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Leon Farrell

'It's good news': Health Minister says virus reproductive rate is staying below 1

The reproductive rate gives an indication of the number of other people who are infected by a positive case.

HEALTH MINISTER SIMON Harris has said the virus reproductive rate currently stands at 0.7.

Last week, the minister said the rate was estimated to be between 0.4 and 0.8, adding it was staying “remarkably stable”.

The reproductive rate gives an indication of the number of other people who are infected by a positive case.

Speaking in the Dáil today, the minister said the 0.7 rate is “good news” as it remains below one. The minister said this means we are continuing to suppress the virus.However, Harris added that modeling becomes more difficult when the number of cases is so low. 

The minister also confirmed that there are now 62 patients in hospital with the virus. There are 20 patients in ICU with the virus.

There were 70 people in the ICU when the lockdown restrictions were imposed.

It is a “significant improvement on where we were only a few weeks ago”, he said.

Steroid treatment

Harris also told the Dáil that he has asked the HSE to make the dexamethasone steroid available to treat Covid-19 symptoms.

The move follows an affirmative study in the UK that the drug causes significant drop in patient mortality. 

The drug has been hailed as a “major breakthrough” in the fight against Covid-19 in the UK after it was found to reduce deaths by up to a third among patients on ventilators.

The drug, dexamethasone, is readily available in UK hospitals.

His comments today come as new data is set to be released that will show the virus breakdown for counties and electoral divisions on a daily basis.

The Health Prevention Surveillance Centre (HPSC) is now working on compiling data on the number of days since a Covid-19 case was detected for every county and electoral division in the country.

Dublin Mid West TD for Fine Gael Emer Higgins today received confirmation that the HPSC aims to release the new data for the first time this week and then update it daily.

“I am delighted that the minister has now agreed to release daily data on the number of days since a positive diagnosis for every county and electoral division in the country.

“This level of detail will provide reassurance to counties free from Covid-19 that their efforts have borne fruit and provide hope to other counties that if we continue to follow the public health advice, we are on the path out of this crisis,” said Higgins.

In the Dáil today, Harris also made an appeal to workers not to go to work if they do not feel well. He said Irish people have a great work ethic, and if they feel unwell, often take two paracetamol and go to work. 

He asked members of the public not to do this, as it risks the spread of the virus. If a worker has one of the the Covid-19 symptoms, they should call their GP for advice and not go to work. 

“You can’t do that during a pandemic,” he said.

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    Mute Davis Payne
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:28 PM

    So can we go back to the old normal soon please?

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    Mute GO GREEN
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:44 PM

    @Davis Payne: The current policy has worked, changing it and going back to normal and u do not need to be a rocket scientist to work out what happens then.

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    Mute Mary Oliver
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:54 PM

    @GO GREEN: pessimistic

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    Mute Michael Bodycoach
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:09 PM

    @Mary Oliver: pessimistically correct

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    Mute Richarddoherty
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:34 PM

    @GO GREEN: obviously a Fine Gael lover praising incompetent Fine Gael government

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    Mute Richarddoherty
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:35 PM

    @GO GREEN: obviously you love Leo Varadkar and Fine Gael lover

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    Mute For Goodness Sake
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:39 PM

    @Richarddoherty: Obviously you are a moaner! He simply stated facts!

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    Mute Fintan O'flaois
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:41 PM

    @GO GREEN: The Current policy has worked?
    1) Ireland has the 8th highest per capita death rate in the World.
    2) Our effective unemployment rate 28%.
    3) Our fiscal deficit >€25bn – it will take us back years longer to solve housing/health crisis by years.
    4) Non covid life saving medical treatments are not taking place – people are dying.
    I might not be a “rocket scientist” but I wouldn’t paint this as a success. Other counties are successfully lifting restrictions much faster than Ireland (Austria, Germany, et al) and it’s perfectly reasonable to suggest we should follow same path.

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    Mute Joe
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:56 PM

    @Fintan O’flaois:euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps
    Well we have one of the lowest excess deaths in these countries.
    In other words a lot of the people who died would have died anyway.

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    Mute Fintan O'flaois
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    Jun 17th 2020, 6:20 PM

    @Joe: We have the eighth highest death rate in the World, that’s not a measure success, stop splitting hairs.
    https://www.statista.com/statistics/1104709/coronavirus-deaths-worldwide-per-million-inhabitants/

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    Mute For Goodness Sake
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    Jun 17th 2020, 6:57 PM

    @Fintan O’flaois: Try reading. All deaths are reported in Ireland. This is not true in most other countries. Try comparing apples with apples. I assume that does not suit your narrative.

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    Mute 8-Bit-Relic
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    Jun 17th 2020, 7:41 PM

    @For Goodness Sake: As if you would recognise any facts beside ‘the lockdown is holy’

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    Mute For Goodness Sake
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    Jun 17th 2020, 8:07 PM

    @8-Bit-Relic: What? Are you ok?

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    Mute Joe
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    Jun 17th 2020, 9:15 PM

    @Fintan O’flaois: that’s a bullshit stat though. The only real way to see how many people died of covid is to look at the deaths above average. We are doing very well on this basis so you don’t like that!
    Comparing how many deaths one country has officially said was down to covid against another is a poor metric and completely unreliable!

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    Mute GO GREEN
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    Jun 17th 2020, 9:41 PM

    @Fintan O’flaois: It could have been much worse- likely, thousands of people alive to today, who would not be, if nothing had been done.

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    Mute Lily Martin
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    Jun 17th 2020, 11:49 PM

    @Davis Payne: until a vaccine is rolled out there can’t be a return to the old normal. Restrictions in some form are with us until then.

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    Mute Martin Smith
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:29 PM

    Says politician who is never seen wearing a face mask along with the rest of his dail buddies..

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    Mute Eileen O'Sullivan
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:30 PM

    @Martin Smith: good point!

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    Mute Sam Harms
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:33 PM

    @Martin Smith: you must follow him everywhere he goes to know he never wears one.

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    Mute Karl Mc Cauley
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:54 PM

    @Martin Smith: yes he has.

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    Mute Dave Byrne
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:58 PM

    @Martin Smith: So you’ve seen him not wearing a mask on public transport or inside somewhere where social distancing can’t be maintained?

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    Mute Paul Power
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:45 PM

    @Martin Smith:all politicians should wear masks. Dick Turbin the highwayman did.

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    Mute BRIAN MCCARTHY
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:40 PM

    Someone should tell Harris that if patients go to the Pub for less than 90 mins they won’t get Covid19. If they go for longer than 90 min they will. Problem sorted

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    Mute Fabio Dillon
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:55 PM

    @BRIAN MCCARTHY: the 90 minute period is to allow queues to stay low.

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    Mute tuco
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:58 PM

    @BRIAN MCCARTHY: how many pints yeah reckon can be horsed back in 90 min

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    Mute Peter Kelly
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:28 PM

    @tuco: and then the problems start.

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    Mute BRIAN MCCARTHY
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:39 PM

    @Fabio Dillon: did you not see the queues outside Monroe’s in Galway when they opened a hatch selling takeaway pints? Or the queues for Penny’s? They queue for anything consumable in this country, pints included !!

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    Mute Conall
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    Jun 18th 2020, 7:22 AM

    @BRIAN MCCARTHY: Virus transmission is not exactly black and white or capable of being precisely estimated . As the time in the pub increases, risk increases. It’s been decided that the risk becomes unacceptable after 90 min, also being a round number we can remember.

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    Mute GO GREEN
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:39 PM

    We were that close to eliminating it completely.

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    Mute Mary Oliver
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:46 PM

    @GO GREEN: fingers crossed

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    Mute Eugene Conroy
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    Jun 17th 2020, 8:50 PM

    @GO GREEN: are we talking about the PfG here.

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    Mute Sean Fahey
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    Jun 17th 2020, 9:04 PM

    @GO GREEN: it’s highly suppressed, social distancing and stronger requirements for mask wearing should keep the r under 1 and see its eradication in the coming weeks, then it’s just a case of border control, testing on arrival and shortened quarantine of 1-2 days to process test should be sufficient.

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    Mute Eileen O'Sullivan
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:28 PM

    If anecdotal evidence by commenters here about a ditching of social distancing measures amongst a proportion of the population is true then this is good news.

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    Mute BuffaloSoldiersky
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:59 PM

    Wow, it took him two weeks to get that 0.4 is less than 1 … he’s a genius!

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    Mute Phonsie Travers
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    Jun 17th 2020, 5:16 PM

    @BuffaloSoldiersky: So are you to understand that. Go to top of the class

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    Mute Brad
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    Jun 17th 2020, 4:48 PM

    Happy days!

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    Mute D Writer
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    Jun 17th 2020, 8:37 PM

    When we were starting lockdown he emphasized how it takes 3 weeks to see the effects of actions taken. Now he’s delighted at no change after just one week? Let’s wait another 2-3 and see how we’re doing.

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    Mute Eugene Conroy
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    Jun 17th 2020, 8:45 PM

    But which virus was he talking about, covid 1 covid 2 covid 9 covid 14 ?

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