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Sam Boal

Opinion A hands-off, worry-about-it-later approach to containment is exactly what will help Covid-19 spread

Professor Sam McConkey says containing COVID-19 in Ireland will require the formation of a new ‘virus cabinet’.

SO, WE HAVE several confirmed cases of novel coronavirus, COVID-19, in the Republic of Ireland.

Several such cases in a country of 4.8 million might not seem like many — and some will no doubt view international media coverage of the outbreak as grossly disproportionate — but it’s important to remember that the virus is still a new arrival in Europe. How governments mobilise and respond now will determine its length and severity.

A hands-off, worry-about-it-later approach to containment is precisely how a disease spreads and takes hold. Once a certain critical mass of people is infected, a disease becomes uncontrollable, and treatment switches from preventative to curative. This places massive pressure on a country’s healthcare system and virtually every other part of its economy and society.

Ireland’s health service can confidently handle isolated cases of COVID-19; it will struggle if there is a sudden influx of thousands. Businesses will go bust if no one is able (or wants) to leave their home. The economy may even teeter into recession. At that point, a response will be far too little, far too late.

japan-china-outbreak The Diamond Princess cruise ship. (Kyodo News via AP)

The Chinese response

COVID-19 is spreading, and international efforts to contain it have been mostly haphazard. Attempts to quarantine the cruise ship Diamond Princess failed and may have actually helped to spread the infection.

Large-scale containment protocols in advanced countries like Japan, South Korea, and Italy have also proved ineffective. The only country that has managed to greatly reduce the rate of infection is the source of the outbreak, China.

In Wuhan, the epicentre of COVID-19, 1,800 teams of government and medical officials, each with five epidemiologists (who study and analyse the spread of disease), have worked with extreme thoroughness to trace those with potential exposure to the virus, isolate and quarantine them, then carry out diagnosis and treatment.

Since the outbreak, Wuhan, a city with a population more than double that of the island of Ireland, and the surrounding Hubei province, which numbers some 55 million people, have been placed under cordon sanitaire, which is essentially full medical lockdown.

Unnecessary social interactions and travel have been strongly discouraged or restricted entirely, and residents are only allowed to shop once every three days.

china-hubei-wuhan-makeshift-hospital-close-cn WUHAN, March 6, 2020 (Xinhua) -- Medical workers pose for a group photo outside a makeshift hospital at the China Optics Valley Convention & Exhibition Center in Wuhan, central China's Hubei Province, March 6, 2020. The makeshift hospital, which started receiving COVID-19 patients on Feb. 17, was closed on Friday. (Xinhua/Chen Yehua) Xinhua News Agency / PA Images Xinhua News Agency / PA Images / PA Images

All railways, air routes, and roads in Hubei have been closed, and there are strict restrictions on travel in and out of the province. In early February, the world watched in disbelief as the Chinese government erected an entire hospital dedicated to new COVID-19 cases in just 10 days.

Although China still has by far the greatest number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths, because of a concerted effort to contain further spread, the rate of new infections there is on the decline, from up to 4,000 a day to fewer than 200.

Ireland must act now

Of course, we must acknowledge that the Chinese approach to containment has been draconian, authoritarian and has been implemented forcefully by the ruling Communist Party. This is thankfully not the way things work in Ireland.

What is important, however, is action. We must act quickly and decisively, using all the powers of our liberal, parliamentary democracy, to build consensus-driven solutions in full public view—preferably with public input—within these next two critical weeks.

Our political leaders, no matter the current state of government, should now consider forming a temporary COVID-19 ‘cabinet’ of national unity composed of the leaders of our largest parties.

This cabinet would plan, lead, and implement our nation’s response to the outbreak in conjunction with at least ten all-Oireachtas sub-committees dedicated specifically to combating COVID-19.

In a short timeframe, these sub-committees, working with technical experts, would need to consider and debate some difficult questions, then deliver solutions that actually contain and halt the spread of the virus.

We may, for example, need to close schools, cancel mass gatherings of all kinds, restrict travel, and force all non-essential workers to stay at home. Entire neighbourhoods and towns could require quarantining, but what body will be responsible for carrying out and maintaining it?

Our hospitals, too, need surge capacity to deal with the hundreds, potentially thousands, of people with COVID-19, in terms of beds, infrastructure, and medical staff.

This will be an immensely difficult ask, considering the HSE’s current capacity issues, but a workable plan must nonetheless be put in place.

Close partnerships with local technology and pharma companies and universities could inspire novel solutions. Artificial intelligence, for example, could help trace individuals suspected of exposure to COVID-19 by reviewing massive amounts of phone GPS data and CCTV footage.

Factory production lines could be temporarily repurposed to ensure a continuous supply of protective masks, gowns, and goggles.

COVID-19 91 Advice at Dublin Airport, Sam Boal / RollingNews.ie Sam Boal / RollingNews.ie / RollingNews.ie

Time is of the essence

What might otherwise take democratic governments months or years to implement must now be accelerated into weeks. Simultaneously, these processes must be fully transparent and open to public viewing and commentary.

This will be extremely hard. However, without immediate purposeful action, our several cases of COVID-19 could easily become several thousand.

Professor Samuel McConkey is Head of the Department of International Health and Tropical Medicine at RCSI University of Medicine and Health Sciences.

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    Mute Diarmaid Twomey
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    Mar 7th 2020, 7:54 PM

    Fabulous, if not dystopian piece Simon. I have to say, the increasing grip private corporations have on everything from our newsfeeds, to our diets, to our medical data is truly frightening. What’s even more frightening though is people’s lack of interest; I give you Alexa, Google Home etc.

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    Mute Sean Fahey
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    Mar 8th 2020, 7:06 PM

    @Diarmaid Twomey: Corporations control governments when it’s supposed to be the other way around. Ireland was probably targeted for its light touch regulation.

    I mean in the U.S. the corporations literally author the vast majority of bills passed in Washington and the people voting on them have little clue about their contents and it takes a couple of business days to get the 10,000 page document into law.

    Welcome to late stage capitalism ladies and gentlemen.

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    Mute Honeybee
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:00 PM

    We should all be concerned at such a proposal, your DNA is unique to you , why should a private company acquire your genetic code and use it for profit or God knows what purpose in the future. Be careful if you are asked to sign any documents in this regard and if you are not comfortable with this, just say no.

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    Mute Fachtna Roe
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    Mar 7th 2020, 9:11 PM

    @Honeybee: Ní féidir sclábhaíocht ar Éire. But, yes, read and say Nó if you don’t comprehend..

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    Mute Mick McGuinness
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    Mar 7th 2020, 7:29 PM

    Let the government make it illegal, is it not already??

    87
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    Mute Eddie O'Neill
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    Mar 7th 2020, 7:42 PM

    @Mick McGuinness: “. . . The State has pumped approximately €73.5 million into GMI . . .”

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    Mute Fachtna Roe
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    Mar 7th 2020, 9:06 PM

    @Mick McGuinness: I’d like to know whether the Taoiseach, Tánaiste, any Minister, or any other office-holder has a beneficial interest. Why else would the State be pumping money into a secretive private concern?

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    Mute Chin Feeyin
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    Mar 7th 2020, 10:49 PM

    @Fachtna Roe: look it up. Not that difficult.

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    Mute Lydia McLoughlin
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:38 PM

    Whats the point of GDPR if things like this are happening???

    69
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    Mute Fachtna Roe
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    Mar 7th 2020, 9:27 PM

    @Lydia McLoughlin: GDPR is a smokescreen to prevent you finding out these things are happening. Data Protection is worthwhile, but GDPR seems to be used to tilt the scales in such way as to balance Freedom of Information.

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    Mute Dave Hammond
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    Mar 8th 2020, 9:08 AM

    @Fachtna Roe: this is a complex area of data protection , your ill informed comment about GDPR does not help as it is completely inaccurate and just plain wrong. GDPR is no smokescreen , it is a large global regulation that required a lot of work and is designed to deter organisations from misusing data collected with some very heavy financial penalties (eg 4% of global turnover is a lot of money just for abusing somebody email data ) – it is not a ‘smokescreen’ – as for the GMI issue in the piece – the author makes a very good case as to why we should not allow privatisation of our genetic data – I would go a step further and point out the risks that this genetic data can be used by private companies in the future ( especially insurance companies ) if they remain unregulated – to risk profile and refuse health cover and life cover or else more likely ‘charge more’ money for individuals they claim are riskier to cover due to their ‘genetic history’ – that level of data abuse really will need the governments to legislate and protect citizens from.

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    Mute Fachtna Roe
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    Mar 8th 2020, 10:13 AM

    @Dave Hammond: Waffle. Plus, GDPR is an EU regulation.

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    Mute Gerard Carthy
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:02 PM

    Neither the author nor his employer are medical professionals. This is a medical project and yet the legal profession feel emboldened to make judgements in the collection of anonymous data that may prove beneficial for future medical research.
    This is an ongoing issue, where the pursuit of narrow legal interests out ways the public good. This occurs regularly in medical negligence cases where impossible legal standards are imposed on imperfect medical practices and the outcome deemed negligent and therefore cash generating.
    Not all areas of life should be subject to the whims of lawyers, their legal arguments or the interests that employ them to do so.
    This incessant creep of legal interference in areas they are not qualified to make judgements in does a disservice to us all.
    Any possible leak of data, possibly trivial, from this study should not be considered important enough to interfere with initiatives which may have beneficial outcomes for public health.
    Not all data is created equal, and the current fetishisation of the protection of innocuous information is pointless and almost certainly negative for future research.

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    Mute Diarmaid Twomey
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:11 PM

    @Gerard Carthy: Well done for missing the entire point Gerard. In case you forgot the legal profession exist to protect citizens through the use of laws. Just cause you’re a medic doesn’t give you a licence to obtain and process people’s most private data because you say it will be of use for private ends.

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    Mute Nick Caffrey
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:21 PM

    @Diarmaid Twomey: Exactly right.

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    Mute Gerard Carthy
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:29 PM

    @Diarmaid Twomey: I feel so protected every time I have to answer stupid data protection questions to pay my own bills. Or try to interact with a bank. Or move electricity supplier. Or prove I’m the same person to my own bank. Or hear that the legal profession are going to make swings hazardous implements that need supervision at al times from now on in the pursuit of a narrow and depressingly idiotic argument.
    And you thin I’m missing the point and should be grateful to be treated like a child?

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    Mute Gerard Carthy
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:30 PM

    @Diarmaid Twomey: it’s the state that exists to protect citizens, not the legal profession per se.

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    Mute Diarmaid Twomey
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:54 PM

    @Gerard Carthy: Gerard if you feel private corporations being made tell you when and if they are processing your information is akin to you being treated like a child, fair enough. That’s your prerogative. However, don’t insinuate that a legal professional, or anyone else for that matter, who expresses concern about private corporations profiting from the processing of private medical data is being pedantic or some sort of pain in the *asre! Feel free to join MAGA rallies and eat chlorinated chicken, if the medical professional (who obviously are above us all) tell you to, but I’ll stick to wanting my data and rights protected and vindicated, thanks very much.

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    Mute Fachtna Roe
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    Mar 7th 2020, 9:19 PM

    @Gerard Carthy: You absolutely do not have a clue.

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    Mute Dave Hammond
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    Mar 8th 2020, 9:17 AM

    @Gerard Carthy: ‘the protection of innocuous information is pointless’ – hmm this is very valuable data ( not innocuous information ) – one example is the risk profiling that a private company will be able to use this data to ‘monetise’ such as health insurance – life assurance – corporations and big pharma will be able to target profiles that are more vulnerable based on genetic data – the author is correct to point out the slippery slope that ‘privatising’ this field is going down – I think you are quite incorrect and missing the point to lump this in as potential innocuous data – it is not about a possible leak or the consequences of such a leak that it the concern – it is that the unique genetic data of individuals can be monetized by private companies – that is the risk that the author correctly identifies as very real and very wrong. There is nothing innocuous about the motivations of large private companies wanting to access important private data.

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    Mute Gerard Carthy
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    Mar 8th 2020, 7:50 PM

    @Dave Hammond: The database in question has no personal identifiers, is accessible on a read only basis and the amount of information that can be accessed at a time is limited. It would be impossible for an insurance company for example to make any commercial use of it. Since we have a community rated private insurance and pre existing conditions are non exclusionary it’s not even an issue.
    It amazes me how often access to fairly useless insurance is a reason why data projects should be cancelled. Weird.

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    Mute Nicholas Grubb
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    Mar 9th 2020, 7:30 AM

    @Gerard Carthy: Excellent comment. I would add that in this whole zone of research, a tremendous new vista is opening. The most popular gift now given in some countries, is an ancestry DNA test, which shows those participating, really interesting information on where one came from back the millennia. What it could also show is the presence of problem recessives. A simple App will then allow prospective parents to do a pre check. This will inform them of the chance of their potential offspring exhibiting some life effecting syndrome, hemophilia, CF or the like. This information will allow them to go for I.V. and pre implantation selection, thus leaving the horror story behind. Who could say no to that, but meddling lawyers could greatly obstruct it.

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    Mute Fachtna Roe
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    Mar 9th 2020, 9:16 AM

    @Nicholas Grubb: That reads like an advert, or a paid comment.

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    Mute Karla Doran
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    Mar 7th 2020, 10:52 PM

    Informative article

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    Mute brendan fitzsimons
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    Mar 8th 2020, 12:22 AM

    Like any economic or military advantage, genetic engeering is unstoppable. Sadly.

    If we (the West) ban it others will get an advantage – and like how we destroyed aborigines in the Americas, Australia and Asia with more advanced technology – they will do unto us.

    Humanity didn’t decide to move from hunting to farming 10,000 years ago; it had no choice.

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    Mute Marianne
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    Mar 8th 2020, 7:20 AM

    Frightening

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    Mute This Guy
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    Mar 7th 2020, 9:29 PM

    Isn’t this the second time in a couple of weeks this article (or a slightly different version of it) has been posted on the Journal?

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    Mute Fachtna Roe
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    Mar 7th 2020, 9:49 PM

    @This Guy: Were you hoping it would be kept a secret?

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    Mute Alan Dignam
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:47 PM

    I have a problem understanding this whole thing. I can understand How a company can profit from this, by selling the information or an old man I.e. me. A sixty year old man, three major health issues identify unknown but how does it affect me with regard to data protection

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    Mute Markonline
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    Mar 7th 2020, 9:23 PM

    @Alan Dignam: A situation might arise where health insurance companies would be able to pick and choose who to insure based on risks associated with your genetic makeup. Not a good situation, essentially removing risk for them.

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    Mute Fachtna Roe
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    Mar 7th 2020, 9:47 PM

    @Alan Dignam: Your DNA is the most unique and valuable thing you received from your parents, and the most unique and valuable thing you give to your children.

    It is also the most complicated thing most of us know of, and printed would be a stack of paper 130m high.

    You get that complexity free, and pass it on free for the natural purpose.

    A corporation is legally a person, but non-living. Think “Corpse” and “Oration”. This is the type of entity that may end up ‘owning’ the code for living people.

    The effect on our planet of these dead-people-speaking is hardly positive. Why trust them with the codes for life?

    In that corporations are themselves non-living, but require us living people to survive and propagate, they are functionally the same as a virus.

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    Mute Aaron92utd
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    Mar 7th 2020, 7:46 PM

    They can sell mine their defective lol

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    Mute Gordon Comstock
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    Mar 7th 2020, 8:26 PM

    @Aaron92utd: evidently!

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    Mute Martha Smyth
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    Mar 8th 2020, 8:11 AM

    @Aaron92utd: so you can pay higher health insurance premiums, or maybe be deprived of obtaining life insurance for that mortgage you applied for? And you won’t know why unless you pay for the results….

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    Mute Davis Payne
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    Mar 8th 2020, 1:45 PM

    If think we should get a % every time our data is sold whether dna or online usage. We should have the right to have it deleted and to block further sales.
    It’s our data about us we should have complete control, but also if someone is profiting from the sale of our data we show also profit.

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    Mute Fachtna Roe
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    Mar 8th 2020, 6:51 PM

    @Davis Payne: Your DNA also contains information about your relatives, and theirs about you; that’s worth a lot more than the few cent you’d be lucky to get from a corporation.

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    Mute Gazza Lazza
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    Mar 10th 2020, 1:26 PM

    Data is the new oil……

    Very interesting series of documentaries about the oil industry.

    Part 3 is called “Data is the new oil”

    A fairly comprehensive explanation of how data has become a commodity.

    https://youtu.be/b7E9ZsrYnU0

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