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AN ITALIAN BREWER based in the centre of Lombardy, which was the first area in Italy to go into a ‘Red Zone’ lockdown, has advised Irish people that coronavirus isn’t just ‘the flu for the elderly’ – adding that people in their 40s are being hospitalised.
It comes as countries prepare for the influx of hospitalisations from the virus, which had been dismissed by some members of the public as ‘like the flu’ due to similar symptoms. Doctors are now comparing it to severe pneumonia.
Pietro Di Pilato runs the Brewfist brewery and taproom, based in a small town in Lombardy called Codogno, where 15,000 people live.
On Friday 21 February, they got word that a man in the town had been infected by the virus, but they didn’t worry too much about it, as it was just one case.
This was the case of ‘patient one’, also known as Mattia – a 38-year-old Unilever worker who was recently released from the intensive care unit after contracting the virus.
This is considered the source of both the Codogno outbreak and another in the Veneto region – but ‘patient zero’, who passed it onto him, has yet to be found. Patient Zero was originally thought to be a man who had travelled back from China – but he tested negative for the virus.
Close contacts of the 38-year-old also contracted the virus, including his pregnant wife, a friend, regulars at a bar in Codogno, as well as doctors, nurses and other hospital patients. He was also a customer of the Brewfist taproom.
‘Ambulances every 20 minutes’
By 2pm on that Friday of the confirmed case, the Brewfist taproom was closed, and by the end of the day all pub, bars, and restaurants were closed.
“We’ve been quarantined for a month now,” Di Pilato says. Police and the army came to close the roads, and authorisation and permission were needed to leave the area.
“Things got more and more serious – but to get to this point, I mean no no one was really, really expecting it. Things climbed within a few days – the nightmare with ambulances everywhere, people dying. So things changed really quickly.”
In the first two weeks it was really dramatic. I live in the very centre of the town and you could hear ambulances one every 20 minutes.
Then, when we were close to the end of the second week, you could see that the things were improving because the sound of the ambulances were less and less frequent and the numbers were doing really well.
He said that they’re now starting to close parks in Italy, as many activities are banned, but people are still gathering outdoors.
“The main problem with Italy is we’re not really good at following rules. Nowadays, you have to stay home, unless you have a very good reason or you have to go shopping for food.”
“People have to understand it, they have to stay in. I know it’s hard – I’m looking outside of the brewery, it’s 20 degrees in Italy, it’s a beautiful sunny day. It’s hard.
“But, if we want to go back to our life as soon as possible, this is the only way.”
When asked what advice he has for people, Di Pilato says:
“I would say, obviously, I have a lot of friends abroad, I have a lot of friends in the UK. The UK is a country that scares me because of the way the approach it, but now people are starting to realise that is not a joke virus. But I would say that the main lie that we have seen in newspapers all around the world, is that the virus can be dangerous only for the elderly, and that is not true.
There’s been a lot of people my age, I’m 40s, a lot of people my age hospitalised and under ventilation because they couldn’t breathe on their own. Obviously, if you are 80 years old, you’re probably more at risk, but if you are 40, you are not safe.
“So, you shouldn’t be underestimating it. And we all have to be very smart and take care of ourselves and try to avoid too much contact.”
Keeping the business afloat
At the start, they weren’t allowed to make deliveries, so they just focused on paperwork.
But by the time they entered their second week of quarantine, they had gained authorisation to leave and make deliveries.
He said that at this point, it was just Lombardy in lockdown, so there was a lot of empathy for businesses in the region as the rest of the country was still running.
“So we got a lot of orders from customers,” he said.
Now, he could bring employees into work, but all Italian pubs, clubs and bars were closed. Orders from France and the UK never left the area because they were cancelled as the coronavirus situation escalated there, too.
They’re carrying out some deliveries, but not to people’s homes.
“Most of the companies are working, so we have a lot of people inside. That’s not the ideal situation, but again, the feeling we have here that the main goal at the end is not to avoid everybody getting infected – it’s just to slow down the infection.”
Bob Coggins, a friend of Di Pilato who runs craft brewery White Hag, has been working on growing the company’s international market, which involves a St Patrick’s Day tour across Europe.
They export a lot of beers to northern Italy, and ahead of St Patrick’s Day, they cancelled around 30% of their orders. This trend then followed in other countries.
“It just so happens that nearly every place we sent beer has either shut down in advance of St Patrick’s Day, or they’re just struggling to remain open.”
As distributors for small to medium businesses are usually small businesses themselves, so the brewery won’t get paid until the beer is sold, which might not be for several months.
“We’re pretty concerned,” Coggins says. “We’re still trying to sell through the stuff we have at the moment. It really was like 10 days ago, over the weekend I realised what we were going to face into.
At the moment, they’re focussing on home deliveries and online sales.
“That’s been brilliant but it’s small, because if you think of the volume of beer we would sell – maybe 200 kegs a week around Ireland – we’re able to get a quarter of that sent out to people.
“It’s also a danger to the culture and vocation of brewing because we haven’t had a brewing culture here for 150 years in Ireland. The big breweries bought up snapped off consolidated and closed small breweries, so there’s a danger here that people will opt away from brewing and distilling because of kind of fall away in those businesses actually existing.”
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Hospital numbers stable even with the huge increase in cases. Thank you vaccines!!!
@Anto Curran: hopefully it will be the same in 2 weeks
@Anto Curran: the day u test positive its the 14 days afterwards that’s telling. Too early to see increase in hospital numbers.
@Anto Curran: vaccines so good why are they so many over 65 in hospital who were fully vaccinated.
@John brett: waining immunity after 6 months
@Anto Curran: the hospital numbers are, understandably, usually a week to 10 days behind the diagnosis of cases
@John brett: because there are still a lot of people who are too selfish couldn’t be bothered to look out for others.
@RJ: while that is true, the case numbers have been rising for a lot longer than 2 weeks
@John brett: 92% approx effective at stopping serious illness. That leaves 8% of what serious illness there would have been. All things considered hospitalisations could be far higher. Probably will rise a good bit over the next month.
@Munster1: hence the booster shots
@Munster1: waining immunity after 6 months, some vaccine that is hahaha, I got vaccinated for a few different things as a baby 34years later I’m still immune no boosters in that time either would you believe
@Anto Curran: Most cases are admitted to hospital on day 8 or 9 of the illness. They might rise soon.
@Alan Leamy: Oh dear. What a comment.
@John brett: Because vaccines are never 100% successful and some people have underlying health issues which makes them more susceptible to the virus
@Alan Leamy: different viruses and disease have different responses to vaccines. I had to get get a TB booster as do a lot of people. So even the old ones were not 100% effective.
@John brett: Is that really a question or just trolling? Might have something to do with old age as well as other illnesses they may have. Human body doesn’t work as well as it used to as you get older. Surprised to have to explain that to an adult….. News flash as well, people also die from the flu despite being vaccinated. Even a common cold can kill.
@Alan Leamy: might want to have a quick google there of childhood vaccines, there is definitely boosters.
@RJ: currently 35 are hospitalised out of every 1,000 cases
@Michelle Rock:I googled it there michelle, would you believe Google didn’t know whether I got a booster in the last 34 years, I know do and I didn’t
@Alan Leamy: You did. Ask your mammy.
@Tommy Roche: good man Tommy, mammy says no
@Alan Leamy: Anyway who cares, the sickest thing about this virus is how it’s turned people against each other, fair play to all the people that have taken the jab and fair play to those who havnt, we all decided what was right for ourselves, its when the time comes that we don’t have a choice anymore I worry about
@John brett: dream on….
Shudder to think where the country would be right now without the vaccines
@Seàn Mc: absolutely Sean
@Seàn Mc: In lockdown
@Lets be real: There’d be Martial law by now.
@Seàn Mc: It’s hardly all roses though, is it?! Europe is highly vaxxed and yet cases are dangerously surging across the continent, regardless of vaccination status. The WHO is saying we’re the epicentre of the pandemic and they expect a spike in hospitalisations and deaths shortly which threaten EU counties going back into public health-destroying lockdown (5-10 times worse for public health https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2021.625778/full). Compare this to major regions of a developing country that we’re not allowed to talk about where Covid cases and deaths have flatlined since July. They only achieved 10% vaccination by September. Whether it’s because they treat their sick or because they rapidly build innate immunity, they have gotten rid of it without vaccines and with enviable deaths per million in the process.
When are we going to start treating the sick on positive diagnosis with all the existing therapies, supported by dozens and dozens of studies, that are known to significantly reduce hospitalisations?
@Conor Brady: Conor that is wrong, I wont even try and argue figures with you as your stats all suit your argument.
Vaccines work, herd immunity does not.
@Conor Brady: getting very Donald trump “if we don’t test there would be no cases” vibes off of your post
@Gary Kearney: feel free to explain this graph using your own stats and figures Gary. It’s innate immunity and/or treatment (check out how quick those cases fell away, none of our waves look like that), and again they weren’t 10% vaccinated until 3mths after flatlining. 241mil people, safe now. https://www.google.com/search?q=uttar+pradesh+covid+cases
@Conor Brady: oh it’s the Conor Brady “delete this thread show!’ (needs a snappier title)…do you only lie? Every comments thread you are on gets deleted. India is suddenly a paragon of virtue whose data is impeccable. Their caste system treats some people as barely human. Do you honestly think they care and record what happens to those in the lower castes…
…of course you don’t…
@Conor Brady: Yes, Uttar Pradesh reached herd immunity, 90% or above were infected by July 2021, due to an uncontained outbreak.
We’re vaccinating instead, because letting COVID-19 rip though our unvaccinated population last year would have resulted in 13,000 to 20,700 deaths (IFR of 0.56% to 0.84% and 50% infected, pre-Delta Infection Fatality Rate). Is that possible? Yes, if we had an uncontained outbreak we could have ended up like Peru, Bulgaria or Brazil etc.
Peru – equivalent to 29,800 deaths here.
Bosnia and Herzegovina – equivalent to 18,000 deaths here.
Bulgaria – equivalent to 18,000 deaths here.
Hungary – equivalent to 16,200 deaths here.
Czech Republic – equivalent to 14,410 deaths here.
Brazil – equivalent to 14,200 deaths here
Romania – equivalent to 13,135 death here
Also, looking at the SCOPI antibody survey, that found that 1.7% of the population aged 12 – 69 caught the virus after the first wave (1000 deaths).
Our ICUs would not cope if we let loos. Also, immunity after infection wanes, 27% of cases in Delhi were reinfections, due to waning immunity and new variants.
“Seropositivity of an employee and family cohort increased from 42% to 87.5% between March and July 2021, with 27% reinfections, as judged by increased antibody concentration after a previous decline.”
Refs.:
Dhar, M.S., Marwal, R., et al. 2021. Genomic characterization and epidemiology of an emerging SARS-CoV-2 variant in Delhi, India. Science, eabj9932, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abj9932.
SCOPI: COVID-19 antibody research study results
IFR estimates used:
ENE-COVID Spanish serosurvey
Verity et al.: Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis (table 1)
Definitely finding the people on the 2 extremes of this argument the hardest to deal with now. I don’t know which are worse at this stage, the anti maskers or the self appointed Covid police. Can’t people just do what they can and keep to themselves? We’re all finding it hard. Don’t be d!cks.
@Vonvonic: comment of the day
@Vonvonic: well said, all the histrionics from both sides trying to shout the loudest, only time will reveal the truth.
@Vonvonic: you would be wondering what occupied their lives before Covid.
@Vonvonic: agreed. The cases are increasing which is a concern but the vaccines are working
@Elaine Phelan: Absolutely, but I think the point made by DJBERMO is spot on. Anything can happen going forward. People need to be a bit more philosophical and flexible. But right now; we can be optimistic. Being optimistic hurts no-one.
@Tom kenny: Mayo for Sam…..
@Padraic McDonagh: down with that sort of thing
@Padraic McDonagh: That is optimistic.
How is this still making headlines, its here now to stay like the flu so forget about it and get on with it, why the constant hysteria about it, it’s old news, are we going to be reporting daily cases in 12 months time, think hard people, figure this out
@Hugo Bugo: Flu,,, did you not see the article about no flu being reported,,, it just disappeared,, and before anyone goes to comment about mask wearing and washing hands,,,, don’t bother….
@Hugo Bugo: You probably won’t find this interesting, but I think almost everyone else will:
https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20211025/covid-pandemic-may-have-driven-a-flu-strain-into-extinction
@David Jordan: It is interesting, but the usual cycle of this lesser strain of flu, virtually dissappearing for years, only to later re-emerge, could also be in play, in addition to the lockdown induced lack of infection opportunities, causing a similar outcome.
@David Jordan: so by that logic all we need to rid the world of coronavirus is another new virus to eliminate it
@Finn Bar Regany: I heard the flu and covid had a big showdown, one on one, there were no fans in attendance, just a few very rich billionaire’s witnessed it and covid knocked out the flu in 30 seconds with a left hook and ordered the flu to never come back here again, to be honest this story is just as believable as some of the other rubbish the public are swallowing
@Hugo Bugo: when it is like the flu then fair enough – but it is killing over 25 times more people than the flu does in a full year.
it is also having serious health implication for some individuals and putting health workers at risk – and if we have to report cases in 12 months time to remind people to stay at home if they have symptoms and to wear face masks in certain circumstances then it might sink into some people heads.
If 8 people a day were dying on the roads do you not think that would also be news worthy?
@Hugo Bugo: It is not like the flu apart from the fact it is a virus. Completely different type and completely different way to deal with it.
The one good thing is the massive fu outbreaks have not happened due to covid as people stayed apart and wore masks.
@Conor Brady: The over sanitation of hands, particular in young healthy children caused me concern from the beginning.
The myriad of bacteria young people are exposed to daily all feed in to a strong healthy immune system.
I wouldn’t have thought that relative short period of cleanliness though would have such a quick effect. However that article makes interesting reading.
Need to get them back to the nose picking and ass scratching.
@Conor Brady: That was always around. There’s a surge at the moment because young kids that would have ordinarily picked it up last year, didn’t due to lockdowns. As a result there’s double the amount of kids with it this year. The doctor explained it to me as the cold virus getting into the lungs. Our 10 month old has it at the moment, is very sick, and can’t shift it. It may not be well known by the name RSV but it’s always been around.
@Hugo Bugo: That is essentially it. You won’t hear it at a NPHET press conference but smarter scientists have studied it. Once you get a new dominant virus on the scene and it quells the others into neay extinction. It was entirely predicted based on years of epidemiological research. Check out Hope Simpson if you’d like to read up. Of course, it could re-emerge but for now Covid is the new kid in town.
@Gary Kearney: Yet according to you yesterday the rise in covid cases was down to nobody obeying the rules. You said mask wearing had decreased no one was social distancing and people were doing what they pleased. So which is it you can’t have it both ways. So what is your “argument ” now for no massive flu outbreaks??
@Hugo Bugo: totally agree
@Hugo Bugo: 10 times the deaths of the worst modern flu year, and nearly the same proportion of all deaths as in the 1918 flu year. 30 times the average road deaths, and almost half as many Covid deaths as deaths from ALL cancers, our number 1 cause of death. And that’s WITH restrictions, and latterly vaccines.
“So forget about it”.
RTÉ saying 76 in ICU, down 14 from yesterday?
@FrustratedASDMum: how many of the 14 died?
@Dan Jacobson: None how many times do you want it explained to you.
@Franny Ando: there appears to be a lot of people (on here) that have never had a loved one in ICU.
@Franny Ando: really sad comment from you.
If you take yesterdays figures and add the admissions and subtract the discharges then the difference between these and today’s figures in usually the number of people who have sadly died in ICU with covid.
Yesterday there were 90 in ICU and today the government (and covid app) report 76.
90 + 2 admissions = 92
92 – 11 discharges = 81
Did it ever occur to you that the difference between 81 and 76 could be as a result of 5 deaths in ICU assuming these figures are correct.
Now how many times does this need to be explained to people like you or are you just too lazy to think or care ?
@Niall Ó Cofaigh: It does not suit his argument.
@Dan Jacobson: unfortunately 3 out of every 10 patients admitted to ICU because of Covid die
@FrustratedASDMum: yeah the media narrative which of we remember from weeks and weeks ago was when we reopen cases wi rise but the icu numbers should be manageable and this is what living with covid will look like – the hospital numbers this past week have actually fallen below 500 and the icu numbers have also fallen to 76 – and so the headlines everywhere today are Dr Tony Holahan is concerned and the Taoiseach is warning the pubs and blah blah blah – it’s kinda pathetic imo – they can’t keep pointing to cases if the health systems icu is able to manage – which it is when it’s 76 icu ffs
@Niall Ó Cofaigh: No. The reason being during a NPHET briefing last year a journalist from either Virgin or Newstalk( can’t remember which one)asked that question. It was put to Tony Holohan regarding the discharge numbers, if they had recovered or passed away. It was explained that discharged from hospital meant discharged. Discharged from ICU meant moved into general hospital wards. Deaths were reported separately. It was also explained on here by others several times. As for your mathematical equations maybe the best way to get an accurate and factual explanation is to contact HSE.
I wonder why it’s so high.. whatever could be the reason?!?
@Sequoia: The clocks changing……
@Sequoia: A backlog of cases as stated earlier.
@Franny Ando: and the clocks changing as also stated earlier.
@Sequoia: Primary school children are bringing home COVID-19 and they are infecting parents at home. End of October (last epidemiological update I saw) there was a clear double peak at ages 5 – 12 and 35 – 44, children and their parents.
While vaccines approx. halves the time a person is infectious, so outbreaks in bars and restaurants etc. are reduced, they do not reduce infections by as much in home settings, where people spend 24/7 with each other. They are bound to be infectious at some point when someone is at home.
I think the government dropped the ball on this, should have kept up school testing of asymptomatic cases (that said, several countries drop this too). They might change their mind.
@Sequoia: it’s a virus
@Sequoia: it’s a virus
@Sequoia: it’s a virus
@Sequoia: it’s a virus
@David Jordan: why do you think this…schools are safe we were told..transmission is outside school…would it not be untested vaccinated parents without symptoms spreading it to their children instead since they are out and about in pubs or at work with other infected people
@Gavin Conran: Exactly that extra hour kept those nasty revellers out longer. I wonder was Tony out driving round to keep.them in check.
Expected seasonal surge. By the way, no fan of Labour, but McNamara has been a rare voice of reason on this throughout https://youtu.be/uIXorrI_-ZA
@Toon Army: Seasonal surge it is not a seasonal virus. It is surging all over the world.
@Gary Kearney: Weird how all 3 surges in Ireland were in winter
@Gary Kearney: It has all the hallmarks of a seasonal virus. Big peak last December/January also due to seasonality while this summer and last summer it dipped. Of course, too early to say for certain given how new it is but early trends point to it being the case as well as looking at how other coronavirus react. Even mainstream virologists like Paul Moynagh have stated as much.
At least COVID is helping to reduce the greenhouse effect. Now it only needs to kills few billion of us and it will receive the medal of merit for saving the planet.
@Patricia MC Namara: thats the job of the vaccines
@Patricia MC Namara: crass.
@Merlin Lancelot: not so sir Lancelot. Because of vaccines plus science we have an overpopulated world. Vaccines save more than they kill by a long shot.
@Eoin Hennigan: crass but true. Human greed is destroying the world. Nature is seldom allowed to intervene in controlling our numbers. The virus only wants to survive. COVID thinks only of its own survival just like humans.
@Patricia MC Namara: you are absolutely right. The normal vaccines are a God send to humanity that was developed by Europeans (together with antibiotics etc…) This mRNA vaccine is a different kettle of a fish.
@Merlin Lancelot: She is under the impression that a virus can think. She is far from absolutely right.
@Tommy Roche: there are many ways ‘to think’. Define to think, then we might be able to communicate.
How many of these cases are vaccinated??
The high numbers are due to a back log over the last week or so. So not true figures. Nothing to worry about. Yet.
@martin breen: figures are true, the total is the same
Awhhhh, so close to providing Leo right… Here’s to tomorrow
76 in ICU not 90.
@Franny Ando: agreed typo by the journal – maybe they will update
90 + 2 admissions = 92
92 – 11 discharges = 81
81 – 76 = 5 sadly RIP if the numbers are correct?
@Niall Ó Cofaigh: Like I said if you want answers contact HSE. If your numbers are of how you understand them make sure they are accurate and factual.
Uh oh
the hse are giving out free antigen tests to everyone bit the unvaccinated, you couldnt make this nonsense up! https://www2.hse.ie/conditions/covid19/testing/antigen-testing/
@Mags Murphy: we lost our right to be unvaccinated!
@Mags Murphy: No. It makes perfect sense.
@Vonvonic: how does it make sense?
@Mags Murphy: Because the antigen tests aren’t all that accurate. And people who are unvaccinated are already taking a huge gamble.
@Vonvonic: I still.dont get your point, the antigen tests have the same level of effectiveness if u are vaccinated or not?
@Mags Murphy: Yes. But if the test gives you a false negative and you are unvaccinated, the risks you will take as a result would inevitably have far greater consequences, for yourself mostly. ICU figures prove that.
@Vonvonic: Sorry. That should read potentially instead of inevitably.
@Mags Murphy: I think the biggest problem we have with this virus by far, is the inability to see this whole thing as a numbers game… which it absolutely is.
@Vonvonic: giving an unvaccinated person the option to do an antigen test means there is a much greater chance that they will know it is covid and not a cold and thus to take the necessary steps, I really dont understand why not giving antigen tests to unvaxxed people is a good idea……
@Mags Murphy: Fortunately, this isn’t about what you do or don’t understand… It’s about numbers.
@Vonvonic: if I had symptoms, took a antigen test and was positive, I’d isolate. The way govt are treating the 8% that have declined the vaccine makes us more likely to not play ball at all…….if it was about stopping the spread of covid antigen tests would be plentiful and freely available to all as another tool…….
All of Europe is having the same problem. So it is the reopening and people not following the remaining few rules.
Even Denmark has had this problem Israel had it when they opened up and rushed out the booster shot.
Strangely we are staying in the same spot on the daily new cases graph and today we have moved down a spot or two.
Germany is thing of going back into lockdown and the Dutch already have Personally I just want to get a booster shot and be able to move around freely again. Being very high risk is a pain. Especially when people only consider themselves and do as they please. It means a lot of people are unable to do very much.
@Gary Kearney: “People only consider themselves and do as they please.” What do you think people who aren’t high risk have been doing for the last two years; but completely altering their lives to protect those that are? Come down off it a small bit.
@Gary Kearney: you are the most negative man I’ve ever encountered online. Time to move on stop the worrying
yo thats wacky but im eating pizza rn and this shiz be so fucjing good you lads want some?
@David Jordan: too tired to read all that!! do you have sore fingers
@Mike Daly: It was deleted, but I keep a back-up.
@David Jordan: Deleted again.
@David Jordan: why???. It was a good post. I have had my posts deleted also. They were not offensive. I am considering quitting the journal if that carries on…
have your say