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‘Astronomical’: Weather graphs reveal the full extent of Hurricane Milton's expected damage

These maps weather graphs outline just how much of an impact Hurricane Milton could have on the US’ southeast coast.

HURRICANE MILTON IS currently making its way towards the south east of the United States and is set to be the fifth-strongest storm to ever hit the country.

Residents in Florida’s gulf coast are bracing for the impact of the storm as near-record winds are expected to hit the region which is still reeling from the effects of Hurricane Helene that cause devastation just 12 days ago. 

The Journal / YouTube

 

According to the National Hurricane Centre in the US, the storm’s path is expected to make its way over the Gulf of Mexico and hit the Floridian coastline in the early hours of Thursday morning.

Hurricane Milton Infographic by the National Hurricane Centre in the US outlining the path and dangers associated with Hurricane Milton. National Hurricane Centre National Hurricane Centre

The hurricane, which is currently near the coast of the Yucatan province in south east Mexico, is expected to have extremely strong winds, a life-threatening storm surge -meaning it will likely cause tidal waves – and will grow as it approaches the US.

a-man-boards-up-an-apartment-building-to-protect-it-from-hurricane-milton-in-progreso-yucatan-state-mexico-monday-oct-7-2024-ap-photomartin-zetina Property owners in Yucatan province in southeast Mexico have boarded up their windows as the storm will impact coastal areas in the state. Alamy Alamy

Cities such as Tampa Bay and Key West, along the west coast and in the middle of Florida, are expected to be at the greatest risk of flooding and will experience the strongest winds.

The winds, which are estimated to reach over 250 km/h in speed, can and most likely will destroy small and medium sized buildings, such as barns and sheds, or larger, less-sturdy buildings such as warehouses.

storms hurricane milton winds A graph showing the expected path and intensity of wind as Hurricane Milton passes over the United States. National Hurricane Centre National Hurricane Centre

Many in Florida have already begun boarding up their properties in anticipation for the impacts of the storm. The earliest start to the hurricane is anticipated tomorrow.

the-home-of-the-weibel-family-is-boarded-up-in-preparation-for-hurricane-milton-on-monday-oct-7-2024-in-port-richey-fla-ap-photomike-carlson A home in Port Richey, expected to be worst impacted by Hurricane Milton, is boarded up ahead of the storm's arrival tomorrow. Alamy Alamy

About 240 kilometres south of Tampa, Fort Myers Beach was nearly a ghost town by yesterday afternoon as an evacuation order took effect.

Many residents along the western coast of Florida have been ordered to leave the area while others prepare the banks with sandbags.

tampa-florida-usa-7th-oct-2024-the-aquatics-division-of-the-city-of-tampa-parks-and-recreation-department-with-about-20-volunteers-and-local-community-members-served-over-2000-sandbags-to-over-2 City employees in Tampa Bay, Florida, filling sandbags along the banks of the bay ahead of the storm's arrival. Alamy Alamy

Some areas north of Tampa Bay in Florida are expected to receive up to 16 inches of rain in the first day of the strom’s arrival. That is roughly half the rainfall that areas on the east coast of Ireland receive over the course of one year.

rainfall hurricane milton-0000 A graph outlining the expected rainfall in Florida during Hurricane Milton. National Hurricane Centre National Hurricane Centre

Other areas in the south of the State, such as Miami, will largely be unaffected by rain but may still experience potentially deadly and destructive winds and some localised flooding.

The entire middle region of Florida, including cities such as Tampa Bay, Orlando and surrounding towns, will almost certainly experience very destructive flooding as a result of the dangerous storm surges out at sea.

Other cities, such as Jacksonville and Miami, are expected to experience moderate to slight flooding.

flooding risk hurricane milton-0000 Graph outlining the extent that areas may be flooded as a result of Hurricane Milton. National Hurricane Centre National Hurricane Centre

Fox Orlando’s meteorologist Noah Bergren said on X, formerly Twitter: “This is nothing short of astronomical.

“I am at a loss for words to meteorologically describe you the storm’s small eye and intensity.”

He added: “This hurricane is nearing the mathematical limit of what Earth’s atmosphere over this ocean water can produce.”

hurricane milton eye A screengrab from Fox Orlando's graphic detailing the size of the storm's eye.

The National Hurricane Centre’s website says Hurricane Milton is “extremely powerful”.

“Milton poses an extremely serious threat to Florida and residents are urged to follow the orders of local officials,” it adds.

US President Joe Biden approved an emergency declaration for Florida, and US representative Kathy Castor said 7,000 federal workers were mobilised to help in one of the largest mobilisations of federal personnel in history.

“This is the real deal here with Milton,” Tampa mayor Jane Castor told a news conference yesterday. “If you want to take on Mother Nature, she wins 100% of the time.”

Unsure of what exactly is happening with the earth’s climate? Check out our FactCheck Knowledge Bank for essential reads and guides to finding good information online.

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    Mute Philip Groark
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    Oct 8th 2024, 1:17 PM

    Can’t wait to hear the opinion of the journal’s YouTube gombín scientists.

    73
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    Mute David Jordan
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    Oct 8th 2024, 1:38 PM

    @Philip Groark: Well, just look at the data

    Most storms in a year
    ( Tropical storms (Total Hurricanes, Major hurricane) )
    2020 30  14 7
    2005 28  15 7
    2021 21  7 4
    1933 20 11 6
    2023 20  7 3
    1887 19 11 2
    1995 19 11 5
    2010 19 12 5
    2011 19 7 4
    2012 19 10 2

    Fewest storms in a year
    ( Tropical storms (Total Hurricanes, Major hurricane) )
    1914 1 0 0
    1930 3 2 2
    1857 4 3 0
    1868 4 3 0
    1883 4 3 2
    1884 4 4 1
    1890 4 2 1
    1917 4 2 2
    1925 4 2 0
    1983 4 3 1

    There are more hurricanes nowadays and when they occur, they get stronger quicker;

    ” … we detect a significant increase in intensification rates with a positive contribution from anthropogenic forcing. Furthermore, thermodynamic environments around tropical cyclones have become more favorable for intensification, and climate models show anthropogenic warming has significantly increased the probability of these changes.”

    Bhatia, K., et al., 2022. A potential explanation for the global increase in tropical cyclone rapid intensification. Nature communications, 13(1), p.6626. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-34321-6

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    Mute Shimo F
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    Oct 8th 2024, 2:22 PM

    @Philip Groark: can’t wait for this weakened weather system to hit Ireland next week and flood cork again

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    Mute Vince Cable
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    Oct 8th 2024, 2:34 PM

    @Shimo F: y0u lAngerRR boi

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    Mute Brian M
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    Oct 8th 2024, 2:38 PM

    @Shimo F: Why would you even joke about that? People’s livelihoods have been destroyed by flooding in Cork.

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    Mute Vince Cable
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    Oct 8th 2024, 3:25 PM

    @Brian M: I didn’t see any joking there. The rebels can handle it, until they can’t.

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    Mute Niall English
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    Oct 8th 2024, 5:24 PM

    @Brian M: bit foolish buying or setting up a business in a known flood plain.

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    Mute Brian M
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    Oct 8th 2024, 8:03 PM

    @Vince Cable: What utter nonsense. Wishing misery on others and thinking it’s funny.

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    Mute Brian M
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    Oct 8th 2024, 8:06 PM

    @Niall English: Yes, because that’s how life works. Plenty of homes and businesses that are not on known flood plains affected. But I bet you feel better now.

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    Mute eoin fitzpatrick
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    Oct 8th 2024, 2:19 PM

    Apparently they’re going to become more frequent and stronger but it’s OK Florida, Ted Cruz believes that there is no scientific evidence to back up human-caused climate change

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    Mute thomas molloy
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    Oct 8th 2024, 4:47 PM

    @eoin fitzpatrick: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is warning people not to loot homes and businesses after Hurricane Milton passes through the state.
    The governor said people who commit crimes in the wake of the storm have “another thing coming” and could get shot by the people they are trying to rob.

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    Mute ian
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    Oct 8th 2024, 1:44 PM

    And Trumps response. . .”drill baby drill”

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    Mute Thesaltyurchin
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    Oct 8th 2024, 1:53 PM

    @ian: Money addicts.

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    Mute Nemethon
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    Oct 8th 2024, 1:53 PM

    @ian: no Trumps response throw toilet paper at them.

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    Mute Argus Romsworth
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    Oct 8th 2024, 1:22 PM

    Let her rip. Plenty of BP money flowing into Florida from the gulf. You reap what you see.

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    Mute Eamonn Murray
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    Oct 8th 2024, 2:25 PM

    @Argus Romsworth: Shut up you foolm

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    Mute Conrad Stapletwin
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    Oct 8th 2024, 3:47 PM

    During one hurricane briefing at the White House, Trump said, ‘I got it. I got it. Why don’t we nuke them?’ according to one source who was there. ‘They start forming off the coast of Africa, as they’re moving across the Atlantic, we drop a nuclear bomb inside the eye of the hurricane and it disrupts it. Why can’t we do that?’ the source added, paraphrasing the president’s remarks.”

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    Mute thomas molloy
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    Oct 8th 2024, 4:46 PM

    @Conrad Stapletwin: “According to” ………“an unnamed source “….this is how fake news is created. Irish media copy and embellish.

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    Mute Brian Hunt
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    Oct 8th 2024, 8:59 PM

    @Conrad Stapletwin: Ludicrous man!

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    Mute Conrad Stapletwin
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    Oct 9th 2024, 10:55 AM

    @thomas molloy: admittedly I did a quick copy and paste job, but the crucial difference here, thomas is that this particular story has been verified by multiple sources. Trump actually suggested this during the meeting. It’s been fact-checked and verified and it shouldn’t take you too long to find that out if you’re genuinely interested in seeking out the truth.

    suggesting something factual is “fake news” is a slippery slope.

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    Mute Alex Kane
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    Oct 8th 2024, 1:15 PM

    Ah be grand!

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    Mute patw5675@gmail.com
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    Oct 8th 2024, 3:23 PM

    SF the nonce party

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    Mute Vince Cable
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    Oct 8th 2024, 3:32 PM

    @patw5675@gmail.com: Why don’t you use your real name???

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    Mute patw5675@gmail.com
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    Oct 8th 2024, 3:36 PM

    @Vince Cable: Georgie Boys family need to be deported

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    Mute damien leen
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    Oct 8th 2024, 1:07 PM

    Batton down the hatches & haul a$$!

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    Mute Buster Lawless
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    Oct 8th 2024, 2:15 PM

    Looks bigger than katrina

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    Mute Roz
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    Oct 8th 2024, 11:06 PM

    God help them all

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    Mute Brian Hunt
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    Oct 8th 2024, 8:57 PM

    I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again, we need lots more carbon taxes to stop this weather!

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