dec 26th 2013, 11:29 PM

    When is the Journal ever going to stop comments on stories like this??? Close the comment section for god sake…. Trolling A-Holes just lapping it up and it looks so disrespectful to anyone who knows this person or their family to see the childish behavior that goes on here 99% of the time that a death is publicized…. Out of respect and a bit of common sense/courtesy

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    Mute Scoby Watson
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    Dec 27th 2013, 1:00 AM

    I couldn’t agree more. It’s a disgrace!

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    Mute Arthur Spooner
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    Dec 26th 2013, 6:30 PM

    Rip.So sad.

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    Mute Veronica Luby-Hoey
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    Dec 27th 2013, 9:46 AM

    I’m shocked at the disrespect of some comments.Thank you to others for your sincere condolences ,
    This lady happens to be the sister in law of one of my friends.The whole families concerned are devastated,as her son Ray was also killed near this spot last February..
    I just pray for your ignorance ..Thank you all for your positive comments,may you be blessed and safe!

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    Mute Christine Mulhall
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    Dec 27th 2013, 12:19 PM

    THANKS A VERONICA WE NEED TO GREIF IN PEACE X

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    Mute Emily Jane McCormack
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    Dec 27th 2013, 5:21 PM

    I am highly insulted and shocked at those comments from horrible sad individuals here on the journal.ie I am a cousin of this lady and find the comments offensive. I hope you never experience what the family are going through at the moment because it is a dark horrible time for them all. The lack of respect and empathy makes me question the society we live in today. Let the family grieve in peace. Rest in peace Eunice X I hope the journal remove such comments and prevent immediate family and friends from seeing them.

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    Mute Rayeale Rayannealeilson Costa
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    Dec 27th 2013, 8:03 AM

    Very sad, my sincere condolences to the family.

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