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MORE THAN HALF of respondents in a new poll said they plan to vote for Hillary Clinton – the first time the Democratic presidential candidate has breached that all-important 50% threshold.
The poll released today by Quinnipiac University found the former secretary of state leading Trump 51% to 41% in a head to head race.
“We are starting to hear the faint rumblings of a Hillary Clinton landslide as her 10-point lead is further proof that Donald Trump is in a downward spiral as the clock ticks,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
Support for Clinton falls below 50% if third-party candidates are thrown into the equation.
The former first lady gets 45%, with Trump polling 38%, when Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party contender Jill Stein are added to the mix.
Johnson gets 10% and Stein is at 4% in the Quinnipiac poll.
Trump’s campaign has stumbled in recent weeks after a series of perceived gaffes. Commentators say it has struggled to make the transition from the scrappy party nomination fight to the battle to become US commander-in-chief.
“Trump’s missteps, stumbles and gaffes seem to outweigh Clinton’s shaky trust status and perceived shady dealings.
“Wow, is there any light at the end of this dark and depressing chapter in American politics?” Malloy said.
Choppy
Meanwhile, Clinton, who is looking to make history as America’s first female commander-in-chief, has hit choppy waters as well amid the continuing fallout over her misbegotten decision to use a private email server for State Department correspondence.
She also has come under scrutiny for allegedly breaching a firewall between her family charity and her role as secretary of state, sparking Republican complaints of special favors granted to donors to the Clinton Foundation.
But despite her self-inflicted wounds, many voters perceive fewer potential drawbacks to a Clinton presidency, and she continues to poll well ahead of her Republican rival.
Quinnipiac’s nationwide telephone survey of some 1,500 likely voters, taken from August 18 to 24, had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.
What is the actual point of reporting on individual polls? The LA Times has the race tied. The only thing that really matters is the poll average, and she’s had a 5-6% lead on that for a couple of weeks.
Is that the LA Times online poll that you don’t even need to be American to fill out?
Polls aren’t even reliable anymore, as recent events have shown. Remain had a relatively consistent lead against Leave in the pre-Brexit polls until the only poll that matters was held and retured the complete opposite.
It was within the margin of error on the day though
‘Remain’ didn’t have a consistent lead in the run up to the eye-wateringly stupid Brexit vote. On the contrary, ‘Remain’ and ‘Leave’ frequently swapped leads as the different polls rolled by.
Polls are specific questions that slant towards the answers required by those who commission the poll. It can then be put out in the mainstream media to convince Joe Public to come to the same conclusion.
Jason, look at this chart of Brexit polls showing an upward trend to Leave beginning mid-way through 2015, pipping Remain exactly on 23 June:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/63/UK_EU_referendum_polling.svg
Carl when it comes to elections the specific question is “candidate 1″ or “candidate 2″
@Carl O’Maolain-Dead right Carl;and in this poll is taken on ‘those likely to vote’ rather than on ‘registered voters’ as before when Quinnipiac got a result they obviously didn’t like.. See below.
—”Although Qunnipiac warns this poll cannot be compared to previous entries in their 2016 series, because they have switched from using registered voters to a likely voter screen, it’s interesting to note their June poll had the race “too close to call” at Clinton 42%, Trump 40%, with similar findings about voter dissatisfaction with both candidate—-”
-
In other words switch those polled to get a higher count for What-difference-does-it-make-now Hillary Clinton.
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/08/25/quinnipiac-poll-clinton-10-points-two-way-race/
Also TNS, in their final poll predicted a narrow victory for Leave.
Patrick, do you really think that all that changed since June was the group the pollsters asked? Many, many ill-judged statements have been made by Trump since then while Clinton has had no new controversies.
@Dave O Keeffe-Trumpeteers suffered a bad knock when that immigration rackateer Khizr Khan gave his phoney speech but as the real Khizr Khan came to light with his phoney immigration rackateering scams Trompeteers have landed back on their feet and slowly but surely regaining momentum to the White House.
Funding from terror states Saudi Arabia and others into the Clinton Foundation has been under focus and is a controversy..
As Trump would say, I can’t help it if these people want to give me money. You really think the Khans are the only thing he has gotten wrong since June?
Never mind polls , they are not reliable . Remember polls had brexit to remain , then came the shock . As far as I can see , the 2 are very close .
Jason I don’t think it matters , electoral college will get their girl over the line regardless if trump gets the most votes
The poll average doesn’t really work either, because individual polls have different methodologies, and different biases. I find the most reliable work is done here http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo because they use 3 different forecasting models based on polls and other stuff (what they call ‘fundamentals’ which basically means the current state of the economy, unemployment rate, etc. and how that tends to affect the vote for each party). They’re also very transparent about how they weight each individual poll, and how they calculate biases. They also forecast a probability of who will win, rather than just predicting a winner, so the reader has a better understanding of exactly how close the race is. They’ve a great track record of predicting US elections, although they have slipped up with their UK coverage predictions (namely because polling works very differently in the UK) in the past.
Still, when you look at the state-by-state polls, Trump has very little chance of success right now. That *might* change before voting day, but it’s worth pointing out that has never happened before.
Apparently there is a lot of really bad stuff going to be published about Clinton before the election. Wiki leaks are going to torpedo this corrupt woman.
I really hope so..
So they say but why is a freedom of information organisation sitting on information? Either they’re fishing or hypocrits
I said it before and I’ll say it again, she is Beelzebub.
wikileaks supports Trump; best chance of a pardon.
they’ll be making up emails in a Hilary style. Anyone who disputes their authenticity will be annihilated by anonymous. It’s the new world order of infowars.
they haven’t release any damning information about Trump, and it isn’t because they don’t have any.
Idiots in pyjamas hoping for instability and also banking on hugely socialist FF and FG propping them up baby… Bigger fools? FF or we all just blah blah blah. Seriously.
Yeah, Hillary’s America, a movie by a life long Republican that went to jail for breaking campaign finance law. Also, it’s apparently quite shit http://www.rogerebert.com/reviews/hillarys-america-the-secret-history-of-the-democratic-party-2016
And we think we have bad choices here?
We do
Two such grim people to choose to lead such a huge country. It’s like a choice between cancer and AIDS
What type of cancer?
What type of aids. Good or bad aids?
This is why I’d love to see her lose this: the media loves a frenzy, Trump is a teddy bear – Clinton appears to be more dangerous and the third wave feminism driving her victory is soulless and embarrassing.
More lies,how much further can the journal deflect from the truth here?
I doubt they an agenda here in fairness
Of course they do, the Journal is a left-leaning website that has a sympathy for progressive views and progressives in the US are lining up behind Clinton solely because she happens to be a woman.
Heaven forbid anyone would be progressive! Jason Culligan, the alt-right representative against reform and progress!
Not just the Journal all media in Ireland would see Trump as evil and bad that is their honest opinion
Just like most media outlets in the US
In all fairness, Trump – a twitchy, self-obsessed buffoon and congenital liar – is totally unfit for the office of President.
As the man has no redeeming qualities whatsoever, why on earth should news (as opposed to propaganda) outlets pretend that he has?
Ha polling! It’s all lies. The journal even bothering to publish it is, frankly, embarrassing. WWN do it justice.
Tinfoil hat?
Polling is all lies unless Trump is leading, presumably?
You probably do have to account for the ‘shy’ trump voters who would not admit it to a pollster.
Polling can be wrong when the margins are extremely tight such as Brexit,but most of the time they are correct.
Of course Tariq. The words ‘lies’ here is what is so ridiculous. Suggests a conscious conspiracy to deceive.
Honestly, do you actually believe polls? Just like Brexit yeah. Daww, polls are solely used as a vehicle to make an expected result look better. I think Trumps an idiot, nice of you to assume I was pro-Trump but at least the fact that you’re a bit of a knob shone through, congrats.
You’re forgetting that Brexit polls didn’t unanimously show either side would win. They went either way all the way up to voting day.
Guess what? Polls have virtually unanimously shown that Hillary is well ahead, for better or for worse.
Wall St. Is A financing the Clinton Foundation and her campaign. Insider.
Trump has donated more money to the Clinton Foundation than he has to Veterans :)
Really gregory? All of the latest news reports state that most of the funding of The Clinton Foundation comes from aliens on Keplar-B
Ah come on Tariq that Foundation had received $$ fromca lot of dodgy places….also in ME
Guess who most of Trump’s campaign donations go to, that’s right, they go to Trump companies
The Trump campaigns only hope now is to throw a dead cat on the table
They missed the table and it landed on his head.
Go Hilldog!!! Chumps for Trumps be crying into their Daily Star newspaper!
Is this a genuine or sarcastic comment? If genuine, would seriously like to hear the things that would make you want to vote for Clinton (and specifically not that Trump is an idiot). Thanks.
Ah now, I can’t stand trump either but celebrating Hillary? The woman is pure evil!
Ah here, stop your messin now, you just posted a link to Hillary Clinton’s website. Seriously, what are the reasons you think Clinton is good? Genuine question, try not to give a joke response this time if you want people to take your pro-Clinton stance seriously. The reason I say this is because it’s becoming obvious that she’s a liar & a bough & paid for scoundrel & I wanted to see if people still actually believed she is a decent person. Thanks.
Linda, she’s definitely got some sociopathic tendencies but at least shes got an idea of what’s going on in the world. Trump is a far more dangerous option.
Humpty Trumpty had a great fall….
She was never losing it kartel USA will always have her back. It’s all a persuasive fix which is why America has been run by more or less just two families in as many decades. Obama was just an experiment.
This is my point. Polls & votes in America & the UK, Blue Team/ Red Team, really doesn’t matter. The proof is in the pudding. Voting in the US hasn’t made a difference to the majority since the late 50′s. The fact that people even chose to pick one over the other & then whole heartedly support & back them, to the point of mocking anyone who counters their hard-held values, serves to prove the depth of human idiocy. Maybe someday the blind will see but I guess ignorance is bliss. Enjoy.
I think Drunk_Colm just hacked into Sober_Colm’s Twitter account.
@ tuot – Trump’s not stupid, he knows how to speak to his audience (who are usually quite stupid) If he got in, he’d back down on all his grand plans and he probably wouldn’t do much at all and blame it on the politics etc.
Hillary on the other hand, shes more than a sociopath, she’s a raging psychopath and the only guarantee at the end of her term is that her and all her mates will be richer…. and probably WW3.
You some up what’s wrong with politics and society in general in today’s world.
Trump is honest, he isnt a politician and thats why he appeals to alot of people. Understandably Americans are sick of the sanctimonious nonsense spewed out by the likes of Clinton or Obama. For all his apparent honesty Trump has no idea what is going on with his own countries foreign policy or any clue of the politics in the middle east. This is a man who mocked a disabled reporter and believes that climate change is a hoax concocted by the Chinese. He is a narcissistic lunatic who reacts in ridiculously petty and childish ways to fair criticism. If he was given power we could all be in quite a bit of trouble whereas Clinton would be the status quo…..she would just keep the train rolling. Both are suspect but if take Hilary all day long……even she is a sociopath that sounds like a bag of cats.
I think it should be very clear to everyone by now that Trump is definitely not honest.
This sums it up pretty well https://youtu.be/_kJpttKLUtI
The worst part is that there are some people naive enough to fall for this crap.
I hope Gary Johnson manages to hit 15% in the polls before the first debate, it’d be nice to show the US that there is more than 2 options available to them.
In a perfect world this would be a 4 way debate but yhe rules are agreed between the Republican and Democrat parties so that’s very unlikely
U.s. democrats sponsor regime change in UkR and Joe Biden and Son Hunter end up owner Directors of UkR National Gas Company controlling pipeline from Russia to Eu. Meanwhile Hillary supports Iraq War II destroying Iraq and supports regime change in Libya where Isis take over the oil fields of Sirte and large areas in Iraq. Bill on the other hand signed off the commodities futures & modernization act 2000 cancelling the Glass Stegall Act wisely signed off by FDR to regulate banks sowing the seeds for the Crash in 2097-08 as banks were then allowed to engage in dodgy behaviour leading to explosion cin derivatives market 2000-2007
1. Joe Biden is not a director 2. Trump’s running mate voted for the war in Iraq as well 3. Trump also supported regime change in Libya 4. As you said, Bill signed off on it, he didn’t introduce it or sponsor it.
NY TIMES questions Joe Biden’s credibility in Ukraine-read this; http://mobile.nytimes.com/2015/12/09/world/europe/corruption-ukraine-joe-biden-son-hunter-biden-ties.html?_r=0
Bill Clinton repealed Glass Steagall and destroyed the U.S. economy and caused the International Economic crisis also in Ireland. http://billmoyers.com/story/why-bernies-right-about-glass-steagall/
Bernie Sanders is right. The CLintons destroyed the U.S. economy; https://berniesanders.com/yes-glass-steagall-matters-here-are-5-reasons-why/
Yup, I never denied that but you put false information in your initial comment
“The man who was one of the chief architects of the “Big Bank” model now says the United States never should have repealed the Glass-Steagall banking act in 1999″ http://money.cnn.com/2015/11/12/investing/citigroup-john-reed-glass-steagall/
“WASHINGTON — When Vice PresidentJoseph R. Biden Jr. traveled to Kiev , Ukraine, on Sunday for a series of meetings with the country’s leaders, one of the issues on his agenda was to encourage a more aggressive fight against Ukraine’s ramprant corruption and stronger efforts to rein in the power of its oligarchs.But the credibility of the vice president’s anticorruption message may have been undermined by the association of his son, Hunter Biden, with one of Ukraine’s largest natural gas companies, Burisma Holdings, and with its owner, Mykola Zlochevsky, who was Ukraine’s ecology minister under former President Viktor F. Yanukovych before he was forced into exile.Hunter Biden, 45, a former Washington lobbyist, joined the Burisma board in April 2014. That month, as part of an investigation into money laundering, British officials froze London bank accounts containing $23 million that allegedly belonged to Mr. Zlochevsky…” http://mobile.nytimes.com/2015/12/09/world/europe/corruption-ukraine-joe-biden-son-hunter-biden-ties.html?_r=0
Glass Stegall Repeal destroyed the U.S and the World by laying the foundation for SuperBanks; http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/8532666
Robert Rubin Treasury Secretary under Bill Clinton spearheads repeal of Glass-Steagall Act enabling formation of SuperBank CitiGroup whose new CEO is. …Robert Rubin….insiders…. http://www.demos.org/publication/brief-history-glass-steagall-act
SuperPacs (backed by Wall St.) Back Hillary who live leads the way with $213mln raised so far….. http://www.wsj.com/articles/financial-sector-gives-hillary-clinton-a-boost-1462750725
Well then I guess the Senate and House shouldn’t have passed the bills then. If never refuted that they are bad just pointing out that you made false claims in your initial comment. Which you still haven’t proven or retracted
No surprise, the lead will only increase from here out. The race was concluded a few weeks ago at the DNC
Go Trump!
Wanda I’ll take 50. My good friend is a Nigerian Prince he’ll pay you up front. In order for him to do so email your bank details:
It’s okay Jason, it happened to my grandmother too, nothing to be ashamed of.
Thanks be to jaysus
Yes, the obvious way to win an argument…. if you’re a child. Very good, gold star for you. On the other hand you could provide a genuine counter argumemt, though that would take adult thought. Here’s one for you neo liberals, try not to explode under the weight of the reality that Hillary Clinton actually could give a hoot about LGBT rights or women’s rights: https://theintercept.com/2016/08/25/why-did-the-saudi-regime-and-other-gulf-tyrannies-donate-millions-to-the-clinton-foundation/
So, closer to WW3 then….
Excellent. The US will get a president who isn’t a total moron and the angry right wing idiots will be incensed by it. Win win!
You’re right, they’ll avoid a moron if Hillary wins. They’ll get someone malicious instead.
Which do you think is better for the country?
With Hillary the US will get a president who pushes regime change in the middle east that is leading to death and destruction on a massive scale and a refugee crisis that is threatening Europe. With new globalist trade deals corporations will be able to sue governments for introducing laws that could cause them to lose profit.
Not really a win for ordinary people but certainly a win for the clintons and big business.
They’ll avoid an insane moron.
Vincent – how exactly will Trump stop those Trade Deals ?
Polls are all fake !
BS.. this is based on main stream media… trump rallies have over 10,000 people.. Austin had capacity of 10,000 people were turned away.. meanwhile she can hardly fill a school gym, there was no hillary supporters on the streets at the DNC just pissed Bernie supporters… the main stream media presstitute’s are pushing this crap..
She was he 1%s choice from the start. She was always going to win. Democracy? Not a chance.
So she got aHEAD, like her husband
It’s Donald Trump who will win in a landslide. Just look at the numbers. The Republican party base has been engergised by him with several million extra voters. The opposite has happened with the Democrats, with the party losing millions of voters as party members stay away. Then there is the Bernie Sanders factor. Millions of Democrat voters feel that he was stabbed in the back by the leadership. When Hillary Clinton was making her nomination victory speech the venue was almost empty because Bernie Saunders supporters, such as the ones from California had walked out in protest. Soon China won’t be the only country with a Great Wall.
It’s all to play for. Assange has a few Barrel Bombs in store for her yet and is reportedly saving them for exactly the right time. Of course he might actually reflect on the potential of history remembering him as the person who inadvertently got Trump elected and might save them for afters. Either way, I’d say she is using medication to sleep at night.
have your say