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WE TOOK YOU THROUGH until after midnight on day two of the general election count.
Even after the mammoth number of hours counting, there are still 10 seats out of 158 to be settled. Here’s a brief recap of the state of play come Sunday night.
Just four seats separates Fine Gael (47) and Fianna Fáil (43)
Renua has failed to win a seat while the Green Party fulfilled Eamon’s Ryan dream of a comeback with two deputies – including himself – returning to Dáil Eireann.
Fine Gael and Labour have lost some big names, including Cabinet members.
No one knows who will form the next government – and how it can be done.
There have been five recounts/rechecks ordered: Dublin South Central, Dublin South West, Dublin Bay North, Longford-Westmeath and Wexford.
First up is Donegal, where Fianna Fáil royalty Pat ‘the Cope’ Gallagher has been elected on count 11.
Independent Tim Jackson has been eliminated which could spell trouble for Sinn Féin’s Padraig Mac Lochlainn depending on where Jackson’s transfers go.
If they go to Thomas Pringle Sinn Féin may end up with just the one seat (Pearse Doherty) in a constituency that should be a stronghold for them.
It’s getting tense up north.
28 Feb 2016
6:59PM
This is a very interesting statistic pointed out by our Dan Mac Guill:
Of the five TDs who left Fine Gael over the 2013 Protection of Life During Pregnancy Bill, none will be in the next Dáil. Peter Mathews, Billy Timmins, Terence Flanagan and Lucinda Creighton have all lost their seats, and Brian Walsh retired. Conversely, the two deputies who left Fine Gael over local issues – Denis Naughten and Noel Grealish – were both easily elected as Independents.
Ok so, there are 23 seats left to be decided, here’s where they all are:
Cavan Monaghan: Two seats outstanding
Donegal: Three seats outstanding
Dublin Bay North: Four seats outstanding
Dublin South Central: One seat outstanding pending a recount (but not a full one)
Dublin South West: No seats outstanding, but there is a full recount on the way from 9am tomorrow
Kerry: Three seats outstanding
Longford-Westmeath: Three seats outstanding
Louth: Two seats outstanding
Sligo-Leitrim: Three seats outstanding
Wexford: Two seats outstanding pending a recount from 9am tomorrow morning
All centres bar Wexford, Dublin South West, and possibly Dublin South Central (we’re not fully sure what’s going on there) continue to count this evening.
Here’s how the seat-allocation is looking right now:
Fine Gael have slowly opened something of a lead over Fianna Fáil today – currently they’re four votes out in front – 42 plays 38.
If you add those votes up you get 80 – enough for an overall majority.
Life really would be a little easier if the two old foes could come up with a government together. But will they?
Sinn Féin have 20 seats. What happens in Donegal next with the final seat will be very interesting for them – losing Padraig Mac Lochlainn would be a blow.
Renua will now officially have no seats in the next Dáil.
And Labour need one more seat to secure the seven needed for speaking rights in the next Dáil.
The Tánaiste and Labour leader Joan Burton earlier spoke to RTÉ’s Six One News about where it all went wrong for her party.
“Well it’s been a very difficult election for the Labour Party,” she said.
We’ve lost a lot of very good people. The people have recognised that progress has been made but they don’t want Labour in government.
A government will have to be formed. Those parties that have got the votes are now going to have to step up to the plate and look to provide a stable and secure government.
Asked on her own future as leader Burton said she wouldn’t “be saying anything at this point in time until we see all the results”.
Until a new government is formed the existing government will stay on in a caretaker capacity, with the Taoiseach and me as Tánaiste.
I hope that happens in a reasonably speedy timeframe. We’ll know the final outcomes from the election by lunchtime tomorrow I think.
Now we turn to what parties the people have voted for. They need to be able to get a stable government out of this election.
I remain on as Tánaiste until a new government is formed, I won’t be making any decisions in relation to anything until we know the outcomes and until a new government is formed.
She said that “if nothing has been agreed by 10 March we may be asked by the president to carry the current government on in a caretaker capacity”.
What happens next with Labour will be a matter for the members of the Labour Party, we have a longstanding tradition of one member one vote in this party, we’ll see what they have to say.
The results of Dublin Bay North’s tenth count are in… and Sinn Féin’s Mícheál Mac Donncha is out.
But no-one new has been elected. This constituency just doesn’t want to be decided does it. Richard Bruton remains the sole candidate to be re-elected at this stage.
Things are insanely tight as you can see. It’s looking a little rosier for Aodháin Ó Riordáin though – can he become the magic seventh elected TD for Labour?
As regards the final two seats… well your guess is as good as ours, but it looks like being two from Finian McGrath (Ind), John Lyons (AAA-PBP), Tommy Broughan (Ind), and Averil Power (Ind).
To Cavan-Monaghan, where another two TDs have been elected. And they’re both Fianna Fáil.
Brendan Smith and Niamh Smyth have gotten in on the 10th count, joining Fine Gael Arts Minister Heather Humphreys and Sinn Féin’s Caoimhghín Ó Caoláin.
That’s all the seats filled now, with Fine Gael’s Joe O’Reilly eliminated.
28 Feb 2016
7:42PM
There are now just five constituencies actively counting – Donegal, Dublin Bay North, Kerry, Longford-Westmeath, and Sligo-Leitrim.
Dublin Bay North in particular is set for a dramatic evening you feel – it’s incredibly tight.
Our reporter Rónán Duffy is settling in for a long night in the RDS. Here’s the latest on that tight count from Dublin Bay North:
There are six candidates who all have a reasonable shot of taking one of the three seats.
Long-time Independent TD Finian McGrath was looking pretty glum around the RDS this evening, but it’s not over yet.
Junior Minister Aodhán Ó Riordáin is nowhere to be seen in Simmonscourt but he’s definitely in this fight. As are Sinn Féin who have have been trying to win a seat here for years.
Tommy Broughan and John Lyons will be battling for some left-wing transfers with Averil Power potentially swooping in on them all.
A second seat has finally been taken in Sligo-Leitrim – and it’s gone to Martin Kenny of Sinn Féin who inherited a truckload of transfers following the elimination of his running mate Chris MacManus.
Just the two left to be filled now – and it’s Fine Gael’ Tony McLoughlin and Gerry Reynolds and Fianna Fáil’s Eamon Scanlon in the ring. Who’s going to emerge on top?
Anything Dublin Bay North can do, Donegal can do too.
The drama has just been ramped up to crazy levels – Fianna Fáil’s Pat ‘The Cope’ Gallagher and Fine Gael’s Joe McHugh have just taken seats three and four at the 11th count.
And so the last seat is between Sinn Féin’s Padraig Mac Lochlainn and independent Thomas Pringle – and after Pringle inhaled eliminated Tim Jackson’s transfers there’s just 74 votes between them. Mamma Mia.
If Sinn Féin do lose out you would imagine they will be kicking themselves for running three candidates and splitting their vote to such an extent.
That recount has been requested by Fianna Fáil’s Connie Gerety-Quinn by the way.
This is how things stood after count 12.
Fianna Fáil’s Robert Troy remains the only candidate returned thus far in the four-seater.
It’s poised on a knife-edge, this one. And Willie Penrose for Labour may not be as done as he feared he was last night – should he inherit transfers from the likes of James Bannon (assuming he himself is eliminated), he could be in a very strong position to take the final seat.
Fine Gael minister Jimmy Deenihan has been eliminated on the 11th count, and Fine Gael’s Brendan Griffin, Sinn Féin’s Martin Ferris, and Fianna Fáil’s John Brassil are all elected to join the brothers Healy-Rae in Dáil Éireann.
It’s a bit of a result for Martin Ferris in particular – a recent poll had suggested that he wasn’t polling too well coming up to the election.
It’s a sad end though to 29 years as a TD for former Kerry footballer Deenihan.
It’s starting to look grim indeed for Sinn Féin in Donegal.
After distribution of Pat ‘The Cope’ Gallagher’s surplus there’s just 36 votes between Padraig Mac Lochlainn and Independent Thomas Pringle with the independent with his nose in front.
Now it comes down to the distribution of Fine Gael’s Joe McHugh’s surplus. That’s hardly going to go to Sinn Féin is it? It’s looking very grim up north now for Sinn Féin.
FG Joe McHugh 251 transfers to be distributed. Thomas Pringle 36 votes ahead of Padraig MacLochlainn #Donegal#GE16.
Michael McDowell and Katherine Zappone looking pensive at Citywest ahead of the full recount of Dublin South West in Citywest tomorrow morning at 10am.
It looks like Fine Gael is going to bring their full legal might to bear in an attempt to dislodge Zappone from the seat she won this morning.
With just 12 seats left to play for Fine Gael are on 46 seats and Fianna Fáil are on 42.
In a game of increasingly fine margins you’d have to imagine Sinn Féin will be gutted over what has just transpired in Donegal. They could certainly have had two TDs there, but now they’ll have to settle for one.
There’ll be 16 independents in the next Dáil (assuming nothing changes with recounts).
Labour remain on six seats, one away from the magic number of seven.
But they have at least two strong contenders still standing in Willie Penrose (Longford-Westmeath) and Aodhán Ó Riordáin (Dublin Bay North).
One of the greatest moments of this any or any other election – the election of Alan Kelly to the Dáil as TD for Tipperary from earlier this afternoon:
We’re not the only ones pulling all-nighters in the Journal Media offices. DailyEdg.ie has a classic double team of their own - Valerie and Amy - geared up for the most Irish Oscars of all time.
Stick with us through the early hours for all kinds of news from all sorts of votes.
Áine Lawlor has just told us on The Week in Politics that Fianna Fáil’s Thomas Byrne has already changed his Twitter handle to reflect his new positions.
With just one TD voted in for Longford-Westmeath, there has been a full recount ordered after a request by Fianna Fáil’s Connie Gerety-Quinn.
It looks like they’ll be back tomorrow before there’s any sign of a result.
Here’s the state of play as we stand. Kevin ‘Boxer’ is all but in, just less than 1,000 votes off the quota.
Labour members have one eye on Willie Penrose here and the other on Aodhán Ó Ríordán in Dublin Bay North. At least one of them has to secure a seat to ensure the party keeps those all-important speaking rights in the 32nd Dáil.
There was nothing between the Sinn Féin TD and his independent counterpart Thomas Pringle. The well-liked deputy was gracious in defeat, despite that fact.
2/2 Moments before result was announced, Padraig MacLochlainn approached Thomas Pringle and the men shook hands pic.twitter.com/rdxcsEyvmF
A weary Bríd Smith has just spoken to RTÉ about the ongoing dispute in Dublin South Central. The AAA-PBP candidate edged out Fianna Fáil’s Catherine Ardagh who subsequently asked for a recount.
Her team claimed there were votes incorrectly filed.
Tonight, Smith said a number of votes have been tagged for adjudication by both sides.
There will be no decision tonight and they’ll be heading home soon, she said, adding:
“Thanks be to God.”
They haven’t quite adjudicated yet, but there definitely won’t be a conclusion tonight – or even the early hours of the morning.
Averil Power says it’s been an excruciating count for everyone but feels that she had to ask for the recount given how close the numbers are – and how friendly other candidates’ transfers have been to her.
Not that it will tell us a huge amount as we’ve still no idea what our next government will look like.
It will be an anxious night for Labour and AAA-PBP, two parties hoping to sneak past the seven TD mark to ensure they have speaking rights in the Dáil.
Labour need one of Willie Penrose or Aodháin Ó Riordán to cross the finish line, while the newly-joined AAA-PBP need both Bríd Smith to be confirmed after a recount in Dublin South Central and John Lyons to come out on top in the so-called Group of Death in Dublin Bay North.
Longford-Westmeath to be exact. The recheck process is still underway there and we’re not sure if the returning officer is going to continue counting after its complete.
More than likely, she will decide to leave it at that and return in the morning.
But for the moment, they’re still continuing. ShannonsideFM is saying they’ll be rechecking votes for at least two hours.
The check was called after the 12th count on the request of Fianna Fáil’s Connie Gerety-Quinn.
We’re wrapping up here for now but will be back first thing in the morning as the counts continue to fill those 10 final seats.
Dublin South West will begin at 9am.
Wexford is back at 10am
Dublin Bay North will be returning at 11am for counting.
Dublin South Central will resume its count at the later time of 1pm.
We’re still unclear what is happening in Longford-Westmeath but will have an update at 6.30am.
… for now.
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Slight breeze in Dublin and it’s red alert. Actual storm 1 hour away from Galway and Mayo and last minute warning issued. You’d be forgiven to think that the west doesn’t matter.
@Kieran Campbell: Met Eireann have strict criteria that they follow when issuing any warnings for any location… Stop talking nonsense with your anti Dublin chip on your shoulder.
@Kieran Campbell: I totally agree with you and that lad David that replied to your comment is probably some city boy that doesn’t even know his next door neighbor never mind reading the weather forecast
Follow the Midlands Weather Channel on Facebook – Cathal predicted this days ago and was surprised no warnings were being given. He’s spot on with his forecasts.
With everyone giving out about previous warnings, it’s hardly surprising that it came to back to bite. In fairness, the cinema should of stopped the movie and let those inside know there cars were about to be flooded once the water started coming up.
@Ich bin brendan: spot on. Fellas on here bleating on about warnings and snow flakes. No wonder Met Eireann didn’t issue one cause if they did and it flopped they’d be listening to it. Keyboard warriors aplenty to knock something.
@John Hayes: Nonsense – they have a warning system for a reason – if they cannot manage to do their ONE JOB they need to taken to task – w e pay enougb taxes for public services in this country to expect people to do their jobs – i honestly don’t get all these apologists – ya can’t blame them , what should they have done , it;s not that complicated – issuing an orange warning at 8pm when a storm hit a 9pm – go back and watch the met eireann forecast on the 6 news of you want to see EXACTLY what they were saying – this apologist stuff is nonsense – Irish people are far too soft on their expectations of what level of public services they should expect for the very very high taxes we pay to fund public services – Met Eireann are not beyond criticism FFS
@Dave Hammond: glad you got that off your chest Dave … nothing like a good rant. You surely have heard of the saying – it’s as unpredictable as the weather- which is what weather is UNPREDICTABLE even with technology. A warning at 8pm for 9pm is better than no warning at all in my eyes. Happy Christmas fella.
Some comments here are hilarious as per, hence why I pop in to see the usual suspects here who’d argue with their own shadow.
If there was warnings we’d have the usual that its ott and “there’s no need for warnings” and if we had a late warning/no warning it’s “where was the warning?”
@Gavin Mckenna: its not complicated Gavin – they have a warning system – the whole point is that a lot of people think they cannot use it correctly – and they are guilty of issuing too many yellow warnings to the point where people pay no attention anymore – imagine they had a yellow warning on yesterday – they issued an orange warning at 8pm for a storm that hit at 9 …..how on earth can you not think they need to be criticized and taken to task when they are not able to do the ONE JOB they are being funded for.
a bit late calling the Orange Warning at 9 wouldn’t you say, when it had already made landfall at 8.20pm in Galway and was already ferocious and almost at RED warnijng level!!!!
Well, well that was some storm, no warnings, probably the worst storm in Cork since Ophelia. Met Eirean gave no warnings,this was coming, they only gave a status Orange for Cork when the storm was halfway through it looked worse than that.
A typical winter storm.Have to say life goes a lot easier when they are no warnings of storms.
Met Éireann needs a little room on this one, the weather warning was gave when it developed. The difference here is that the storm built late (Portugal only named it on Tuesday and it was not expected to be bad) , it came from an unusual source and took a big swing to the left allowing it to build. We don’t normally get big storms storms building in strength as they hit us. The ones we get warned about are massive things way out in the alantic that done look like they will reduce in strength as time and distance slows them down.
My question is were pre orange status indications and were they acted upon or observed on time.
@Conall: plenty of those in situ, the pre warning didn’t give people a chance to cancel plans for cinema etc. Some newish hybrids still on the prom waiting to be towed.
well i think they underestimated the strength in the North East, it was very severe Wednesday night, stuff blowing all over the place and very hazardous driving conditions
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