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File photo of housing in rural village Alamy

Future housing demand dependant on migration levels, new report says

In a high migration scenario, the demand for housing will be well above the government’s targets.

IRELAND’S HOUSING NEEDS will be dictated by how much migration there is to and from the country in the near future.

That is according to a report from the Economic and Social Research Institute, which gives scenarios of the country’s supply needs between now and 2030.

Depending on household sizes, a baseline population scenario would see 38,000 to 50,000 new houses needed every year over the next six years.

However, this range could be as much as 41,000 to 53,000 when high migration is factored in.

In a low migration scenario, the estimates range from 35,000 to 47,000 per year.

Paul Egan, an author of the report and a Research Officer at the ESRI, said projections of structural housing demand are “sensitive to assumptions”.

“Owing to the uncertainty in any projection exercise, the research considers a range of assumptions,” he said.

“It should also be noted that all scenarios relate to future demographic housing demand and do not factor in current pent-up demand.” 

In March, then-Taoiseach Leo Varadkar said that increasing the housing targets to 50,000 per year is not achievable this year or next. The target currently sits at 33,000 homes to be delivered per year.

The government fell 2,680 homes shy of their social and affordable housing targets for last year.

Meanwhile, in the year to April 2024, around 141,600 people immigrated to Ireland, while 64,00 left. This leaves net migration at an estimated 77,600.

Under the European Union’s rules, citizens have freedom of movement between member states, and can live in another EU country for up to three months without restriction. This is increased to six months if they are looking for a job.

European citizens can also access services such as healthcare in other member states.

Most people outside of the EU who come to Ireland apply for an immigration permission to work, live or study here.

Around 29,600 Irish citizens left Ireland to live abroad last year, and around 30,500 returned. 

Between 2022 and 2030, the population is expected to grow by around 516,000, the equivalent 1.3% per year.

In the medium term, the ESRI’s baseline scenario allows for a population increase of 933,000 between 2022 and 2040, resulting in a total population of over 6.1 million people by the end of the period.

This implies significant overall population growth of 1% on an annual average basis.

In a high international migration scenario, the population grows by an average of 1.2% per year, reaching 6.3 million by 2040.

The ESRI says that, while population growth is anticipated across the country, the Eastern and Midlands regions are expected to see comparatively higher population growth, concentrated in Dublin and the Mid-East.

The Northern and Western, and Southern regions are anticipated to see comparatively lower growth.

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36 Comments
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    Mute Santa Carla
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    May 18th 2017, 8:48 AM

    Amazing singer and the soundtrack to my youth. RIP

    980
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    Mute John B
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    May 18th 2017, 5:18 PM

    @abcyz: perhaps the mind that produces creativity has the side effect of being depression and addiction prone. RIP

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    Mute abcyz
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    May 18th 2017, 5:21 PM

    @John B: I’m talking about no talent shows like the voice X factor etc contestants who are strung along by Kian & his employer Louis & his employer Simon

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    Mute Shane Cormican
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    May 19th 2017, 1:44 AM

    @Santa Carla: your still young son!!

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    Mute Deborah Behan
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    May 19th 2017, 7:53 AM

    @John B: do not romanticise suicide. No matter how bad anyone is feeling talking to someone is the only thing that will help. You’re brain will tell you it’s the best thing to do but your brain is sick and it’s lying to you. I know you’re not trying to romanticise suicide but statements like that don’t help. If anyone is feeling unwell or having these thoughts, especially men, please ask for help. We cannot do without you no matter what your brain is telling you.

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    Mute Havid Dickey
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    May 18th 2017, 8:53 AM

    An absolute hero of mine, and a prominent voice in my youth with Soundgarden, Temple Of The Dog, Audioslave, etc.

    Arguably the finest male American singer, alongside Jeff Buckley, of the past 25 years.

    622
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    Mute Thinck
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    May 18th 2017, 9:17 AM

    @Havid Dickey:

    And almost 20 years to the day of Jeff Buckleys passing

    170
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    Mute David Murphey
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    May 18th 2017, 9:26 AM

    @Havid Dickey: agree. Incredible voice.

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    Mute Titus Groan
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    May 18th 2017, 9:29 AM

    “Be Yourself”… one of my all time favourite songs.

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    Mute John Conroy
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    May 18th 2017, 1:54 PM

    @Havid Dickey: he’s in the conversation for greatest rock singers imho

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    Mute Piotrek Król
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    May 18th 2017, 8:55 AM

    This is a complete shock, and a very tough one to take.

    RIP Chris. An absolute legend.

    323
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    Mute Thinck
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    May 18th 2017, 9:18 AM

    Himself, Layne Staley, Eddie Vedder and Scott Weiland were the best vocalists of a generation and now only one remains

    Very sad

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    Mute Matt Donovan
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    May 18th 2017, 10:31 AM

    @Thinck: nail on the head Thinck. It’s a sad day for music.

    74
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    Mute Ryan Comiskey
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    May 18th 2017, 10:44 AM

    @Thinck: lol – Eddie Vedder? The rest I agree with.

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    Mute Mark Byrne
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    May 18th 2017, 10:50 AM

    @Ryan Comiskey: there’s no one better than Eddie.

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    Mute Mark Byrne
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    May 18th 2017, 10:51 AM

    @Thinck: 100%

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    Mute Ted Logan
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    May 18th 2017, 10:52 AM

    Line from Black Hole Sun – “No one sings like you anymore” seems very apt this morning.

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    Mute Deborah Behan
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    May 18th 2017, 10:53 AM

    @Thinck: Jesus when you say it like that.

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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    May 18th 2017, 11:55 AM

    @Ryan Comiskey: jog on troll. This is not about personal taste or your stupid point scoring

    103
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    Mute Quentin Moriarty
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    May 18th 2017, 5:57 PM

    @Thinck: Steve Perry of Journey tops them all

    12
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    Mute Sean @114
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    May 18th 2017, 9:03 AM

    Soundtrack to my college years along with Nirvana, RATM and Pearl Jam. A legend.

    239
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    Mute Ferg Breen
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    May 18th 2017, 9:11 AM

    Horrible. Just horrible. A stunning voice and an unbelievable musician and by all accounts a lovely man. Just yesterday I was bursting a blood vessel trying to sing along to him in the car on the way home from work.
    Black days indeed.
    He will be so so sadly missed. Whatever love I have to give is for his family and friends today.

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    Mute Deborah Behan
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    May 18th 2017, 8:53 AM

    I’m in shock.

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    Mute Scundered
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    May 18th 2017, 7:03 PM

    @Alan Cooke: a very talented one though, who despite his addiction went on to become so much more than a common troll.

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    Mute Seamus Mc Meel
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    May 18th 2017, 7:56 PM

    @Alan Cooke: Just another talentless troll.

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    Mute Gary Griffin
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    May 18th 2017, 9:06 AM

    I’m in shock and in tears. One of my favourite singers of all time! A passionate performer and soulful lyricist. RIP Chris, gone far too soon!

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    Mute John Smith
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    May 18th 2017, 8:55 AM

    Been listening to Chris Cornell since the early ’90′s, so shocked. Amazing singer, RIP.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TksqEIl1uxU&ab_channel=Micheleland

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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    May 18th 2017, 9:25 AM

    @John Smith: beautiful voice, nobody codes that without auto tune anymore https://youtu.be/x7JDBMrzMcw

    54
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    Mute David
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    May 18th 2017, 9:17 AM

    Actually effected by a celebrity death for the first time. Legend.

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    Mute Sean
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    May 18th 2017, 10:21 AM

    @David: affected

    59
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    Mute Eimear Borgman
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    May 18th 2017, 3:18 PM

    @David: agreed, so so sad, massive part of my teenage years to this day. And what an amazing live performer. Will be sorely missed.

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    Mute Cathal Finnerty
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    May 18th 2017, 8:58 AM

    Black Days

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    Mute Ken Pepper
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    May 18th 2017, 9:41 AM

    Black Hole Sun….a song you never get tired of hearing.
    Performer of one of the most underrated Bond Themes too.
    RIP

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    Mute DaisyChainsaw
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    May 18th 2017, 9:56 AM

    I love his Bond theme, a real growl to it. RIP.

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    Mute David O Connell
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    May 18th 2017, 9:17 AM

    This is shocking news. One of the very best voices ever!

    Find him on iPod, CD, vinyl, whatever your preferred way of listening and turn it up LOUD!

    91
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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    May 18th 2017, 9:04 AM

    Absolutely fantastic singer and performer. RIP.

    64
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    Mute Dan O'Connor
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    May 18th 2017, 9:00 AM

    An absolute legend. R.I.P

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    Mute Robert Woodward
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    May 18th 2017, 9:33 AM

    Wow what a great loss to music , great singer one of the voices of the nineties. I always thought the bond theme song was really underrated

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    Mute Eamonn Sheen
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    May 18th 2017, 9:04 AM

    This news has floored me. RIP

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    Mute Alan Morrissey
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    May 18th 2017, 9:36 AM

    Jesus. What a complete and utter shock! One of the great voices in rock and Soundgarden were a fantastic band. Ultramega OK, Louder Than Love, Badmotorfinger, Superunknown & Down On The Upside is a brilliant run of albums for any band to have in their back catalogue. Saw them in Dublin on the King Animal tour in 2013 & it was a brilliant gig. Had waited years to hear them play and they didn’t disappoint (Limo Wreck was my highlight!). It was great to see them back up running and I was really looking forward to the new album. R.I.P.

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    Mute Felicity Hensen
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    May 18th 2017, 9:43 AM

    His solo gig in the Olympia was one of the best gigs I’ve been to – as was the STP one there. Happened to listen to four of his songs through various incarnations during the night. Epic voice and extremely talented.

    58
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    Mute Havid Dickey
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    May 18th 2017, 2:09 PM

    @Felicity Hensen: At that Olympia gig when he did “When I’m Down” with the gramophone mic’ed up. One of the highlights of my gig going life.

    @Alan Morrissey: Limo Wreck. What a tune!

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    Mute Art Attack Head
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    May 18th 2017, 6:01 PM

    @Felicity Hensen: was also at that gig. Was very cool

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    Mute The Bad Beard Dude
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    May 18th 2017, 11:25 AM

    Fond memories of this tune and snakebite in Fibbers back in the day. Blackhole Sun was one of the most played videos at the time when MTV showed music videos. Very fond memories of that time and this was a big part of that. So sad to hear of his passing. RIP Chris

    55
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    Mute Patrick Kavanagh
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    May 18th 2017, 9:12 AM

    His vocal in Spoonman is amazing.. can’t believe his death is a typical rock n roll one as he always seemed in great shape. RIP

    64
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    Mute Mark Byrne
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    May 18th 2017, 1:26 PM

    @Patrick Kavanagh: Birth Rituals vocal is up there too. Incredible.

    17
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    Mute MConaty
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    May 18th 2017, 9:09 AM

    Heartbroken – what a legend, what a voice. RIP

    56
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    Mute Anthony Fitzpatrick
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    May 18th 2017, 9:20 AM

    I’m in total shock. The man was an absolute legend. One of the greatest voices in music. RIP

    52
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    Mute Darragh Brennan
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    May 18th 2017, 9:03 AM

    This is just awful. Loved soundgarden when I growing up. My kids now sing ‘ long gone’ when we’re out in the car. RIP.

    62
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    Mute Martin Matthews
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    May 18th 2017, 10:21 AM

    R.I.P. Absolute legend. Soundgardens performance at Sunstroke Festival in 91 was one of the best I’ve ever seen.

    42
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    Mute Deborah Behan
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    May 19th 2017, 12:02 AM

    Please, please men if you are not feeling alright or feeling you are depressed please talk to someone. Anyone. You are loved. You are needed. We need you. Unfortunately it is too late for Chris but it is never too late for you. Please speak I guarantee you will feel better. It is a start. That’s all that’s need. Be kind to yourself.

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    Mute Patrick keane
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    May 18th 2017, 9:24 AM

    Black hole sun wont you come and wash away the rain

    61
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    Mute Denise Daly
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    May 18th 2017, 9:32 AM

    Really tragic loss; a musical genius. Some powerful songs that were a soundtrack to my youth. Soundgarden an MTV were incredible when I was in secondary school. Great memories.

    37
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    Mute Oliver Cullen
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    May 18th 2017, 9:24 AM

    I’m gutted.

    37
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    Mute Ronan McKeon
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    May 18th 2017, 11:05 AM

    R.I.P. He wrote and sang the best James Bond theme since Live and let die.

    37
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    Mute colm connolly
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    May 18th 2017, 11:42 AM

    @Ronan McKeon: please god say your taking the piss and if you are then shame

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    Mute colm connolly
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    May 18th 2017, 11:11 PM

    @Ronan McKeon: what I meant was it’s the best not the best since live and let die but overall , lice and let die is second and 3rd being diamonds are forever

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    Mute Maid Marian
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    May 18th 2017, 9:23 AM

    RIP Such an amazing voice.

    35
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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    May 18th 2017, 9:38 AM

    Had his demons but last I heard he was sober. An absolute hero of mine, and a voice that will live with me for the rest of my days, thankfully.

    34
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    Mute Nicola Mc Clurg
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    May 18th 2017, 11:22 AM

    Such sad news. I had to Google the news in case it was a wind up. An amazing singer and talent who will be sorely missed by his fans.

    20
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    Mute Rita
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    May 18th 2017, 11:28 AM

    What a voice, I’m gutted, he was part of my grunge years RIP Chris.

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    Mute Peter Rice
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    May 18th 2017, 1:22 PM

    Bloody shame.
    Great singer but a truly gifted songwriter.I loved most of that Seattle stuff but Soundgarden are the band from that era I still listen to regularly.

    17
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    Mute Terry
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    May 18th 2017, 9:00 AM

    WTF?

    R.I.P. Chris

    54
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    Mute sean
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    May 18th 2017, 10:41 PM

    Total legend, his songs have stood the rest of time and sound as good today as they did 20 years ago.

    The line in outshined is quiet poignant now in light of what happened

    “Just looked in the mirror
    And thing aren’t looking sobad
    I’m looking California
    But feeing Minnesota”

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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    May 19th 2017, 2:10 AM

    @sean: I think this one works: “There was a man who had a face
    That looked a lot like me
    I saw him in the mirror and
    I fought him in the street
    And when he turned away
    I shot him in the head
    Then I came to realize
    I had killed myself

    If you’re free you’ll never see the walls
    If your head is clear you’ll never free fall
    If you’re right you’ll never fear the wrong
    If your head is high you’ll never fear at all

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    Mute Dave
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    May 18th 2017, 10:26 AM

    Saw them in 95 in the RDS with white zombie and thought they were crap that day. That said, they have been an enormous influence on my musical taste. Can see me having spoonman, outshined and hunger strike on repeat all day.

    18
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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    May 18th 2017, 11:56 AM

    @Dave: don’t leave out Jesus Christ Pose

    16
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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    May 18th 2017, 12:31 PM

    I could keep going with videos all day, the man had one of the most impressive voices I’ve ever heard https://youtu.be/tzEa7CCBXyY

    13
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    Mute Ruth Corcoran
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    May 18th 2017, 3:37 PM

    So shocked that Chris Cornell has passed,rock has lost a very special and talented man,rest in peace

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    Mute Layla Moroney
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    May 19th 2017, 12:46 AM

    Do you not think some helpline numbers at bottom of this article would be appropriate given that you even described the method? Highly irresponsible journalism

    14
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    Mute Anon Ymous
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    May 19th 2017, 12:49 AM

    @Layla Moroney: I was thinking the same. They usually put helpline numbers up after articles that even hint at suicide. Surprised they haven’t done it this time.

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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    May 19th 2017, 2:11 AM

    @Anon Ymous: this is an update o an early report. Must people always nit-pick?

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    Mute John Connor
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    May 19th 2017, 8:15 AM

    @Anon Ymous @Layla Moroney : Really? Highly irresponsible journalism? Go nit-pick on another article. RIP chris.

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    Mute Layla Moroney
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    May 21st 2017, 1:33 AM

    @John Connor: First time I have ever ‘nit-picked’ on an article. I don’t apologise for it either and stand by my statement as I am sure Pieta House Samaritans or Suicide Or Survive would too. Peace and love!

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    Mute Diarmuid Doran
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    May 18th 2017, 4:30 PM

    Beautiful voice , humble and talented.

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    Mute Piotrek Król
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    May 18th 2017, 9:23 AM
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    Mute Paul Costello
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    May 18th 2017, 2:02 PM

    Was shocked to hear this today.

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    Mute Plus Prom
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    May 18th 2017, 4:14 PM

    Very sad and shocking.

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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    May 18th 2017, 4:17 PM

    @Plus Prom: if true, it shows once more that there is no price tag on happiness. Mental health issues couldn’t a fu(k what your bank balance is

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    Mute DaisyChainsaw
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    May 18th 2017, 6:49 PM

    So sad. He was sober and touring which seems like the last place a performer would want to die by suicide. But, as you said, mental health issues dngaf.

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    Mute Eamonn O'Riain
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    May 18th 2017, 12:58 PM

    Jesuschristpose

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    Mute Dylan Roche
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    May 18th 2017, 10:59 AM

    Ah fudge it…

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    Mute niall
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    May 18th 2017, 5:43 PM

    Tragic. What a talent, sadly lost.

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    Mute Negan
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    May 18th 2017, 5:01 PM

    R.I.P.
    Haven’t heard dave Navarro’s name since he was in the Red Hot Chili’s

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    Mute Ossi Fritsche
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    May 18th 2017, 2:05 PM

    Ah no, love Black Hole Sun.

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    Mute Kevin McCarthy
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    May 18th 2017, 10:24 PM

    https://youtu.be/7QU1nvuxaMA

    Great tune. RIP Chris.

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    Mute Dave O'Hanlon
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    May 18th 2017, 6:18 PM

    What a damn shame, probably one of the best singers of the 90s and I’d say strongest of the grungers. RIP

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    Mute Stouts O Shea
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    May 18th 2017, 4:41 PM

    Too much money

    3
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    Mute sean
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    May 18th 2017, 10:44 PM

    @Stouts O Shea: do u even know about Chris Cornell? Battled with depression and other Demons since his teens,money has nothing to do with it,

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    Mute Jim Brown
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    May 19th 2017, 11:29 AM

    @Martin Matthews: yes very sad indeed.. It was my very first gig that Sumner slam. It was ,94 or 95 in the RDS. I rember white Zombie and mudhoney and possibly STP too, think I have the the ticket stub somewhere..

    2
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