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Representatives of the delegation of the political office of the Taliban - left to right: Abdul Latif Mansur, Shahabuddeen Delaware and Mohammad Sohail Shahin during a press conference. July 09, 2021. SIPA USA/PA Images

Tom Clonan The Taliban's impending victory in Afghanistan is bad news for humanity

The security analyst says the Taliban brings its violent misogyny with it, meaning women and girls will suffer most.

LAST UPDATE | 13 Aug 2021

FOLLOWING THE 9/11 Twin Tower attacks in New York in September 2001, President George Bush committed the United States to what he termed a ‘Global War on Terror’.

Osama Bin Laden and other senior Al Qaeda figures had sought refuge in Afghanistan, then under a brutal Taliban regime. On 7 October 2001, the US invaded Afghanistan.

In a lightning campaign, a relatively small US ground force, consisting of fewer than 2,000 troops – with massive US air support – crushed Taliban resistance and took control of Kabul by mid-December.

Aided by tens of thousands of Afghan militia fighters, known as the ‘Northern Alliance’, the US and its allies took military control of Afghanistan.

Thus began the longest war in US military history and NATO’s first war in the 21st Century.

The long war

The US-led NATO alliance in Afghanistan – including troops from Ireland’s Defence Forces – never gained civil, political or popular control of all of Afghanistan.

After their initial defeat, the Taliban immediately re-grouped in neighbouring Pakistan and began an insurgency that has spanned two decades. This long war of attrition has cost the US government over one Trillion dollars in combat and reconstruction costs.

The insurgency also cost the NATO alliance over 3,500 troops killed in action. However, the Afghan people have suffered the most in this period with over 40 thousand civilians murdered in the conflict and over 60 thousand Afghan military and police killed in the fighting.

Almost exactly 20 years after the US invasion, President Biden has announced the total withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan before the anniversary of the September 11th attacks of 2001.

This is a hugely symbolic act and marks the end of a deeply unpopular war in America. Like the Soviets before them, the US is leaving Afghanistan with their political and strategic aims unfulfilled. And since, in a lightning campaign – eerily similar to the United States’ initial military successes in Afghanistan – the Taliban has turned the tables on the US and President Ashraf Ghani’s government forces in the Afghan Armed Forces.

In the last few months, a heavily armed and highly mobile force of approximately 85 thousand Taliban fighters have rapidly seized control of a large number of provincial capitals throughout the country.

A fragile capital

In tactics almost identical to Islamic State in Syria and Iraq, the Taliban have exploited the country’s main highways to rapidly encircle and approach the capital city of Kabul.

Ironically, much of this road network was re-built and re-surfaced with funding from the US government. The Taliban controls most of the territory of northern Afghanistan and fighters have seized the strategically important towns of Faizabad, Taliqan, Kunduz, Aybak and Sar-i-Pul.

They have also seized major towns in the provinces to the south and east of Kabul, controlling vast swathes of territory – effectively enveloping Kabul and cutting off its supply routes. This is stunning progress for the Taliban. They are poised to take Kabul and will likely seize control of the country within a very short time period.

The Afghan National Army (ANA) has effectively collapsed in most parts of the country and their arsenal of US weapons and equipment – including hundreds of M117 Armoured Fighting Vehicles and over 8000 Humvees – is being captured and used by Taliban fighters.

Many of the US airstrikes in recent days have targeted US-manufactured weapons and equipment seized by Taliban fighters. The Afghan Air Force is equipped with less than 10 Sikorsky UH60 ‘Blackhawk’ helicopters and just 20 or so Super Tucano light attack aircraft. This tiny air capability is insufficient to meet the dynamic and all-encompassing assault of the Taliban.

The Taliban are targeting multiple cities and towns in simultaneous attacks. In short, the country is in the process of being overwhelmed. The US Embassy in Kabul has advised all of its citizens to leave the country immediately.

Questions will be asked in the coming months about the capacity of the Taliban to launch their current ground operations. The Taliban are well organised, well equipped and well funded.

Their leadership, under Haibatullah Akhundzada, is based in Pakistan. Their leading council is often referred to as the ‘Quetta Shura’ – after the Pakistan border city of Quetta where they are based.

Pakistan’s intelligence services, the Inter Service Intelligence Agency (ISIA) has long been involved in providing assistance and support for the Taliban and other Islamist extremist groups. It is also believed that the Taliban have support from Russia and Iran.

As was the case in Iraq and Syria, Iran and Russia could benefit from this sudden reversal of US influence in Afghanistan. The imminent collapse of Afghanistan to the Taliban will come as a bitter pill for all of the US, British and Irish troops who have served in Afghanistan over the last 20 years.

A familiar cruelty

However, the principal victims of the resurgence of the Taliban are Afghan women and girls. At present, 87% of Afghan women are illiterate, with fewer than a third of women and girls attending school.

A staggering 90% of Afghan women experience domestic abuse and violence. Approximately 70% of Afghan women – many of whom are children – are subject to ‘forced marriage’, a euphemism for rape and imprisonment. 80% of Afghanistan’s suicide victims are women.

As was the case with Islamic State in their so-called Caliphate, women and girls are primary targets for Taliban violence. In areas controlled by the Taliban, women and girls are humiliated, beaten and subjected to systematic sexual assault, rape and murder. This is particularly so for Hazara women and girls. This Shia minority has long been oppressed by the Sunni Pashtun majority who predominantly form the Taliban.

The extreme and toxic ideology of the Taliban is violently misogynistic. The rape of women and girls is considered ‘Halal’ or religiously acceptable. Teenage girls are routinely raped and murdered by Taliban fighters. There are hundreds of reports of girls tried by Taliban Sharia courts and punished in the most appalling ways – beaten to death, stoned to death, having their ears and noses cut off – for the most trivial of ‘offences’ such as wearing nail varnish.

The Taliban also target members of the LGBTQI community for summary torture and murder. In some of the coverage of the recent Taliban offensive, I have heard many journalists and ‘experts’ refer to the systematic abduction, rape and killing of Afghan women and girls as ‘forced marriages’ to fighters or ‘sex slaves’ even ‘war booty’. During the Balkan conflict in Bosnia, where the targets of such violence were in the main, European, Caucasian women, girls and young boys – these bestial acts were correctly referred to as systematic mass rape and ethnic cleansing.

As this appalling chapter in Afghanistan’s tragic history comes to a conclusion, we owe it to the men, women and children of that country to at least use the correct language to describe their suffering.

We also need to call out the violent and misogynistic nature of Islamist extremism in all of its forms of expression – from the Taliban, to Al Qaeda, Islamic State, Boko Haram, al-Shebaab – and all such groups across Asia and Africa. The Taliban’s victory is a catastrophe for humanity – for women and girls in particular.

Dr Tom Clonan is a former Captain in the Irish armed forces. He is a security analyst and academic, lecturing in the School of Media in DIT. You can follow him on Twitter

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    Mute Alan Brogan
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:21 PM

    Great speech by An Taoiseach, in front of the world. Well written and well delivered. He has done Ireland proud.

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    Mute fastsloth617
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:27 PM

    @Alan Brogan: yes he has done a certain type of person proud. But not the many.

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    Mute Kate Flaherty
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:37 PM

    @Alan Brogan: but that’s exactly what it was a speech, nothing more nothing less, I’m sure President Trump is quite aware of the goings on on this little island of ours and how Enda is coming to the end of the road and not very popular at home at all, that’s how it seemed to me, a man of very little significance to him who jumped on the band wagon with the “racist” word, Trump doesn’t forget, he likes Ireland and has vested interests here and regardless of an invitation from Kenny or anyone else I’m sure we’ll be seeing him during his term…..

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    Mute Lucy Legacy
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:42 PM

    Well knock me down with a feather. Has Enda Kenny actually done something useful?

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    Mute Adrian
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:21 PM

    Enda Kenny is a national embarassment

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    Mute Sifletch
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:22 PM

    I thought it was a good speech…

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    Mute Honeybadger197
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:28 PM

    @Sifletch: It certainly was. Diplomatically it was a great speech. You dont go to the white house and condemn the man child in front of the worlds press. You remind him as kenny did that America has been seen for generations as a place of refuge. You remind him that millions have gone and made new lives there. You remind him of its awesome responsibility as a world power. For all those criticising Kenny, this is the best way to pressure Trump. Anyone expecting him to show up and start grandstanding about racism etc doesn’t understand much. He was right when he called Trump out here. He would have been wrong to start it in the white house. Kenny has left it late but he did us proud today.

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    Mute Ian Walsh
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:22 PM

    Enda the snake. Not my Taoiseach.

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    Mute Alan Brogan
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:29 PM

    @Ian Walsh: afraid he is. Whether you like it or not. That’s democracy

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    Mute john g mcgrath
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:21 PM

    @Ian Walsh: I met a man with two bowls of shamrock who was going to give them to the troops guarding the A T M s !!!!!!!!!

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    Mute Brinster
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:21 PM

    Fair play to Kenny. Did a very good job when a lot of naysayers said he wouldn’t.

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    Mute Kate Flaherty
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:12 PM

    Anyone else notice how even though he was addressing Trump in his speech he never actually looked at him?!?, almost as if he wasn’t even in the room, awkward at best, Trump’s body language says it all…..

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    Mute John003
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:28 PM

    @Kate Flaherty: Yes did not once even glance at Trump….I suppose Enda really misses Obama…All of Enda’ s media advisers would also really dislike Trump so Enda is scared of offending the Irish media by being too friendly…..Still it was a good speech some good lines in it…

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    Mute John Hartigan
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:12 PM

    Plonker

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    Mute Charles Alexander
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:14 PM

    With a little practice, it’s very easy to make a speech that’s been written for you.
    When Ends goes off script, we see him for what he is: a little man who is way out of his depth.

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    Mute Cormac Behan
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:48 PM

    What about the “wretched refuse” being held in our Direct Provision Centres? Where’s the compassion for them? Have they not been deprived of liberty, opportunity and safety in their own countries? The hypocrisy around this issue insults us all.

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    Mute Kate Flaherty
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:58 PM

    @Cormac Behan: red thumb…..

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    Mute Jho Harris
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:05 PM

    @Cormac Behan: It was nothing to do about people here in direct provision centres, it is Kenny showing his ignorance by addressing Illegal Irish migrants who are illegally in The US which in turn us open to be scammed by others who don’t respect the laws of countries they want to take advantage of them.

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    Mute Suzie Sunshine
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:18 PM

    Compassion for people who have lied through their teeth in order to stay here? They’ve been refused and have no right to be here .

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    Mute Charles Alexander
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:24 PM

    @Suzie Sunshine: great show of compassion!

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    Mute Charles Alexander
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:26 PM

    @Jho Harris: clearly the irony was lost on you!

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    Mute Suzie Sunshine
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:28 PM

    @Charles Alexander: I have no compassion for scammers, sorry .

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    Mute Charles Alexander
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:40 PM

    @Suzie Sunshine: in fairness, there were plenty of scammers in the country long before we ‘opened’ our doors to asylum seekers.

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    Mute Suzie Sunshine
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    Mar 17th 2017, 5:09 PM

    @Charles Alexander: correct but unfortunately we can’t deport our own ..

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    Mute Jho Harris
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    Mar 17th 2017, 8:02 PM

    @Charles Alexandesee Most of us know about the home grown scammers but why allow more in to rip us off. What the hell did you mean me not getting irony? Do you see something amusing in having a stupid Taoiseach, I certainly don’t find it endearing to see Kenny looking to make a case for illegal Irish in The US while we are by design stopped for getting rid of those who are illegal here, a cohort that are most made welcome here by The Immigrant Council here.

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    Mute Charles Alexander
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    Mar 17th 2017, 9:20 PM

    @Jho Harris: the irony is that he wants Trump to deal with the issue concerning the undocumented Irish yet he avoids the issue concerning the undocumented in his own country.
    Did that really need explaining?

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    Mute Kevin Conway
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    Mar 17th 2017, 8:17 PM

    While I’m not a huge fan of Enda, I think this was his finest hour. Delighted he had the balls to do this.

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    Mute Cheryl Mellett
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    Mar 17th 2017, 6:03 PM

    Whoever wrote Endas speech done a great job lol :-)

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    Mute Gerry Fitz
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    Mar 17th 2017, 3:56 PM

    The long good bye?

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    Mute Scarlett Milton
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:40 PM

    @Gerry Fitz: gonna miss him that’s for sure ,rescued the country, but like that other great man churchill not really appreciated at home

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    Mute Peter McGlynn
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:15 PM

    His and our own record on migration is pitiful. The hypocrisy of this speech is galling. Direct Provisioning and one of the lowest rates of refugee admissions in europe is preposterous given our own history.

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    Mute Scarlett Milton
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:44 PM

    @Peter McGlynn: i agree more muslims is what we need,now that the catholic church is finished here.we need a real dominant religion and islam seems a good fit for ireland

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    Mute Dave Murray
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:47 PM

    Yeah, Scarlet, cause they have been doing in every other country. Good trolling.

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    Mute Suzie Sunshine
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    Mar 17th 2017, 5:10 PM

    @Dave Murray: not really good trolling .. too obvious!

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    Mute Patricia Butler
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    Mar 17th 2017, 6:46 PM

    Excellent well written speech enda, hope you stay on for another 5 year

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    Mute The Crant
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    Mar 18th 2017, 9:08 AM

    @Patricia Butler: So you want the EU to continue with an unelected government of green communists? Is that it?

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    Mute Joseph Dempsey
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    Mar 17th 2017, 5:30 PM

    Poor Ends must be peeved at the lack of coverage his visit garnered internationally, indeed it would seem Brian Dobbs was the only person covering this absurd trip, poor Brian couldn’t even get a recognisable guest to interview in what must have been an expensive excursion to Washington.God all mighty when this nonsense going to end. Just watching Merkels visit and my word the international press are in a frenzy. Good riddens enda, good riddance to mediocrity.

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    Mute ClaireBlennerhassett
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    Mar 17th 2017, 5:19 PM

    Very nicely done! Enda Kenny for Taoiseach!! Oh wait…

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    Mute Dave Murray
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:45 PM

    An impassioned speech it was but will it actually have any affect at all with the Irish illegals? Will Trump even give a crap what Kenny said?

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    Mute Charles Alexander
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    Mar 17th 2017, 4:09 PM

    @Cormac Behan: Very well put!

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    Mute ben
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    Mar 17th 2017, 5:20 PM

    Ireland always speaks on a professional level…

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    Mute Brendan McGill
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    Mar 17th 2017, 5:51 PM

    Does he keep saying Predident..? Like with a d instead of an s?

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    Mute Scundered
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    Mar 18th 2017, 8:48 AM

    Has Enda seen the amount of poor wretches sleeping on our streets right now? Instead of moaning to Trump he should be back here fixing the mess our inept governments have made of the country.

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    Mute The Crant
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    Mar 18th 2017, 9:07 AM

    I thought he pressed the case for Irish illegals in a balances way. I did not see it as a lecture, but a plea and I think Trump understood.

    Where he did lecture in a disgusting way was on the glories of the EU. A decrepit politically entity which is undemocratic has no place in a lecture to an elected president of the free world.

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    Mute Christopher Nethercoat
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    Mar 18th 2017, 12:57 PM

    what “lecture”?

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