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RENT LEVELS FOR new tenancies remained high at the end of 2021, with rents in Dublin still highest at €1,972 per month, according to a new report.
The Residential Tenancies Board (RTB) rent index measures rental price developments faced by those taking up new tenancies in the private rental sector.
New rents nationally increased by 9% in the last quarter of 2021 from €1,298 in the last quarter of 2020 to €1,415 for the same period last year.
Social Democrats housing spokesperson Cian O’Callaghan said that the increase now means that new tenancies in Dublin cost more than the annual income of minimum-wage workers.
The average annual amount [renters in Dublin] will spend on rent in Dublin is nearly €24,000.
For context, workers on the minimum wage – a paltry €10.50 per hour – earn just €21,840 in a year. How are workers on the minimum wage – and there are plenty of them – supposed to survive when average rental costs now exceed their annual gross pay?
In the final quarter of 2021, rents for new tenancies in Dublin were €1,972 per month, compared to €1,104 per month outside Dublin.
The highest average rent in new tenancies was in Dublin while the lowest monthly rents were in Leitrim, where the average rent in new tenancies stood at €740 per month.
On a quarterly basis rents in new tenancies fell in 14 counties over the quarter. Rents for new tenancies in Roscommon increased the most with a quarterly growth rate of 12.6%.
On an annualised basis, the lowest growth in the standardised average rent for new tenancies was in Kildare where rents remained unchanged on the previous period.
There was a 48% drop in the number of tenancies registered in the quarter, which the RTB said is likely driven by factors such as the constraints on supply of properties and current tenants choosing to stay longer in existing tenancies.
Dublin and the Greater Dublin Area accounted for over half of all new tenancy agreements registered in the quarter and 59.7% of new tenancies were for apartments.
The RTB said it wanted to remind landlords of legal requirement to register their tenancies every year as of 4 April 2022.
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RTB director Niall Byrne said this is a significant change for the residential rental sector and for landlords.
“One of the public benefits from annual registration will be to provide the RTB with current data on all rents which will enable us to publish more detailed reports on rents and rent levels, for both new and existing tenancies, beginning, we expect, in 2023,” he said.
The current Rent Index can only report on movements in rents for new tenancies registered with the RTB. With access to annual registration data, the RTB will be able to identify new rental stock that hasn’t been let previously, the type and size of landlord of this stock, the stock leaving the sector and the type and size of landlords associated with this, and, very importantly, rent levels in all existing residential rental stock.
“These forthcoming improvements will mean that the RTB will be in a stronger position to fulfil its statutory and regulatory functions in a more responsive, risk-based, and effective manner.”
He said it will also mean that the RTB will be better able to provide new insights and information to tenants, landlords and the wider public while helping inform the development of residential rental sector policy.
Reaction to the report
Threshold, the national housing charity believes that the average yearly rental increase of 9% in new tenancies – as reported by the Rental Tenancies Board today – hides some of the incredibly worrying increases on a county and city level, particularly those subject to Rent Pressure Zones and a 2% cap on rent increases.
“The average annual increase was 13.8% in Limerick City and 27.6% in Waterford City, which equate to an additional €1,844 and €2,740 in rent a year,” said Threshold chief executive John-Mark McCafferty.
This is money that many people do not have to spare, given the spike in inflation and huge increases in the cost of energy and fuel.
Pat Davitt, IPAV’s Chief Executive welcomed the acknowledgement that the Index represents only new tenancies registered in quarter four of 2021.
“Unfortunately there has been a lack of comprehensive data in this area which the RTB is now attempting to address. But policy decisions have been made on the basis of insufficient data, which will likely lead to the State learning lessons long after the horse has bolted,” he said.
In this regard in today’s RTB figures the most striking takeaway is the drop of 48% in the number of new tenancies registered year on year in Q4.
“While the reasons are multi-faceted, including the fact that tenants are staying longer in existing arrangements, we have no doubt but that the continuing exit of the private landlord from the market is a major contributory factor.
“With the exit of the private landlord we may be losing lower rentals while new properties coming on the market have no restrictions on the rent levels capable of being charged, they can charge what the market will bear.”
Updated by Gráinne Ní Aodha at 11.52am.
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This trend of astronomical rising cost of living cannot continue indefinitely. There has to be a breaking point. Another recession can’t be far away at this stage.
@Mark Dit: which will never happen because the responsibility dodging government recently postponed the First home scheme because of an uncapped influx of Ukrainian refugees. Help them by all means by don’t forget to help ourselves!
@Liam Edward Harris: but surely even with buy to rent properties it will increase the supply and the natural order will see a decrease in rents as the demand is met.
@Liam Edward Harris: Mass purchasing should be restricted, but the only solution is build more units. Improve regulation of landlords and tenants would help. If more units are built, rents drop also.
@Sean Minihane: a number of things prevent that. For large investment funds speculation is a factor. The value of their property portfolio isn’t necessarily tied to it actually earning any money. Share prices aren’t always reflected by profitability
Secondly,the fewer hands that property is in the easier it is for them to control the supply. You might own 100 properties and rent them out for 2000 a month. Or, you could restrict supply and rent out 90 properties at 2400.
@Dave Johnston: This government has contempt for those struggling to find accommodation. That ‘breaking point’ is likely to be serious civil unrest as the electoral process is not responding to basic needs.
@Sean Minihane: Nope, because the financial funds that are doing buy to rent they’re pushing the average cost of rent up and up. As this happens people can’t save for a mortgage deposit. Too many properties are being built as buy to rent, it’s impossible for normal people (first time buyers) to actually buy.
@Liam Edward Harris: if you believe “The Economist” that is actually the most cost effective way to provide housing. Vultures clean up the carcasses from speading disease. Despite their ugly looks, we’d be worse off without them.
@François Pignon: Depends, does that analysis consider the long term cost of having an ageing population dependent on a volatile rental market? If they can’t pay rent as retirees on a fixed income, who pays for that? “Cost effective” might end up being a euphemism for cheap, which isn’t always good value in the long run.
And then the gov are offering u 100 a week to home Ukrainians… where’s the equality in any of this renting lark.
So scary, so discriminating and without realising the gov are setting grudges in ppl who are most at need.
Hard space to be for all involved :-(
@Ciara O’Regan: it’s easy to see where people form xenophobic and racist views, whereas they should be leaning more to anti establishment. The establishment, as it stands in this country is a mirror image of Tory politics across the water, once the haves are ok, stuff the have nots.
Do they even teach economics in schools now? If they did then no one would vote for the free unregulated market fundamentalists that run this kip. Most TD’s are landlords why should they complain?
@mmz: there’s no free market in property in Ireland. I don’t know why this myth is so pervasive. There’s huge demand for housing and the market has it’s hands tied to solve it. There are regulations on what you can build, where you can build, how you can build, taxes on everything from materials to labour to stamp duty. All of these things push up the cost of land and building. And even then you’ve regulations on what you can borrow and our mortgage rates are among the highest in Europe, and many argue this is due to regulation.
I’m not saying the market would fix this without causing other problems. If we let developers loose they’d throw up any old ugly fire-trap. But the idea that this is a free market issue when the market is so heavily regulated and taxed is just not true.
@Podge: @Podge: I think what people mean by free market in this case is not that a free market is lightly regulated or taxed but rather that an overly optimistic reliance on classic supply and demand doesn’t really work with housing markets.
@Conor Doherty: I think you’re right. It just annoys me that people are complaining about a free market when they actually mean something totally different because free markets have definitions. Then people form incorrect views about free markets. And the reason classic supply and demand isn’t working is because of a failure of government not because the principals of supply and demand don’t work.
@Podge: Well, I think the problem is that the principles of supply and demand as classically stated are an abstraction and a simplified heuristic model rather than a realistic description of how any particular market does or should work. Definitions of what a free market is are necessarily contested and not given in some absolute sense, so I don’t think we can do much more than argue for own perspectives rather than insisting on the purity of our chosen definitions.
@Conor Doherty: It could be argued that at best supply and demand leaves out a lot of the other factors that buyers and sellers respond to in even a simple housing market. The behaviour is often about what we expect other agents to do rather than price alone, for example.
@Conor Doherty: true, they are an abstraction but we can’t make claims like supply and demand don’t work when we’re nowhere near existing in that vacuum. I know we’ll never get to a state where we can isolate the effects of supply and demand on the market. And things do have definitions, we can’t just say we define something differently and end up not being able to talk about something. What we can do is discuss if the definition applies here.
@Conor Doherty: and a free market is defined as “an economic system in which prices are determined by unrestricted competition between privately owned businesses”. So due to all the restrictions placed on entities operating within the housing market I would argue that we don’t have a free market.
@Podge: I suppose in part people see government inaction and chalk it up to ideology, whereas opportunism, accident and incompetence all have a part to play.
As for definitions, I agree but then there is ultimately no authority who can settle this, we necessarily have to argue, especially where politics come into it.
@Conor Doherty: “Unrestricted competition” can mean many things. In fact, few advocates of the free market at present take that to the libertarian extreme and claim that any regulation or restriction invalidates the claim. If we don’t go for full purity, then we have to argue over where the line is drawn.
@Conor Doherty: that’s very true. And I’d say we would disagree on where we draw the line. My whole point though is that I’m arguing that we don’t have a free market for the reasons stated above and even if I accept a wider definition of what a free market means I wouldn’t attribute all blame to the failure of the principal of supply and demand as I believe regulation failures are the primary cause.
@Podge: I’d say there’s lots of reasons really, external factors and the money supply haven’t helped. It’s also happening in other countries too, so it is unlikely to be unique to our government.
@Conor Doherty: yeah for sure. Things like urbanisation and migration flows have to play parts too. There does seem to be an economic vampirism element to Ireland’s situation too though, I can’t speak for global trends though.
@Sean Minihane: I found this with a quick search:
“Four members of cabinet are landlords, as are five Ministers of State. Nearly one-third of members of the Fine Gael parliamentary party are landlords. One in three Fianna Fail TDs are also landlords.”
It’s from PbP in 2019. Wouldn’t it make a good article for an interested journalist?
@Podge: There is some middle ground though – people are perhaps not objecting to the result of a putative free market so much as government insistence that the Irish housing market is one and that it can be relied upon to resolve itself in time largely through those mechanisms. I think we probably all agree that this isn’t a functional free market in many respects. Nonetheless, I think the claims that regulation is choking supply may be overstated (we know why there is so little supply post 2008) particular by those with an interest in circumventing them. This is normal horse trading as well. I’d also say if anyone thinks there isn’t free competition in the Irish market, pop into an auction and bid on a house.
@Conor Doherty: yeah in fairness this is in part the result of what happened during the Celtic Tiger as so many trades people left. But that excuse only works for a few years after. There’s huge demand for housing that’s not being met and it’s only in part due to the lack of trades people.
And in terms of free competition there is competition in a sense for what’s already on the market, but what makes it to market is so restricted. And even then there are restraints on my ability to compete in the market due to central bank rules on borrowing. Not that that’s a bad thing but lots of people aren’t allowed to compete in the market due to these rules.
@Podge: Well, “a few years after” runs up to about 2014, 2015 I reckon. The market only started to pick up again about then. That’s a long time not building houses – I don’t think we’re seeing the end of that effect and I guess Covid came at a really bad time for that too.
@Bramley Hawthorne: less than one third or 33% of FG/FF are landlords. If you did better research you would see last year that this has now reduced down to 25% of current TDs are landlords or own farmland. So a whooping 75% of TDs are not landlords and have no vested interested in rents. Its all freely available information for anyone who wants to look, but for some reason people keep sprouting conspiracy nonsense about TDs being landlords.
This began with Michael Noonan and every housing minister, finance minister and Taoiseach has perpetuated it since. Vivaciously supported by the rest of their parties. Make no mistake, IT IS BY DESIGN. They’ll tell you the opposite and get angry about accusations, but they have created this model and won’t ever change it. So when they’re angry it’s because they’re angry that you know what they’re doing.
Actually, had this exact conversation with a 26 year old work colleague yesterday, who still lives at home, he was saying, rent would take up practically his entire wage, how does he feed,clothe,pay amenities etc after paying rent, I, myself have to young adult children who will probably have to remain at home for many years to come
We’ve had to move out of Dublin just to find a place to rent that was affordable. 1200 for a 4 bed down the country and the services for special needs children also seems to be better. Waving goodbye to this kip soon.
A second hand mobile home is about €4k and a small plot somewhere out side the m50 wouldn’t break the bank. I’m not suggesting we should all be shacked up in mobile homes in Balbriggan, but it should be an available alternative to paying obscene rents. The system is regulated to keep people struggling on the edge of poverty.
@Eamonn O’Hanrahan: “I’m not suggesting we should all be shacked up in mobile homes in Balbriggan”
That’s exactly what you are suggesting. Working people should have proper homes available to purchase within their budget in any properly managed country.
@David Corrigan: nope, I’m suggesting that it’s a fine alternative to being homeless or paying most of your earnings on rent. I’m suggesting that many including myself would have opted tor such a living arrangement at some stage.
@Eamonn O’Hanrahan: No it’s not. People don’t bust their gut working to live in a caravan. There really is no excuse for how bad things are gone here when working people are struggling to have options when it comes to buying a proper house.
@Eamonn O’Hanrahan: theres a job waiting for ya in government. “if ya can’t afford rent.. just live in a caravan on the side of the motorway!”. Sounds like a scheme Darragh O’Brien might implement himself.
Me, personally, I think lowering rents would be a better solution.
the tax payer should provide a safety net and not a hammock. My issue is that low cost affordable and practical options are regulated out of existence. If a person is homeless or on a low income or on a higher income and wants to fund tho occasional foreign holiday or whatever, then what the hell is wrong with getting a cheap plot somewhere and a mobile home. As for refugees, I don’t see a problem helping them out to a minimum extent and letting them have the opportunity to work their way up. As for vested interests, anyone who is renting their property for 20 odd k a year will be happy for things to remain unchanged and I am against that. No one deserves to get their dream home for free. But they should be allowed to take what they can comfortably afford, planning complexities kill many viable options.
The Government should act with the same urgency and passion that have for the Ukrainian refugees. Encouraging 200,000 more Ukrainian renters to come here will exacerbate the rental crisis.
What even is the incentive for a young person to work anymore when everything they earn is gobbled up in rent for a tiny apartment or shared house they don’t even enjoy living in?
@Roger Bond: I know it’s a bit of a joke since it tends to be a tenant friendly organisation but it’s the landlords responsibility to pay not their tenants.
Cost to buy is too high so population forced to rent. Cost of rent is too high…. so population go to government for help and get HAP. HAP gets paid to landlords pushing the cost up. Vicious circle.
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