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Battle lines and cantering elephants: Here's how Election 2014 is shaping up in Ireland South...

Ten counties. Four seats. Exactly 96 hours until the polls open.

Ireland Sth Nicky Ryan / TheJournal.ie Nicky Ryan / TheJournal.ie / TheJournal.ie

THREE DAYS OUT from D-Day, there’s still an intense battle going on for the final seat in the massive Ireland South constituency.

Candidates will be blitzing the ten county constituency in the coming days, in a bid to shore up as much support as possible across an electoral area that covers the entire southern half of the country — from the outer-Dublin suburbs of north Wicklow to the wilds of west Kerry.

Friday’s election provides a chance for voters to send a clear message on what they make of the current coalition. Issues like water charges and jobs have been the main topics of conversation on the canvass — and while Labour look set to lose out as a result of growing dissatisfaction with the coalition, Fine Gael appear on course to secure two of the four seats up for grabs.

To date, the incident that’s created most headlines in the battle for the south has been sitting Labour MEP’s decision to press the red button and call for her party leader to quit. Phil Prendergast’s surprise move (which, admittedly, gained her acres of coverage in the wake of a poor poll showing) resulted in a short-term bump in support, but she’s been polling back between 5 and 6 per cent in recent days.

The situation’s created some awkward moments in the last few weeks. Prendergast’s declaration that she viewed Eamon Gilmore not just as the elephant in the room, but as an elephant “cantering around the room breaking things” didn’t stop her appearing beside her leader at a manifesto launch last week. Asked by reporters, she confirmed “I stand by what I said” while noting that it had been a “difficult time”.

Back to Brussels

At the other end of a crowded field, Fianna Fáil’s perennially popular Brian Crowley is well on course to top the polls once again. A number of surveys, conducted weeks apart, showed the veteran MEP poised to romp home with a massive lead over his nearest rivals. His surplus is likely to have a major bearing on the final complexion of the constituency.

While the addition of Leinster’s eastern counties in the recent re-drawing of boundaries doesn’t appear to have hampered brand Crowley, it’s created some major headaches for Fine Gael over the last few weeks. The party’s running three candidates — with Senator Deirdre Clune, from Cork, and Wicklow TD Simon Harris both snapping at the heels of sitting MEP Sean Kelly.

[Dave Nowak Photography]

The situation’s led to some discord between the candidates, who theoretically signed-up to a ‘divide and conquer’ strategy — each were supposed to play to their geographical strengths, canvassing and making local media appearances within clearly demarcated areas, with only Tipperary and Waterford deemed ‘up for grabs’ by all three.

‘A nightmare’

The plan hasn’t worked out in practice, however, and candidates’ representatives have regularly accused their competitors of encroaching into rival territory. One campaign source said trying to manage the vote in the constituency had been “a nightmare”.

Despite all the sniping — Enda Kenny’s party look on course to send Kelly, a former GAA President, back to Brussels. Based on the latest polls Clune looks most likely to join him, though Harris isn’t too far behind.

Video TheJournal.ie / YouTube

New hopeful

Sinn Féin’s Liadh Ní Riada, a political newcomer, has been polling strongly since the start of the campaign proper — reflecting the national pattern of growing support for her party. The former TV producer and daughter of composer Sean is on 19 per cent in the latest poll, 12 behind Crowley. She’ll be aiming to cover as much ground as possible over the next few days, however, given that SF rarely do well when it comes to transfers.

In terms of the other candidates — first-time Green candidate and former Rainbow Warrior activist Grace O’Sullivan has put in an encouraging performance for the party. Her poll numbers hit 7 per cent in yesterday’s Irish Times survey, putting her one ahead of Prendergast.

Down among the single digits, campaigner Diarmud O’Flynn of ‘Ballyhea says No’ has been the highest profile candidate of the bunch. While he’s insisted his campaign is not a symbolic one, the Irish Examiner journalist is unlikely to be in the mix come Sunday night when the results are officially announced.

Kieran Hartley is the second FF candidate running in the area, but the Waterford-based businessman’s campaign never really got off the ground — he was at just 2 per cent in the Times poll. Also on the ballot on Friday will be non-party candidates Richard Cahill, Jillian Godsil, and Peter O’Loughlin — along with Theresa Heaney (Catholic Democrats), Dónal Ó Ríordáin of Fís Nua and Jan van de Ven of Direct Democracy Ireland.

And finally, sheep…

The main candidates have an intense few days ahead, as they aim to hit as many shopping centres, sporting events and local radio stations as possible before the polls open at 7am on Friday.

And if you happen to be in the Gorey area in the latter half of the week, you can expect to see a few familiar political figures. Tens of thousands of spectators are due in the area for the international sheep-shearing championships, the ‘Golden Shears‘.

Read: Here’s how Election 2014 is shaping up in Dublin

Read: Here’s how Election 2014 is shaping up in Midlands North West

Read all our Election 2014 coverage here > 

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12 Comments
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    Mute Sean Linda Conlon
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:35 AM

    Massive disappointment, the headline sucked me in, I thought she was on the aircraft when he partied in his undies.

    385
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    Mute Ciaran De Bhal
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:40 AM

    Deliberately misleading headline alright.

    142
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    Mute Seamus McCullough
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    Aug 21st 2013, 1:23 PM

    The very best headline I’ve read on thejournal.

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    Mute Ogie Carbery
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:33 AM

    Legend get him on the late late

    190
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    Mute CAPT. ADEBAYO FLYNN
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:11 PM

    You have to be a presenter of another RTE show to get on that hot ticket.

    129
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    Mute Jambon Decapabanana
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:30 PM

    Just give him a ticket to the show. He’d jump up on stage and make the show watchable for more than 2 whole mins.

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    Mute CAPT. ADEBAYO FLYNN
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:40 PM

    It’s a fair point Jambon. If Tubs starting giving yippers and erb to everyone in the audience not only would the atmosphere be ELECTRIFYING, I for one would be queuing around donnybrook awaiting the night of our lives.

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    Mute Anna Gram
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:31 AM

    Was it Enda Kenny??

    167
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    Mute John O'Neill
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:50 AM

    I bet he got a kick in the Caucasus for his trouble…

    16
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    Mute Ryan'O
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:09 PM

    Probably a pat on the head. Sit ubu sit.

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    Mute rubberspandex
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    Aug 21st 2013, 4:40 PM

    I think the Germans will have special methods of punishment for this humour filled individual

    2
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    Mute eric grixy
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    Aug 21st 2013, 5:32 PM

    She was checking out Dacchau ; how appropriate rubber !

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    Mute Anthony Dennehy
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:48 AM

    Luftpantsa

    131
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    Mute Conor Lambert
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:35 AM

    Maybe he was trying to get higher..

    86
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    Mute rubberspandex
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    Aug 22nd 2013, 1:40 AM

    Pathetic joke

    1
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    Mute Patch Quinn
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:00 PM

    Why are so much of yous idiots that every article has something to do with enda kenny. Is your brain so lowly capacitated that you can’t actually bring a proper comical sentence to the forumbin relation to the incident.

    68
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    Mute Richard Keogh
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:08 PM

    Can you repeat that in English please.

    39
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    Mute Les Rock
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:13 PM

    Enda kenny

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    Mute CAPT. ADEBAYO FLYNN
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:18 PM

    Enda Kenny, when asked recently on how he felt about Mayo’s All Ireland chances avoided the question and blamed the whole thing on the previous Fianna Fáil government.

    45
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    Mute Mikie Twoshoes
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:38 AM

    What I want to know is where were the rest of the A-Team. I’d expect this type of behaviour from Murdock – but from Mr. T? What’s the world coming too!

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    Mute Truth Patrol
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:43 AM

    The reason he didn’t try to fly it?

    “I ain’t flying in no plane fool…”

    61
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    Mute Shane Gavin
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:46 AM

    Mr. T wouldn’t get on no plane, fool.

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    Mute Mikie Twoshoes
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:49 AM

    Ah… that explains the drugs – clearly Hannibal mixed up the meds in his milk.

    26
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    Mute Blinky
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:55 AM

    Mr T is doing a show on BBC3, World’s Craziest Fools. It’s dumb but hilarious.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VlIPx6MYE-U

    12
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    Mute Dermot Corscadden
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:40 AM

    Definitely wasn’t Irish. We don’t have money to spend on marijuana and ecstasy. Or underwear.

    40
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    Mute Gaz McGoo
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:16 PM

    Speak for yourself fool.

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    Mute Dermot Corscadden
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:30 PM

    Aw Gaz, give us a score. i promise I’ll buy leopardprint second skin speedos. And disco biscuits lol

    16
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    Mute werejammin
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:58 AM

    “Enda, mein lickspittle, DAS IST VERBOTEN!!”

    33
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    Mute Begrudgy
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:47 AM

    It wasn’t that mad Irish priest was it.

    33
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    Mute Goebong
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:44 AM

    I really hope it turns out to be enda kenny:)

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    Mute Little Jim
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:32 AM

    Oh yes I did!!

    29
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    Mute Weller
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:08 PM

    Probably because she had taken the shirt off of his back. :)

    26
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    Mute James Troy
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:45 AM

    Headline had me thinking we had flying high bunga bunga party.

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    Mute Howard Cooley
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:49 AM

    It was Mr Merkel.

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    Mute Liam
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:53 AM

    It would have been great if he got the plane going.

    17
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    Mute Hairy lemon
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:43 AM

    There’s been serval high profile embarrassing news stories for Merkel over the last 2 weeks. Interesting given there is a major election coming up in September.

    I don’t know the lady and don’t think she has been a great leader, certainly in European terms…. but ya gotta wonder why this is all happening now….

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    Mute eric grixy
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:09 PM

    “Butch Merkel and the Wingdance Kid !”

    15
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    Mute The whistler
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:55 AM

    We all partied

    14
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    Mute Rehabmeerkat
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:09 PM

    He must have been out of his vulkan mind….

    12
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    Mute Mary Kavanagh
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    Aug 21st 2013, 1:01 PM

    Must have been Silvio thinking it was bunga bunga party night.

    8
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    Mute Paula Kelly
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:02 PM

    What are maijuana pills?

    8
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    Mute eric grixy
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:36 PM

    They’re like magic beans ; If the cops catch you with them you can’t emigrate !

    7
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    Mute Stephen Barry
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    Aug 21st 2013, 12:06 PM

    German version of our dancing priest fella

    8
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    Mute Doey Walsh
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:56 AM

    Guess you could say
    It’s all “up in the air” at this stage

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    Mute Paul Radburn
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    Aug 21st 2013, 1:06 PM

    Seriously, who the fu*k is Angela Merkel?

    6
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    Mute Sharon Coyle
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:34 AM

    Anything for a few bob these days

    3
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    Mute davidkenny1212
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:46 AM

    Tear the underwear of Angela with me teeth so I would.

    37
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    Mute Howard Cooley
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    Aug 21st 2013, 11:51 AM

    You might get a surprise with what you might find if you did.

    39
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    Mute John O'Neill
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    Aug 21st 2013, 1:47 PM

    One of the Bushes perhaps….

    10
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    Mute eric grixy
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    Aug 21st 2013, 6:50 PM

    According to the bible John the only good bush is a burning bush ; Satan and his son dubya read the passage and thought “Middle East !”

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    Mute Joe Sixtwo
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    Aug 21st 2013, 6:55 PM

    Shit I hope it wasn’t Enda !

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    Mute eric grixy
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    Aug 21st 2013, 6:48 PM

    Angela’s wingman is going around in underpants ; t’would remind you of Top Gun .

    2
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    Mute John Ward
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    Aug 21st 2013, 3:34 PM

    More underpants parties!

    1
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